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Route on-time record

ORD to ELP: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Chicago (Chicago O'Hare International Airport) to El Paso (El Paso International Airport). 727 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 71% arrived within 15 minutes and 1.8% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Republic 3465 at 8:55 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

ORD → ELP

Chicago to El Paso: 727 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

71%

Cancelled

1.8%

avg delay 22 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

93% on time vs 60% after 9 PM

Most reliable airline

Republic

80% chance on time

Check ORD to ELP fares

Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · Republic 3465 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express

    8:55 AM → 11:57 AM4h 02m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-03-28.

    86%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    92%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    15 min
    • Arrived on time 92% of the time (24 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 93% on time; After 9 PM: 60%).
    • Departs outside ORD's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (24 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 24 flights

    Find 8:55 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  2. #2 · Republic 3684 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express

    9:01 AM → 11:47 AM3h 46m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-29.

    84%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    84%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    11 min
    • Arrived on time 84% of the time (32 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 32 scheduled flights.
    • Departs outside ORD's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (32 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 32 flights

    Find 9:01 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  3. #3 · SkyWest 5571 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska

    9:05 AM → 11:54 AM3h 49m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.

    75%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    84%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    9 min
    • Arrived on time 84% of the time (19 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside ORD's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (19 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 19 flights

    Find 9:05 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  4. #4 · Envoy 3895 · sold as American Eagle

    9:19 PM → 11:51 PM3h 32m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    70%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    82%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    5 min
    • Arrived on time 82% of the time (11 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (After 9 PM: 60% on time; Before 9 AM: 93%).
    • Departs outside ORD's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (11 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 11 flights

    Find 9:19 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  5. #5 · SkyWest 5533 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska

    7:45 PM → 10:28 PM3h 43m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    69%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    100%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    1 min
    • Arrived on time 100% of the time (11 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs inside ORD's trouble window: 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
    • Short track record (11 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 11 flights

    Find 7:45 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  6. #6 · Envoy 3348 · sold as American Eagle

    8:54 PM → 11:40 PM3h 46m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    69%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    70%
    Cancelled
    1.3%
    Avg arrival delay
    19 min
    • Arrived on time 70% of the time (154 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside ORD's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Moderate track record · 154 flights

    Find 8:54 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  7. #7 · American 2066

    9:35 PM → 11:56 PM3h 21m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.

    43%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    36%
    Cancelled
    4.5%
    Avg arrival delay
    40 min
    • Arrived on time 36% of the time (42 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 4.5% of the time (2 of 44).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (After 9 PM: 60% on time; Before 9 AM: 93%).
    • Departs outside ORD's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Limited track record · 42 flights

    Find American 2066 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Republic Airways (sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express)80%

    126 flights · 87% on time as flown · 1.3% cancel

  • Envoy Air (sold as American Eagle)72%

    296 flights · 73% on time as flown · 1.3% cancel

  • SkyWest Airlines (sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska)66%

    258 flights · 66% on time as flown · 2.4% cancel

  • American Airlines56%

    45 flights · 37% on time as flown · 2.4% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM93%

    45 flights · avg delay 8 min

  • 9 AM to noon83%

    95 flights · avg delay 10 min

  • 6 to 9 PM68%

    444 flights · avg delay 25 min

  • After 9 PM60%

    114 flights · avg delay 25 min

Best day: Tuesday (85%). Worst: Sunday (72%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
75
F
88
M
84
A
70
M
73
J
73
J
73
A
79
S
84
O
84
N
79
D
79

What delays this route

  • Late-arriving aircraft41%
  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)23%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume18%
  • Severe weather17%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

Finding the most reliable connections from ORD to ELP…

ORD to ELP questions

What time of day is best to fly ORD to ELP?
Before 9 AM: 93% of flights arrived on time, against 60% for departures after 9 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
Which airline is most on time from ORD to ELP?
Republic, with a season-adjusted 80% chance of operating and arriving on time over 126 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on ORD to ELP?
April (70% on time); the best was February (88%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from ORD

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops