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Route on-time record

FSD to DFW: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Sioux Falls (Sioux Falls Regional Airport) to Dallas-Fort Worth (Dallas Fort Worth International Airport). 1,085 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 73% arrived within 15 minutes and 2.9% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was American 2880 at 6:00 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

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FSD → DFW

Sioux Falls to Dallas-Fort Worth: 1,085 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

73%

Cancelled

2.9%

avg delay 26 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

83% on time vs 68% noon to 3 PM

Most reliable airline

SkyWest

71% chance on time

Check FSD to DFW fares

Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · American 2880

    6:00 AM → 8:21 AM2h 21m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as American 1134; its record covers all of them.

    76%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    76%
    Cancelled
    1.7%
    Avg arrival delay
    14 min
    • Arrived on time 76% of the time (114 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 83% on time; Noon to 3 PM: 68%).

    Moderate track record · 114 flights

    Find American 2880 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · American 633

    1:41 PM → 3:59 PM2h 18m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.

    68%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    73%
    Cancelled
    1.4%
    Avg arrival delay
    38 min
    • Arrived on time 73% of the time (73 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (Noon to 3 PM: 68% on time; Before 9 AM: 83%).
    • Lands inside DFW's trouble window: 53% of its 139 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • 66% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Moderate track record · 73 flights

    Find American 633 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  3. #3 · SkyWest 6223 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska

    5:28 PM → 7:51 PM2h 23m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.

    65%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    64%
    Cancelled
    4.5%
    Avg arrival delay
    58 min
    • Arrived on time 64% of the time (42 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 4.5% of the time (2 of 44).
    • 67% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
    • Short track record (42 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 42 flights

    Find 5:28 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  4. #4 · SkyWest 6194 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska

    12:42 PM → 3:00 PM2h 18m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    64%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    44%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    49 min
    • Arrived on time 44% of the time (9 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (Noon to 3 PM: 68% on time; Before 9 AM: 83%).
    • Lands inside DFW's trouble window: 53% of its 139 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • 79% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Limited track record · 9 flights

    Find 12:42 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  5. #5 · American 1878

    5:35 PM → 7:58 PM2h 23m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    63%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    50%
    Cancelled
    9.1%
    Avg arrival delay
    64 min
    • Arrived on time 50% of the time (10 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • 76% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
    • Short track record (10 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 10 flights

    Find American 1878 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • SkyWest Airlines (sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska)71%

    107 flights · 71% on time as flown · 3.2% cancel

  • American Airlines70%

    660 flights · 71% on time as flown · 2.9% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM83%

    363 flights · avg delay 13 min

  • Noon to 3 PM68%

    364 flights · avg delay 30 min

  • 3 to 6 PM70%

    358 flights · avg delay 36 min

Best day: Wednesday (81%). Worst: Monday (72%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
79
F
86
M
82
A
73
M
72
J
70
J
71
A
71
S
75
O
83
N
74
D
72

What delays this route

  • Late-arriving aircraft51%
  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)19%
  • Severe weather19%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume10%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

Finding the most reliable connections from FSD to DFW…

FSD to DFW questions

What time of day is best to fly FSD to DFW?
Before 9 AM: 83% of flights arrived on time, against 68% for departures noon to 3 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
Which airline is most on time from FSD to DFW?
SkyWest, with a season-adjusted 71% chance of operating and arriving on time over 107 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on FSD to DFW?
June (70% on time); the best was February (86%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from FSD

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops