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Route on-time record

TVC to ORD: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Traverse City (Cherry Capital Airport) to Chicago (Chicago O'Hare International Airport). 2,537 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 67% arrived within 15 minutes and 4.7% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Republic 4615 at 5:40 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

TVC → ORD

Traverse City to Chicago: 2,537 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

67%

Cancelled

4.7%

avg delay 36 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

82% on time vs 52% 6 to 9 PM

Most reliable airline

Republic

74% chance on time

Check TVC to ORD fares

Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · Republic 4615 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express

    5:40 AM → 6:03 AM1h 23m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.

    87%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    95%
    Cancelled
    2.3%
    Avg arrival delay
    4 min
    • Arrived on time 95% of the time (43 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 82% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 52%).
    • Short track record (43 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 43 flights

    Find 5:40 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · Envoy 3909 · sold as American Eagle

    5:33 AM → 5:49 AM1h 16m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    85%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    100%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    0 min
    • Arrived on time 100% of the time (10 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 82% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 52%).
    • Short track record (10 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 10 flights

    Find 5:33 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  3. #3 · Republic 3564 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express

    9:00 AM → 9:32 AM1h 32m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.

    80%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    94%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    3 min
    • Arrived on time 94% of the time (17 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Short track record (17 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 17 flights

    Find 9:00 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  4. #4 · Republic 4478 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express

    6:00 AM → 6:33 AM1h 33m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    76%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    77%
    Cancelled
    13.3%
    Avg arrival delay
    31 min
    • Arrived on time 77% of the time (26 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 13.3% of the time (4 of 30).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 82% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 52%).
    • Short track record (26 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 26 flights

    Find 6:00 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  5. #5 · United 1486

    7:15 AM → 6:20 AM1h 23m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    75%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    82%
    Cancelled
    4.9%
    Avg arrival delay
    16 min
    • Arrived on time 82% of the time (98 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 4.9% of the time (5 of 103).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 82% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 52%).

    Moderate track record · 98 flights

    Find United 1486 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  6. #6 · Republic 3585 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express

    2:20 PM → 2:41 PM1h 21m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.

    74%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    90%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    11 min
    • Arrived on time 90% of the time (20 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Lands inside ORD's trouble window: 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
    • Short track record (20 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 20 flights

    Find 2:20 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  7. #7 · SkyWest 6231 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska

    6:29 AM → 7:10 AM1h 41m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    74%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    100%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    0 min
    • Arrived on time 100% of the time (10 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 82% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 52%).
    • Short track record (10 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 10 flights

    Find 6:29 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  8. #8 · Envoy 3477 · sold as American Eagle

    4:14 PM → 4:46 PM1h 32m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.

    74%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    100%
    Cancelled
    7.1%
    Avg arrival delay
    1 min
    • Arrived on time 100% of the time (13 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Lands inside ORD's trouble window: 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
    • Short track record (13 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 13 flights

    Find 4:14 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  9. #9 · SkyWest 4903 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska

    4:38 PM → 5:19 PM1h 41m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    72%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    84%
    Cancelled
    1.4%
    Avg arrival delay
    41 min
    • Arrived on time 84% of the time (68 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Lands inside ORD's trouble window: 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.

    Moderate track record · 68 flights

    Find 4:38 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  10. #10 · Envoy 4190 · sold as American Eagle

    12:16 PM → 12:47 PM1h 31m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    69%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    82%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    13 min
    • Arrived on time 82% of the time (11 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • 93% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
    • Short track record (11 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 11 flights

    Find 12:16 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Republic Airways (sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express)74%

    447 flights · 80% on time as flown · 3.9% cancel

  • Envoy Air (sold as American Eagle)71%

    142 flights · 77% on time as flown · 3.1% cancel

  • United Airlines71%

    462 flights · 74% on time as flown · 3.0% cancel

  • SkyWest Airlines (sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska)58%

    1,109 flights · 59% on time as flown · 4.4% cancel

  • PSA Airlines (sold as American Eagle)56%

    377 flights · 62% on time as flown · 9.5% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM82%

    751 flights · avg delay 25 min

  • 9 AM to noon80%

    214 flights · avg delay 17 min

  • Noon to 3 PM63%

    583 flights · avg delay 32 min

  • 3 to 6 PM58%

    530 flights · avg delay 44 min

  • 6 to 9 PM52%

    415 flights · avg delay 58 min

Best day: Tuesday (75%). Worst: Sunday (70%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
62
F
74
M
76
A
76
M
80
J
73
J
66
A
71
S
80
O
76
N
73
D
62

What delays this route

  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)34%
  • Late-arriving aircraft32%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume22%
  • Severe weather12%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

TVC to ORD questions

What time of day is best to fly TVC to ORD?
Before 9 AM: 82% of flights arrived on time, against 52% for departures 6 to 9 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
Which airline is most on time from TVC to ORD?
Republic, with a season-adjusted 74% chance of operating and arriving on time over 447 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on TVC to ORD?
January (62% on time); the best was May (80%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from TVC

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops