Route on-time record
MCO to MEM: most on-time flights and the best time to fly
Orlando (Orlando International Airport) to Memphis (Memphis International Airport). 799 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 73% arrived within 15 minutes and 2.0% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Southwest 1138 at 9:35 AM.
Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.
MCO → MEM
Orlando to Memphis: 799 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
73%
Cancelled
2.0%
avg delay 19 min
Best time to leave
Before 9 AM
90% on time vs 63% after 9 PM
Most reliable airline
Spirit
73% chance on time
Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Most reliable nonstop flights
Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.
#1 · Southwest 1138
9:35 AM → 10:55 AM2h 20m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.
80%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 89%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 8 min
- Arrived on time 89% of the time (28 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs outside MCO's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Short track record (28 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 28 flights
Find Southwest 1138 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · Southwest 2374
8:15 AM → 9:30 AM2h 15m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-30.
79%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 100%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 0 min
- Arrived on time 100% of the time (9 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 90% on time; After 9 PM: 63%).
- Departs outside MCO's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Short track record (9 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 9 flights
Find Southwest 2374 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#3 · Southwest 1081
2:20 PM → 3:30 PM2h 10m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-29.
76%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 82%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 14 min
- Arrived on time 82% of the time (39 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 39 scheduled flights.
- Departs inside MCO's trouble window: 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
- 57% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
Limited track record · 39 flights
Find Southwest 1081 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#4 · Spirit 2052
2:28 PM → 3:40 PM2h 12m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-01.
75%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 73%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 14 min
- Arrived on time 73% of the time (11 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs inside MCO's trouble window: 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
- 54% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
- Short track record (11 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 11 flights
Find Spirit 2052 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#5 · Spirit 1075
9:00 AM → 10:15 AM2h 15m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-14. Same departure also flew as Spirit 1525; its record covers all of them.
71%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 73%
- Cancelled
- 7.3%
- Avg arrival delay
- 18 min
- Arrived on time 73% of the time (89 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 7.3% of the time (7 of 96).
- Departs outside MCO's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started).
Moderate track record · 89 flights
Find Spirit 1075 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#6 · Southwest 573
7:40 PM → 8:50 PM2h 10m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
68%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 73%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 22 min
- Arrived on time 73% of the time (15 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs outside MCO's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Short track record (15 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 15 flights
Find Southwest 573 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#7 · Southwest 1687
8:50 PM → 10:10 PM2h 20m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-05.
61%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 50%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 43 min
- Arrived on time 50% of the time (10 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs outside MCO's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started).
- 80% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
- Short track record (10 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 10 flights
Find Southwest 1687 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- Spirit Airlines73%
354 flights · 75% on time as flown · 2.2% cancel
- Southwest Airlines70%
445 flights · 71% on time as flown · 1.8% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- Before 9 AM90%
49 flights · avg delay 4 min
- 9 AM to noon80%
210 flights · avg delay 12 min
- Noon to 3 PM82%
67 flights · avg delay 11 min
- 3 to 6 PM70%
159 flights · avg delay 23 min
- 6 to 9 PM67%
214 flights · avg delay 26 min
- After 9 PM63%
100 flights · avg delay 25 min
Best day: Tuesday (78%). Worst: Thursday (69%).
On time by month
All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.
What delays this route
- Late-arriving aircraft44%
- Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)29%
- Air traffic control and airport volume24%
- Severe weather2%
Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure
MCO to MEM questions
- What time of day is best to fly MCO to MEM?
- Before 9 AM: 90% of flights arrived on time, against 63% for departures after 9 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
- Which airline is most on time from MCO to MEM?
- Spirit, with a season-adjusted 73% chance of operating and arriving on time over 354 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
- What is the worst month for delays on MCO to MEM?
- July (52% on time); the best was November (84%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
- Is this a prediction for my flight?
- No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.
More routes from MCO
- MEM to MCO (return)
- MCO to ATL 75%
- MCO to EWR 73%
- MCO to ORD 70%
- MCO to PHL 72%
- MCO to LGA 68%
- MCO to JFK 73%
- MCO to DFW 74%
- MCO to CLT 78%
- MCO to BWI 75%
- MCO to BOS 70%
- MCO to DCA 68%
- MCO to DEN 79%
Live status: FAA delays and ground stops