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Route on-time record

JFK to SRQ: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

New York (John F. Kennedy International Airport) to Sarasota/Bradenton (Sarasota Bradenton International Airport). 540 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 78% arrived within 15 minutes and 3.5% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Delta 2521 at 1:30 PM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

JFK → SRQ

New York to Sarasota/Bradenton: 540 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

78%

Cancelled

3.5%

avg delay 17 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

82% on time vs 76% 9 AM to noon

Most reliable airline

Delta

78% chance on time

Check JFK to SRQ fares

Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $152 (JetBlue 163 on 2026-10-31). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · Delta 2521

    1:30 PM → 4:45 PM3h 15m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-06.

    79%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    83%
    Cancelled
    5.9%
    Avg arrival delay
    15 min
    • Arrived on time 83% of the time (127 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 5.9% of the time (8 of 135).
    • Departs inside JFK's trouble window: 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.

    Moderate track record · 127 flights

    Find Delta 2521 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  2. #2 · JetBlue 163

    2:25 PM → 5:33 PM3h 09m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    75%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    77%
    Cancelled
    2.2%
    Avg arrival delay
    17 min
    • Arrived on time 77% of the time (355 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs inside JFK's trouble window: 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.

    Strong track record · 355 flights

    Find JetBlue 163 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  3. #3 · JetBlue 463

    8:25 PM → 11:49 PM3h 24m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-13.

    68%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    64%
    Cancelled
    9.7%
    Avg arrival delay
    20 min
    • Arrived on time 64% of the time (28 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 9.7% of the time (3 of 31).
    • Departs outside JFK's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • 58% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Limited track record · 28 flights

    Find JetBlue 463 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Delta Air Lines78%

    135 flights · 83% on time as flown · 4.7% cancel

  • JetBlue74%

    402 flights · 76% on time as flown · 2.9% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM82%

    111 flights · avg delay 11 min

  • 9 AM to noon76%

    138 flights · avg delay 19 min

  • Noon to 3 PM79%

    260 flights · avg delay 18 min

Best day: Tuesday (81%). Worst: Saturday (73%).

Smarter routing

Nearby airports that run more on time

  • HPN → TPA 89% chance on time

    Westchester County Airport to Tampa International Airport · 365 flights a year · 70 mi from your airports · yours: 75%

  • EWR → SRQ 78% chance on time

    Newark Liberty International Airport to Sarasota Bradenton International Airport · 937 flights a year · 21 mi from your airports · yours: 75%

  • EWR → TPA 78% chance on time

    Newark Liberty International Airport to Tampa International Airport · 2,648 flights a year · 61 mi from your airports · yours: 75%

  • LGA → SRQ 77% chance on time

    LaGuardia Airport to Sarasota Bradenton International Airport · 561 flights a year · 11 mi from your airports · yours: 75%

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
75
F
79
M
73
A
85
M
74
J
77
J
80
A
82
S
74
O
81
N
79
D
71

What delays this route

  • Late-arriving aircraft38%
  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)32%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume22%
  • Severe weather8%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

Finding the most reliable connections from JFK to SRQ…

JFK to SRQ questions

What time of day is best to fly JFK to SRQ?
Before 9 AM: 82% of flights arrived on time, against 76% for departures 9 AM to noon. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
Which airline is most on time from JFK to SRQ?
Delta, with a season-adjusted 78% chance of operating and arriving on time over 135 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on JFK to SRQ?
December (71% on time); the best was April (85%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from JFK

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops