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Route on-time record

BTV to PHL: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Burlington (Patrick Leahy Burlington International Airport) to Philadelphia (Philadelphia International Airport). 1,082 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 77% arrived within 15 minutes and 5.1% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was PSA 5296 at 5:40 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

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BTV → PHL

Burlington to Philadelphia: 1,082 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

77%

Cancelled

5.1%

avg delay 24 min

Best time to leave

9 AM to noon

84% on time vs 61% 3 to 6 PM

Most reliable airline

PSA

74% chance on time

Check BTV to PHL fares

Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $463 (American 5286 on 2026-10-28). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · PSA 5296 · sold as American Eagle

    5:40 AM → 7:13 AM1h 33m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-19.

    81%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    93%
    Cancelled
    2.3%
    Avg arrival delay
    10 min
    • Arrived on time 93% of the time (43 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • 81% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Limited track record · 43 flights

    Find 5:40 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · PSA 5139 · sold as American Eagle

    6:00 AM → 7:34 AM1h 34m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    79%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    88%
    Cancelled
    17.8%
    Avg arrival delay
    31 min
    • Arrived on time 88% of the time (60 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 17.8% of the time (13 of 73).
    • 58% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Moderate track record · 60 flights

    Find 6:00 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  3. #3 · PSA 5127 · sold as American Eagle

    12:17 PM → 1:49 PM1h 32m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.

    78%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    86%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    10 min
    • Arrived on time 86% of the time (44 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 44 scheduled flights.
    • 71% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Limited track record · 44 flights

    Find 12:17 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  4. #4 · PSA 5584 · sold as American Eagle

    6:20 PM → 7:54 PM1h 34m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    77%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    91%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    8 min
    • Arrived on time 91% of the time (11 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Lands inside PHL's trouble window: 72% of its 95 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.

    Limited track record · 11 flights

    Find 6:20 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  5. #5 · Republic 4708 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express

    5:35 PM → 7:14 PM1h 39m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-19.

    77%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    88%
    Cancelled
    2.3%
    Avg arrival delay
    5 min
    • Arrived on time 88% of the time (43 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (3 to 6 PM: 61% on time; 9 AM to noon: 84%).
    • Lands inside PHL's trouble window: 72% of its 95 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.

    Limited track record · 43 flights

    Find 5:35 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  6. #6 · American 2365

    12:57 PM → 2:31 PM1h 34m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    72%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    70%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    18 min
    • Arrived on time 70% of the time (10 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Lands inside PHL's trouble window: 72% of its 95 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
    • 78% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Limited track record · 10 flights

    Find American 2365 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  7. #7 · PSA 5095 · sold as American Eagle

    2:58 PM → 4:31 PM1h 33m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    70%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    63%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    34 min
    • Arrived on time 63% of the time (8 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Lands inside PHL's trouble window: 72% of its 95 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.

    Limited track record · 8 flights

    Find 2:58 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • PSA Airlines (sold as American Eagle)74%

    666 flights · 80% on time as flown · 5.8% cancel

  • Republic Airways (sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express)72%

    184 flights · 76% on time as flown · 6.2% cancel

  • American Airlines70%

    232 flights · 69% on time as flown · 2.5% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM83%

    362 flights · avg delay 20 min

  • 9 AM to noon84%

    168 flights · avg delay 12 min

  • Noon to 3 PM81%

    202 flights · avg delay 16 min

  • 3 to 6 PM61%

    311 flights · avg delay 39 min

  • 6 to 9 PM81%

    39 flights · avg delay 26 min

Best day: Monday (80%). Worst: Sunday (72%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
78
F
74
M
78
A
79
M
77
J
76
J
69
A
74
S
82
O
79
N
85
D
73

What delays this route

  • Late-arriving aircraft49%
  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)29%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume16%
  • Severe weather6%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

Finding the most reliable connections from BTV to PHL…

BTV to PHL questions

What time of day is best to fly BTV to PHL?
9 AM to noon: 84% of flights arrived on time, against 61% for departures 3 to 6 PM.
Which airline is most on time from BTV to PHL?
PSA, with a season-adjusted 74% chance of operating and arriving on time over 666 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on BTV to PHL?
July (69% on time); the best was November (85%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from BTV

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops