Route on-time record
ELP to ORD: most on-time flights and the best time to fly
El Paso (El Paso International Airport) to Chicago (Chicago O'Hare International Airport). 730 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 83% arrived within 15 minutes and 1.5% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Envoy 3872 at 6:49 AM.
Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.
ELP → ORD
El Paso to Chicago: 730 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
83%
Cancelled
1.5%
avg delay 12 min
Best time to leave
Before 9 AM
85% on time vs 77% noon to 3 PM
Most reliable airline
Envoy
85% chance on time
Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Most reliable nonstop flights
Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.
#1 · Envoy 3872 · sold as American Eagle
6:49 AM → 11:13 AM3h 24m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
88%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 90%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 11 min
- Arrived on time 90% of the time (40 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 40 scheduled flights.
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 85% on time; Noon to 3 PM: 77%).
- 71% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
Limited track record · 40 flights
Find 6:49 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · American 2031
6:40 AM → 10:48 AM3h 08m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.
88%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 90%
- Cancelled
- 4.7%
- Avg arrival delay
- 12 min
- Arrived on time 90% of the time (41 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 4.7% of the time (2 of 43).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 85% on time; Noon to 3 PM: 77%).
- Short track record (41 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 41 flights
Find American 2031 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#3 · Envoy 3438 · sold as American Eagle
6:00 AM → 10:15 AM3h 15m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.
86%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 87%
- Cancelled
- 1.3%
- Avg arrival delay
- 7 min
- Arrived on time 87% of the time (157 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 85% on time; Noon to 3 PM: 77%).
Moderate track record · 157 flights
Find 6:00 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#4 · Republic 3448 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
12:40 PM → 5:02 PM3h 22m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-03-28.
81%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 88%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 37 min
- Arrived on time 88% of the time (24 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (Noon to 3 PM: 77% on time; Before 9 AM: 85%).
- Lands inside ORD's trouble window: 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
- Short track record (24 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 24 flights
Find 12:40 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#5 · Republic 3406 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
12:30 PM → 4:47 PM3h 17m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-29.
80%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 81%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 18 min
- Arrived on time 81% of the time (32 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 32 scheduled flights.
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (Noon to 3 PM: 77% on time; Before 9 AM: 85%).
- Lands inside ORD's trouble window: 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
Limited track record · 32 flights
Find 12:30 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#6 · SkyWest 5659 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska
8:30 AM → 12:57 PM3h 27m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
79%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 80%
- Cancelled
- 1.6%
- Avg arrival delay
- 15 min
- Arrived on time 80% of the time (182 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 85% on time; Noon to 3 PM: 77%).
Moderate track record · 182 flights
Find 8:30 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#7 · SkyWest 5511 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska
12:35 PM → 4:54 PM3h 19m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.
65%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 37%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 33 min
- Arrived on time 37% of the time (19 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (Noon to 3 PM: 77% on time; Before 9 AM: 85%).
- Lands inside ORD's trouble window: 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
- Short track record (19 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 19 flights
Find 12:35 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- Envoy Air (sold as American Eagle)85%
295 flights · 87% on time as flown · 1.0% cancel
- American Airlines84%
45 flights · 88% on time as flown · 2.2% cancel
- Republic Airways (sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express)83%
127 flights · 85% on time as flown · 1.2% cancel
- SkyWest Airlines (sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska)78%
261 flights · 78% on time as flown · 2.0% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- Before 9 AM85%
591 flights · avg delay 10 min
- Noon to 3 PM77%
139 flights · avg delay 21 min
Best day: Monday (85%). Worst: Wednesday (81%).
On time by month
All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.
What delays this route
- Air traffic control and airport volume38%
- Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)36%
- Late-arriving aircraft20%
- Severe weather6%
Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure
ELP to ORD questions
- What time of day is best to fly ELP to ORD?
- Before 9 AM: 85% of flights arrived on time, against 77% for departures noon to 3 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
- Which airline is most on time from ELP to ORD?
- Envoy, with a season-adjusted 85% chance of operating and arriving on time over 295 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
- What is the worst month for delays on ELP to ORD?
- May (72% on time); the best was February (93%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
- Is this a prediction for my flight?
- No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.
More routes from ELP
- ORD to ELP (return)
- ELP to DFW 78%
- ELP to PHX 82%
- ELP to DEN 80%
- ELP to DAL 82%
- ELP to LAS 81%
- ELP to LAX 84%
- ELP to HOU 84%
- ELP to AUS 83%
- ELP to SAT 83%
- ELP to ATL 88%
- ELP to SAN 83%
Live status: FAA delays and ground stops