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Route on-time record

MCO to BNA: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Orlando (Orlando International Airport) to Nashville (Nashville International Airport). 3,480 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 75% arrived within 15 minutes and 1.9% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Southwest 256 at 7:25 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

MCO → BNA

Orlando to Nashville: 3,480 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

75%

Cancelled

1.9%

avg delay 16 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

92% on time vs 56% after 9 PM

Most reliable airline

Southwest

74% chance on time

Check MCO to BNA fares

Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $90 (Frontier 1285 on 2026-11-02). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · Southwest 256

    7:25 AM → 8:35 AM2h 10m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-30.

    90%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    96%
    Cancelled
    2.1%
    Avg arrival delay
    2 min
    • Arrived on time 96% of the time (46 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 92% on time; After 9 PM: 56%).
    • Departs outside MCO's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (46 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 46 flights

    Find Southwest 256 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · Southwest 3271

    7:55 AM → 9:05 AM2h 10m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    89%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    100%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    3 min
    • Arrived on time 100% of the time (8 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 92% on time; After 9 PM: 56%).
    • Departs outside MCO's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (8 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 8 flights

    Find Southwest 3271 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  3. #3 · Southwest 3831

    7:05 AM → 8:15 AM2h 10m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    89%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    92%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    5 min
    • Arrived on time 92% of the time (25 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 92% on time; After 9 PM: 56%).
    • Departs outside MCO's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (25 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 25 flights

    Find Southwest 3831 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  4. #4 · Southwest 3085

    9:50 AM → 10:55 AM2h 05m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as Southwest 1059; its record covers all of them.

    88%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    92%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    6 min
    • Arrived on time 92% of the time (83 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 83 scheduled flights.
    • Departs outside MCO's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Moderate track record · 83 flights

    Find Southwest 3085 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  5. #5 · Southwest 3084

    8:50 AM → 9:55 AM2h 05m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    87%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    91%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    4 min
    • Arrived on time 91% of the time (55 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 55 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 92% on time; After 9 PM: 56%).
    • Departs outside MCO's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Limited track record · 55 flights

    Find Southwest 3084 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  6. #6 · Southwest 2194

    8:25 AM → 9:35 AM2h 10m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    84%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    85%
    Cancelled
    3.6%
    Avg arrival delay
    8 min
    • Arrived on time 85% of the time (27 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 92% on time; After 9 PM: 56%).
    • Departs outside MCO's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (27 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 27 flights

    Find Southwest 2194 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  7. #7 · Southwest 3993

    1:30 PM → 2:45 PM2h 10m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-05.

    81%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    89%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    5 min
    • Arrived on time 89% of the time (18 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs inside MCO's trouble window: 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • Lands inside BNA's trouble window: 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • Short track record (18 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 18 flights

    Find Southwest 3993 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  8. #8 · Spirit 720

    7:20 AM → 8:29 AM2h 09m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-03-11.

    79%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    87%
    Cancelled
    17.5%
    Avg arrival delay
    11 min
    • Arrived on time 87% of the time (52 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 17.5% of the time (11 of 63).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 92% on time; After 9 PM: 56%).
    • Departs outside MCO's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Limited track record · 52 flights

    Find Spirit 720 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  9. #9 · Southwest 2596

    11:05 AM → 12:10 PM2h 05m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-11.

    79%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    83%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    5 min
    • Arrived on time 83% of the time (12 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside MCO's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (12 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 12 flights

    Find Southwest 2596 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  10. #10 · Southwest 3086

    2:35 PM → 3:40 PM2h 05m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as Southwest 1489, 818; its record covers all of them.

    77%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    80%
    Cancelled
    1.1%
    Avg arrival delay
    9 min
    • Arrived on time 80% of the time (87 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs inside MCO's trouble window: 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • Lands inside BNA's trouble window: 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.

    Moderate track record · 87 flights

    Find Southwest 3086 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Southwest Airlines74%

    2,538 flights · 75% on time as flown · 1.2% cancel

  • Frontier Airlines73%

    119 flights · 74% on time as flown · 1.1% cancel

  • Spirit Airlines70%

    794 flights · 72% on time as flown · 4.0% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM92%

    714 flights · avg delay 4 min

  • 9 AM to noon86%

    607 flights · avg delay 8 min

  • Noon to 3 PM76%

    442 flights · avg delay 14 min

  • 3 to 6 PM65%

    788 flights · avg delay 24 min

  • 6 to 9 PM63%

    588 flights · avg delay 22 min

  • After 9 PM56%

    341 flights · avg delay 30 min

Best day: Tuesday (83%). Worst: Saturday (71%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
78
F
78
M
73
A
81
M
70
J
67
J
66
A
73
S
83
O
79
N
84
D
76

What delays this route

  • Late-arriving aircraft41%
  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)31%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume23%
  • Severe weather4%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

MCO to BNA questions

What time of day is best to fly MCO to BNA?
Before 9 AM: 92% of flights arrived on time, against 56% for departures after 9 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
Which airline is most on time from MCO to BNA?
Southwest, with a season-adjusted 74% chance of operating and arriving on time over 2,538 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on MCO to BNA?
July (66% on time); the best was November (84%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from MCO

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops