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Route on-time record

ORD to JFK: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Chicago (Chicago O'Hare International Airport) to New York (John F. Kennedy International Airport). 1,964 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 73% arrived within 15 minutes and 3.6% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Republic 5719 at 6:07 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

ORD → JFK

Chicago to New York: 1,964 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

73%

Cancelled

3.6%

avg delay 27 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

83% on time vs 54% 3 to 6 PM

Most reliable airline

JetBlue

78% chance on time

Check ORD to JFK fares

Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $139 (American 1224 on 2026-11-08). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · Republic 5719 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express

    6:07 AM → 9:30 AM2h 23m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as Republic 5688; its record covers all of them.

    88%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    96%
    Cancelled
    2.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    9 min
    • Arrived on time 96% of the time (48 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 83% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 54%).
    • Departs outside ORD's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (48 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 48 flights

    Find 6:07 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · JetBlue 856

    6:15 AM → 9:33 AM2h 18m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    87%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    100%
    Cancelled
    10.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    0 min
    • Arrived on time 100% of the time (9 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 83% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 54%).
    • Departs outside ORD's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (9 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 9 flights

    Find JetBlue 856 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  3. #3 · JetBlue 406

    3:27 PM → 6:59 PM2h 32m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    84%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    90%
    Cancelled
    3.5%
    Avg arrival delay
    11 min
    • Arrived on time 90% of the time (138 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 3.5% of the time (5 of 143).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (3 to 6 PM: 54% on time; Before 9 AM: 83%).
    • Departs inside ORD's trouble window: 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.

    Moderate track record · 138 flights

    Find JetBlue 406 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  4. #4 · Republic 4356 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express

    10:40 AM → 2:19 PM2h 39m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    81%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    100%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    1 min
    • Arrived on time 100% of the time (11 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside ORD's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Lands inside JFK's trouble window: 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • Short track record (11 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 11 flights

    Find 10:40 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  5. #5 · JetBlue 1306

    8:31 AM → 9:59 AM2h 19m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.

    79%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    82%
    Cancelled
    4.2%
    Avg arrival delay
    17 min
    • Arrived on time 82% of the time (158 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 4.2% of the time (7 of 165).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 83% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 54%).
    • Departs outside ORD's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Moderate track record · 158 flights

    Find JetBlue 1306 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  6. #6 · Republic 4680 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express

    8:01 AM → 11:30 AM2h 29m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.

    77%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    80%
    Cancelled
    3.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    13 min
    • Arrived on time 80% of the time (131 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 83% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 54%).
    • Departs outside ORD's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Moderate track record · 131 flights

    Find 8:01 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  7. #7 · JetBlue 906

    10:45 AM → 2:17 PM2h 32m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    77%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    79%
    Cancelled
    2.7%
    Avg arrival delay
    25 min
    • Arrived on time 79% of the time (145 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside ORD's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Lands inside JFK's trouble window: 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.

    Moderate track record · 145 flights

    Find JetBlue 906 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  8. #8 · JetBlue 1206

    12:20 PM → 3:40 PM2h 20m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-03-30.

    74%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    78%
    Cancelled
    5.3%
    Avg arrival delay
    24 min
    • Arrived on time 78% of the time (18 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside ORD's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Lands inside JFK's trouble window: 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • 98% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Limited track record · 18 flights

    Find JetBlue 1206 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  9. #9 · Republic 4456 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express

    11:40 AM → 3:05 PM2h 25m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    72%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    73%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    29 min
    • Arrived on time 73% of the time (30 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 30 scheduled flights.
    • Departs outside ORD's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Lands inside JFK's trouble window: 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.

    Limited track record · 30 flights

    Find 11:40 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  10. #10 · JetBlue 2106

    12:41 PM → 4:02 PM2h 21m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-03-11.

    70%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    67%
    Cancelled
    6.5%
    Avg arrival delay
    31 min
    • Arrived on time 67% of the time (58 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 6.5% of the time (4 of 62).
    • Departs outside ORD's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Lands inside JFK's trouble window: 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.

    Limited track record · 58 flights

    Find JetBlue 2106 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • JetBlue78%

    549 flights · 82% on time as flown · 3.9% cancel

  • Republic Airways (sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express)74%

    720 flights · 77% on time as flown · 2.3% cancel

  • Frontier Airlines64%

    117 flights · 60% on time as flown · 3.9% cancel

  • American Airlines61%

    564 flights · 62% on time as flown · 4.5% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM83%

    861 flights · avg delay 15 min

  • 9 AM to noon72%

    456 flights · avg delay 23 min

  • Noon to 3 PM70%

    271 flights · avg delay 34 min

  • 3 to 6 PM54%

    375 flights · avg delay 52 min

Best day: Tuesday (79%). Worst: Sunday (70%).

Smarter routing

Nearby airports that run more on time

  • ORD → HPN 75% chance on time

    Chicago O'Hare International Airport to Westchester County Airport · 1,477 flights a year · 30 mi from your airports · yours: 71%

    Rank flightsFares

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
69
F
79
M
71
A
77
M
76
J
65
J
62
A
70
S
75
O
82
N
81
D
71

What delays this route

  • Late-arriving aircraft43%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume29%
  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)22%
  • Severe weather6%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

ORD to JFK questions

What time of day is best to fly ORD to JFK?
Before 9 AM: 83% of flights arrived on time, against 54% for departures 3 to 6 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
Which airline is most on time from ORD to JFK?
JetBlue, with a season-adjusted 78% chance of operating and arriving on time over 549 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on ORD to JFK?
July (62% on time); the best was October (82%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from ORD

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops