Route on-time record
JAX to MSP: most on-time flights and the best time to fly
Jacksonville (Jacksonville International Airport) to Minneapolis (Minneapolis–Saint Paul International Airport / Wold–Chamberlain Field). 347 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 78% arrived within 15 minutes and 1.2% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Delta 2392 at 5:30 PM.
Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.
JAX → MSP
Jacksonville to Minneapolis: 347 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
78%
Cancelled
1.2%
avg delay 16 min
Best time to leave
Noon to 3 PM
89% on time vs 71% 3 to 6 PM
Most reliable airline
Delta
78% chance on time
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Most reliable nonstop flights
Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.
#1 · Delta 2392
5:30 PM → 7:43 PM3h 14m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
77%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 79%
- Cancelled
- 0.6%
- Avg arrival delay
- 17 min
- Arrived on time 79% of the time (329 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (3 to 6 PM: 71% on time; Noon to 3 PM: 89%).
Strong track record · 329 flights
Find Delta 2392 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- Delta Air Lines78%
347 flights · 78% on time as flown · 1.2% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- Noon to 3 PM89%
136 flights · avg delay 13 min
- 3 to 6 PM71%
203 flights · avg delay 19 min
Best day: Wednesday (85%). Worst: Sunday (78%).
On time by month
All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.
What delays this route
- Late-arriving aircraft50%
- Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)37%
- Air traffic control and airport volume7%
- Severe weather6%
Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure
JAX to MSP questions
- What time of day is best to fly JAX to MSP?
- Noon to 3 PM: 89% of flights arrived on time, against 71% for departures 3 to 6 PM.
- Which airline is most on time from JAX to MSP?
- Delta, with a season-adjusted 78% chance of operating and arriving on time over 347 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
- What is the worst month for delays on JAX to MSP?
- July (60% on time); the best was February (94%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
- Is this a prediction for my flight?
- No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.
More routes from JAX
- MSP to JAX (return)
- JAX to ATL 84%
- JAX to ORD 78%
- JAX to CLT 81%
- JAX to DFW 76%
- JAX to BOS 74%
- JAX to MIA 80%
- JAX to PHL 78%
- JAX to DCA 71%
- JAX to BWI 80%
- JAX to EWR 79%
- JAX to JFK 74%
- JAX to BNA 83%
Most on-time flights from JAX on every route →
Live status: FAA delays and ground stops