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Route on-time record

FSD to MSP: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Sioux Falls (Sioux Falls Regional Airport) to Minneapolis (Minneapolis–Saint Paul International Airport / Wold–Chamberlain Field). 1,229 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 84% arrived within 15 minutes and 1.1% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Delta 1453 at 8:19 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

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FSD → MSP

Sioux Falls to Minneapolis: 1,229 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

84%

Cancelled

1.1%

avg delay 16 min

Best time to leave

9 AM to noon

88% on time vs 77% 3 to 6 PM

Most reliable airline

Delta

86% chance on time

Check FSD to MSP fares

Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · Delta 1453

    8:19 AM → 9:30 AM1h 11m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    88%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    90%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    24 min
    • Arrived on time 90% of the time (20 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Short track record (20 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 20 flights

    Find Delta 1453 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · SkyWest 3870 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska

    10:56 AM → 12:04 PM1h 08m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    87%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    90%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    9 min
    • Arrived on time 90% of the time (20 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (9 AM to noon: 88% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 77%).
    • Lands inside MSP's trouble window: 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.
    • Short track record (20 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 20 flights

    Find 10:56 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  3. #3 · SkyWest 4027 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska

    5:00 AM → 6:08 AM1h 08m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    86%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    92%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    20 min
    • Arrived on time 92% of the time (25 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Short track record (25 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 25 flights

    Find 5:00 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  4. #4 · SkyWest 4044 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska

    1:35 PM → 2:44 PM1h 09m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    81%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    84%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    5 min
    • Arrived on time 84% of the time (25 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Lands inside MSP's trouble window: 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.
    • Short track record (25 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 25 flights

    Find 1:35 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  5. #5 · SkyWest 4051 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska

    4:16 PM → 5:24 PM1h 08m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    74%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    72%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    15 min
    • Arrived on time 72% of the time (25 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (3 to 6 PM: 77% on time; 9 AM to noon: 88%).
    • Lands inside MSP's trouble window: 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.
    • Short track record (25 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 25 flights

    Find 4:16 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Delta Air Lines86%

    366 flights · 87% on time as flown · 0.9% cancel

  • SkyWest Airlines (sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska)82%

    863 flights · 83% on time as flown · 1.3% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM87%

    477 flights · avg delay 17 min

  • 9 AM to noon88%

    250 flights · avg delay 14 min

  • Noon to 3 PM82%

    212 flights · avg delay 14 min

  • 3 to 6 PM77%

    234 flights · avg delay 18 min

  • 6 to 9 PM79%

    56 flights · avg delay 17 min

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
80
F
87
M
87
A
91
M
85
J
77
J
75
A
76
S
87
O
90
N
86
D
75

What delays this route

  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)66%
  • Severe weather23%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume10%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

Finding the most reliable connections from FSD to MSP…

FSD to MSP questions

What time of day is best to fly FSD to MSP?
9 AM to noon: 88% of flights arrived on time, against 77% for departures 3 to 6 PM.
Which airline is most on time from FSD to MSP?
Delta, with a season-adjusted 86% chance of operating and arriving on time over 366 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on FSD to MSP?
December (75% on time); the best was April (91%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from FSD

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops