Route on-time record

BWI to ORF: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Baltimore (Baltimore/Washington International Thurgood Marshall Airport) to Norfolk (Norfolk International Airport). 1,531 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 79% arrived within 15 minutes and 1.4% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Southwest 2879 at 8:05 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

BWI → ORF

Baltimore to Norfolk: 1,531 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

79%

Cancelled

1.4%

avg delay 12 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

93% on time vs 62% after 9 PM

Most reliable airline

Southwest

78% chance on time

Check BWI to ORF fares

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Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

#1 · Southwest 2879
8:05 AM → 9:05 AM1h 00m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06. Same departure also flew as Southwest 447; its record covers all of them.
92%
chance on time
On time (history)
97%
Cancelled
0.0%
Avg arrival delay
3 min
- Arrived on time 97% of the time (33 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 33 scheduled flights.
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 93% on time; After 9 PM: 62%).
- Departs outside BWI's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 81% of its 43 ground stops and delay programs started).
Limited track record · 33 flights
Find Southwest 2879 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#2 · Southwest 1233
8:20 AM → 9:25 AM1h 05m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
91%
chance on time
On time (history)
94%
Cancelled
0.0%
Avg arrival delay
5 min
- Arrived on time 94% of the time (47 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 47 scheduled flights.
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 93% on time; After 9 PM: 62%).
- Departs outside BWI's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 81% of its 43 ground stops and delay programs started).
Limited track record · 47 flights
Find Southwest 1233 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#3 · Southwest 367
10:40 AM → 11:40 AM1h 00m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.
89%
chance on time
On time (history)
91%
Cancelled
0.0%
Avg arrival delay
4 min
- Arrived on time 91% of the time (44 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 44 scheduled flights.
- Departs outside BWI's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 81% of its 43 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Short track record (44 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 44 flights
Find Southwest 367 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#4 · Southwest 345
2:25 PM → 3:25 PM1h 00m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-30.
81%
chance on time
On time (history)
100%
Cancelled
0.0%
Avg arrival delay
2 min
- Arrived on time 100% of the time (8 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs inside BWI's trouble window: 81% of its 43 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
- Short track record (8 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 8 flights
Find Southwest 345 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#5 · Southwest 1242
3:50 PM → 4:50 PM1h 00m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
80%
chance on time
On time (history)
85%
Cancelled
0.0%
Avg arrival delay
8 min
- Arrived on time 85% of the time (39 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 39 scheduled flights.
- Departs inside BWI's trouble window: 81% of its 43 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
- Short track record (39 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 39 flights
Find Southwest 1242 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#6 · Southwest 549
4:50 PM → 5:50 PM1h 00m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-27.
77%
chance on time
On time (history)
69%
Cancelled
0.0%
Avg arrival delay
13 min
- Arrived on time 69% of the time (16 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs inside BWI's trouble window: 81% of its 43 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
- Short track record (16 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 16 flights
Find Southwest 549 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#7 · Southwest 3463
11:20 AM → 12:15 PM55m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
75%
chance on time
On time (history)
73%
Cancelled
0.0%
Avg arrival delay
11 min
- Arrived on time 73% of the time (55 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 55 scheduled flights.
- Departs outside BWI's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 81% of its 43 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Short track record (55 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 55 flights
Find Southwest 3463 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#8 · Southwest 755
3:35 PM → 4:30 PM55m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-01.
73%
chance on time
On time (history)
50%
Cancelled
0.0%
Avg arrival delay
19 min
- Arrived on time 50% of the time (8 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs inside BWI's trouble window: 81% of its 43 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
- Short track record (8 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 8 flights
Find Southwest 755 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#9 · Southwest 3476
9:55 PM → 10:55 PM1h 00m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
69%
chance on time
On time (history)
65%
Cancelled
0.0%
Avg arrival delay
21 min
- Arrived on time 65% of the time (55 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 55 scheduled flights.
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (After 9 PM: 62% on time; Before 9 AM: 93%).
- Departs outside BWI's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 81% of its 43 ground stops and delay programs started).
Limited track record · 55 flights
Find Southwest 3476 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#10 · Southwest 1960
5:40 PM → 6:40 PM1h 00m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.
65%
chance on time
On time (history)
36%
Cancelled
6.7%
Avg arrival delay
27 min
- Arrived on time 36% of the time (14 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs inside BWI's trouble window: 81% of its 43 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
- Short track record (14 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 14 flights
Find Southwest 1960 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

Southwest Airlines78%
1,531 flights · 79% on time as flown · 1.4% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

Before 9 AM93%
358 flights · avg delay 4 min
9 AM to noon88%
234 flights · avg delay 5 min
Noon to 3 PM77%
188 flights · avg delay 12 min
3 to 6 PM77%
289 flights · avg delay 12 min
6 to 9 PM68%
195 flights · avg delay 21 min
After 9 PM62%
267 flights · avg delay 21 min

Best day: Tuesday (81%). Worst: Sunday (67%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

What delays this route

Late-arriving aircraft44%
Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)38%
Air traffic control and airport volume12%
Severe weather4%
Security2%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

BWI to ORF questions

What time of day is best to fly BWI to ORF?: Before 9 AM: 93% of flights arrived on time, against 62% for departures after 9 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
Which airline is most on time from BWI to ORF?: Southwest, with a season-adjusted 78% chance of operating and arriving on time over 1,531 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on BWI to ORF?: July (57% on time); the best was February (84%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?: No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from BWI

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