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Route on-time record

BNA to SRQ: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Nashville (Nashville International Airport) to Sarasota/Bradenton (Sarasota Bradenton International Airport). 645 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 75% arrived within 15 minutes and 1.2% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Southwest 1162 at 9:00 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

BNA → SRQ

Nashville to Sarasota/Bradenton: 645 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

75%

Cancelled

1.2%

avg delay 13 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

94% on time vs 59% 6 to 9 PM

Most reliable airline

Allegiant

76% chance on time

Check BNA to SRQ fares

Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $400 (Southwest 732 on 2026-10-23). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · Southwest 1162

    9:00 AM → 12:00 PM2h 00m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    82%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    84%
    Cancelled
    3.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    7 min
    • Arrived on time 84% of the time (32 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 3.0% of the time (1 of 33).
    • Departs outside BNA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (32 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 32 flights

    Find Southwest 1162 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · Allegiant 1354

    8:26 PM → 11:12 PM1h 46m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-25.

    80%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    89%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    5 min
    • Arrived on time 89% of the time (9 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (6 to 9 PM: 59% on time; Before 9 AM: 94%).
    • Departs outside BNA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (9 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 9 flights

    Find Allegiant 1354 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  3. #3 · Southwest 2652

    12:35 PM → 3:30 PM1h 55m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-30.

    78%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    74%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    12 min
    • Arrived on time 74% of the time (47 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 47 scheduled flights.
    • Departs outside BNA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (47 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 47 flights

    Find Southwest 2652 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  4. #4 · Southwest 1693

    1:25 PM → 4:20 PM1h 55m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    69%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    50%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    13 min
    • Arrived on time 50% of the time (8 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs inside BNA's trouble window: 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • Short track record (8 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 8 flights

    Find Southwest 1693 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  5. #5 · Southwest 2533

    7:00 PM → 9:55 PM1h 55m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    64%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    61%
    Cancelled
    6.1%
    Avg arrival delay
    12 min
    • Arrived on time 61% of the time (31 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 6.1% of the time (2 of 33).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (6 to 9 PM: 59% on time; Before 9 AM: 94%).
    • Departs outside BNA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Limited track record · 31 flights

    Find Southwest 2533 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  6. #6 · Southwest 2709

    6:20 PM → 9:15 PM1h 55m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    53%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    35%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    29 min
    • Arrived on time 35% of the time (55 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 55 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (6 to 9 PM: 59% on time; Before 9 AM: 94%).
    • Departs inside BNA's trouble window: 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.

    Limited track record · 55 flights

    Find Southwest 2709 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Allegiant Air76%

    42 flights · 78% on time as flown · 1.5% cancel

  • Southwest Airlines74%

    603 flights · 75% on time as flown · 1.2% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM94%

    107 flights · avg delay 2 min

  • 9 AM to noon90%

    90 flights · avg delay 7 min

  • Noon to 3 PM72%

    108 flights · avg delay 17 min

  • 3 to 6 PM70%

    201 flights · avg delay 16 min

  • 6 to 9 PM59%

    130 flights · avg delay 20 min

Best day: Tuesday (85%). Worst: Sunday (75%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
82
F
89
M
80
A
78
M
69
J
80
J
80
A
80
S
89
O
79
N
87
D
78

What delays this route

  • Late-arriving aircraft63%
  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)22%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume8%
  • Severe weather6%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

BNA to SRQ questions

What time of day is best to fly BNA to SRQ?
Before 9 AM: 94% of flights arrived on time, against 59% for departures 6 to 9 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
Which airline is most on time from BNA to SRQ?
Allegiant, with a season-adjusted 76% chance of operating and arriving on time over 42 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on BNA to SRQ?
May (69% on time); the best was September (89%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from BNA

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops