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Route on-time record

BWI to RIC: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Baltimore (Baltimore/Washington International Thurgood Marshall Airport) to Richmond (Richmond International Airport). 729 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 80% arrived within 15 minutes and 2.2% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Southwest 3652 at 10:10 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

BWI → RIC

Baltimore to Richmond: 729 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

80%

Cancelled

2.2%

avg delay 12 min

Best time to leave

9 AM to noon

91% on time vs 64% after 9 PM

Most reliable airline

Southwest

79% chance on time

Check BWI to RIC fares

Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · Southwest 3652

    10:10 AM → 11:05 AM55m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-29.

    85%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    83%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    10 min
    • Arrived on time 83% of the time (23 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (9 AM to noon: 91% on time; After 9 PM: 64%).
    • Departs outside BWI's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 81% of its 43 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (23 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 23 flights

    Find Southwest 3652 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  2. #2 · Southwest 1721

    10:25 AM → 11:20 AM55m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    85%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    82%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    9 min
    • Arrived on time 82% of the time (33 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 33 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (9 AM to noon: 91% on time; After 9 PM: 64%).
    • Departs outside BWI's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 81% of its 43 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Limited track record · 33 flights

    Find Southwest 1721 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  3. #3 · Southwest 2227

    9:10 AM → 10:10 AM58m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    80%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    88%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    4 min
    • Arrived on time 88% of the time (16 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (9 AM to noon: 91% on time; After 9 PM: 64%).
    • Departs outside BWI's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 81% of its 43 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (16 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 16 flights

    Find Southwest 2227 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  4. #4 · Southwest 1899

    9:50 PM → 10:50 PM1h 00m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    78%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    80%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    16 min
    • Arrived on time 80% of the time (55 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 55 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (After 9 PM: 64% on time; 9 AM to noon: 91%).
    • Departs outside BWI's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 81% of its 43 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Limited track record · 55 flights

    Find Southwest 1899 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  5. #5 · Southwest 1242

    9:00 PM → 9:55 PM55m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-27.

    72%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    63%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    34 min
    • Arrived on time 63% of the time (16 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (After 9 PM: 64% on time; 9 AM to noon: 91%).
    • Departs outside BWI's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 81% of its 43 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • 54% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Limited track record · 16 flights

    Find Southwest 1242 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  6. #6 · Southwest 661

    10:30 PM → 11:25 PM55m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    61%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    60%
    Cancelled
    9.1%
    Avg arrival delay
    20 min
    • Arrived on time 60% of the time (30 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 9.1% of the time (3 of 33).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (After 9 PM: 64% on time; 9 AM to noon: 91%).
    • Departs outside BWI's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 81% of its 43 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Limited track record · 30 flights

    Find Southwest 661 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Southwest Airlines79%

    729 flights · 80% on time as flown · 2.2% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • 9 AM to noon91%

    360 flights · avg delay 5 min

  • 6 to 9 PM88%

    70 flights · avg delay 5 min

  • After 9 PM64%

    293 flights · avg delay 24 min

Best day: Wednesday (86%). Worst: Sunday (64%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
81
F
80
M
77
A
78
M
73
J
67
J
62
A
67
S
85
O
78
N
83
D
78

What delays this route

  • Late-arriving aircraft62%
  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)32%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume4%
  • Severe weather2%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

BWI to RIC questions

What time of day is best to fly BWI to RIC?
9 AM to noon: 91% of flights arrived on time, against 64% for departures after 9 PM.
Which airline is most on time from BWI to RIC?
Southwest, with a season-adjusted 79% chance of operating and arriving on time over 729 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on BWI to RIC?
July (62% on time); the best was September (85%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from BWI

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops