Route on-time record
JAX to DCA: most on-time flights and the best time to fly
Jacksonville (Jacksonville International Airport) to Washington (Ronald Reagan Washington National Airport). 1,463 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 71% arrived within 15 minutes and 2.5% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was American 949 at 7:06 AM.
Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.
JAX → DCA
Jacksonville to Washington: 1,463 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
71%
Cancelled
2.5%
avg delay 28 min
Best time to leave
Before 9 AM
87% on time vs 59% 6 to 9 PM
Most reliable airline
Republic
79% chance on time
Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $193 (American 1463 on 2026-10-19). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Most reliable nonstop flights
Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.
#1 · American 949
7:06 AM → 9:03 AM1h 57m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as American 2426; its record covers all of them.
87%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 89%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 14 min
- Arrived on time 89% of the time (240 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 241 scheduled flights.
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 87% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 59%).
Strong track record · 240 flights
Find American 949 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · Republic 4584 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
9:49 AM → 11:48 AM1h 59m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.
84%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 89%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 5 min
- Arrived on time 89% of the time (37 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 37 scheduled flights.
- Short track record (37 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 37 flights
Find 9:49 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#3 · PSA 5552 · sold as American Eagle
6:00 AM → 8:08 AM2h 08m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
68%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 70%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 181 min
- Arrived on time 70% of the time (10 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 87% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 59%).
- Short track record (10 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 10 flights
Find 6:00 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#4 · American 2223
2:22 PM → 4:22 PM2h 00m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.
66%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 76%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 17 min
- Arrived on time 76% of the time (42 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 42 scheduled flights.
- Lands inside DCA's trouble window: 63% of its 194 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
- 56% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
Limited track record · 42 flights
Find American 2223 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#5 · PSA 5296 · sold as American Eagle
1:43 PM → 3:44 PM2h 01m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.
65%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 66%
- Cancelled
- 3.2%
- Avg arrival delay
- 51 min
- Arrived on time 66% of the time (151 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 3.2% of the time (5 of 156).
- Lands inside DCA's trouble window: 63% of its 194 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
Moderate track record · 151 flights
Find 1:43 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#6 · American 3170
2:30 PM → 4:27 PM1h 57m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.
62%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 68%
- Cancelled
- 3.8%
- Avg arrival delay
- 30 min
- Arrived on time 68% of the time (25 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Lands inside DCA's trouble window: 63% of its 194 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
- 84% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
- Short track record (25 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 25 flights
Find American 3170 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#7 · American 1982
8:04 PM → 10:00 PM1h 56m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
61%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 45%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 57 min
- Arrived on time 45% of the time (11 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (6 to 9 PM: 59% on time; Before 9 AM: 87%).
- Short track record (11 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 11 flights
Find American 1982 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#8 · American 2633
7:01 PM → 9:00 PM1h 59m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.
60%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 61%
- Cancelled
- 2.7%
- Avg arrival delay
- 26 min
- Arrived on time 61% of the time (143 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (6 to 9 PM: 59% on time; Before 9 AM: 87%).
- 52% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
Moderate track record · 143 flights
Find American 2633 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#9 · American 1463
6:35 PM → 8:36 PM2h 01m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-19.
57%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 59%
- Cancelled
- 5.4%
- Avg arrival delay
- 31 min
- Arrived on time 59% of the time (174 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 5.4% of the time (10 of 186).
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (6 to 9 PM: 59% on time; Before 9 AM: 87%).
- 58% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
Moderate track record · 174 flights
Find American 1463 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- Republic Airways (sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express)79%
106 flights · 88% on time as flown · 2.3% cancel
- American Airlines69%
1,034 flights · 71% on time as flown · 2.4% cancel
- PSA Airlines (sold as American Eagle)66%
298 flights · 65% on time as flown · 3.1% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- Before 9 AM87%
356 flights · avg delay 18 min
- 9 AM to noon86%
255 flights · avg delay 10 min
- Noon to 3 PM61%
482 flights · avg delay 43 min
- 6 to 9 PM59%
343 flights · avg delay 30 min
Best day: Saturday (81%). Worst: Friday (71%).
Smarter routing
Nearby airports that run more on time
JAX → IAD 87% chance on time
Jacksonville International Airport to Washington Dulles International Airport · 762 flights a year · 23 mi from your airports · yours: 70%
JAX → BWI 79% chance on time
Jacksonville International Airport to Baltimore/Washington International Thurgood Marshall Airport · 1,409 flights a year · 30 mi from your airports · yours: 70%
On time by month
All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.
What delays this route
- Late-arriving aircraft45%
- Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)30%
- Air traffic control and airport volume15%
- Severe weather10%
Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure
JAX to DCA questions
- What time of day is best to fly JAX to DCA?
- Before 9 AM: 87% of flights arrived on time, against 59% for departures 6 to 9 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
- Which airline is most on time from JAX to DCA?
- Republic, with a season-adjusted 79% chance of operating and arriving on time over 106 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
- What is the worst month for delays on JAX to DCA?
- July (66% on time); the best was October (82%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
- Is this a prediction for my flight?
- No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.
More routes from JAX
- DCA to JAX (return)
- JAX to ATL 84%
- JAX to ORD 78%
- JAX to CLT 81%
- JAX to DFW 76%
- JAX to BOS 74%
- JAX to MIA 80%
- JAX to PHL 78%
- JAX to BWI 80%
- JAX to EWR 79%
- JAX to JFK 74%
- JAX to BNA 83%
- JAX to DEN 86%
Live status: FAA delays and ground stops