Route on-time record
MEM to MCO: most on-time flights and the best time to fly
Memphis (Memphis International Airport) to Orlando (Orlando International Airport). 801 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 78% arrived within 15 minutes and 2.5% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Southwest 699 at 9:45 AM.
Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.
MEM → MCO
Memphis to Orlando: 801 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
78%
Cancelled
2.5%
avg delay 15 min
Best time to leave
Before 9 AM
91% on time vs 55% 3 to 6 PM
Most reliable airline
Southwest
77% chance on time
Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $265 (Southwest 1227 on 2026-11-28). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Most reliable nonstop flights
Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.
#1 · Southwest 699
9:45 AM → 12:40 PM1h 55m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as Southwest 472; its record covers all of them.
85%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 91%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 3 min
- Arrived on time 91% of the time (44 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 44 scheduled flights.
- Short track record (44 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 44 flights
Find Southwest 699 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · Spirit 1076
11:14 AM → 2:13 PM1h 59m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-14. Same departure also flew as Spirit 1526; its record covers all of them.
75%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 82%
- Cancelled
- 10.3%
- Avg arrival delay
- 13 min
- Arrived on time 82% of the time (87 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 10.3% of the time (10 of 97).
- Lands inside MCO's trouble window: 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
Moderate track record · 87 flights
Find Spirit 1076 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#3 · Spirit 2053
4:43 PM → 7:45 PM2h 02m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-01.
72%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 73%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 8 min
- Arrived on time 73% of the time (11 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (3 to 6 PM: 55% on time; Before 9 AM: 91%).
- Short track record (11 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 11 flights
Find Spirit 2053 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#4 · Southwest 2839
4:00 PM → 7:00 PM2h 00m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
72%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 63%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 29 min
- Arrived on time 63% of the time (8 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (3 to 6 PM: 55% on time; Before 9 AM: 91%).
- 76% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
- Short track record (8 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 8 flights
Find Southwest 2839 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#5 · Southwest 1192
2:55 PM → 5:50 PM1h 55m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.
69%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 57%
- Cancelled
- 8.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 25 min
- Arrived on time 57% of the time (23 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Lands inside MCO's trouble window: 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
- 72% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
- Short track record (23 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 23 flights
Find Southwest 1192 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#6 · Southwest 2023
4:50 PM → 7:45 PM1h 55m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-30.
68%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 38%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 35 min
- Arrived on time 38% of the time (8 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (3 to 6 PM: 55% on time; Before 9 AM: 91%).
- Short track record (8 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 8 flights
Find Southwest 2023 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#7 · Southwest 1595
5:25 PM → 8:20 PM1h 55m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-29.
65%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 65%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 11 min
- Arrived on time 65% of the time (23 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (3 to 6 PM: 55% on time; Before 9 AM: 91%).
- 56% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
- Short track record (23 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 23 flights
Find Southwest 1595 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- Southwest Airlines77%
445 flights · 79% on time as flown · 2.1% cancel
- Spirit Airlines76%
356 flights · 78% on time as flown · 2.9% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- Before 9 AM91%
320 flights · avg delay 8 min
- 9 AM to noon83%
178 flights · avg delay 9 min
- 3 to 6 PM55%
171 flights · avg delay 32 min
- 6 to 9 PM74%
102 flights · avg delay 17 min
Best day: Tuesday (87%). Worst: Sunday (76%).
On time by month
All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.
What delays this route
- Late-arriving aircraft36%
- Air traffic control and airport volume32%
- Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)29%
- Severe weather3%
Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure
MEM to MCO questions
- What time of day is best to fly MEM to MCO?
- Before 9 AM: 91% of flights arrived on time, against 55% for departures 3 to 6 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
- Which airline is most on time from MEM to MCO?
- Southwest, with a season-adjusted 77% chance of operating and arriving on time over 445 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
- What is the worst month for delays on MEM to MCO?
- July (68% on time); the best was February (89%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
- Is this a prediction for my flight?
- No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.
More routes from MEM
- MCO to MEM (return)
- MEM to ATL 87%
- MEM to ORD 77%
- MEM to DFW 72%
- MEM to CLT 83%
- MEM to DEN 79%
- MEM to DCA 75%
- MEM to IAH 79%
- MEM to DTW 83%
- MEM to LGA 78%
- MEM to MSP 87%
- MEM to HOU 78%
- MEM to PHL 81%
Live status: FAA delays and ground stops