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Route on-time record

BNA to EWR: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Nashville (Nashville International Airport) to Newark (Newark Liberty International Airport). 1,841 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 74% arrived within 15 minutes and 3.2% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Republic 3406 at 12:01 PM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

BNA → EWR

Nashville to Newark: 1,841 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

74%

Cancelled

3.2%

avg delay 25 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

87% on time vs 63% 3 to 6 PM

Most reliable airline

United

72% chance on time

Check BNA to EWR fares

Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $135 (United 2485 on 2026-11-16). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · Republic 3406 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express

    12:01 PM → 3:28 PM2h 27m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20. Same departure also flew as Republic 3612; its record covers all of them.

    84%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    96%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    1 min
    • Arrived on time 96% of the time (46 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 46 scheduled flights.
    • Departs outside BNA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Lands inside EWR's trouble window: 65% of its 259 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.

    Limited track record · 46 flights

    Find 12:01 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · United 393

    8:35 AM → 11:57 AM2h 22m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.

    82%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    95%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    2 min
    • Arrived on time 95% of the time (21 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 87% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 63%).
    • Departs outside BNA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (21 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 21 flights

    Find United 393 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  3. #3 · United 284

    7:00 AM → 10:18 AM2h 18m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    82%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    90%
    Cancelled
    9.1%
    Avg arrival delay
    3 min
    • Arrived on time 90% of the time (10 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 87% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 63%).
    • Departs outside BNA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (10 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 10 flights

    Find United 284 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  4. #4 · United 1814

    9:35 AM → 12:57 PM2h 22m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-29.

    80%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    81%
    Cancelled
    0.6%
    Avg arrival delay
    19 min
    • Arrived on time 81% of the time (173 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside BNA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Moderate track record · 173 flights

    Find United 1814 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  5. #5 · United 2690

    8:00 AM → 11:00 AM2h 18m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    79%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    85%
    Cancelled
    1.9%
    Avg arrival delay
    12 min
    • Arrived on time 85% of the time (158 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 87% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 63%).
    • Departs outside BNA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Moderate track record · 158 flights

    Find United 2690 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  6. #6 · Republic 3551 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express

    3:35 PM → 7:09 PM2h 34m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    72%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    89%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    4 min
    • Arrived on time 89% of the time (9 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (3 to 6 PM: 63% on time; Before 9 AM: 87%).
    • Departs inside BNA's trouble window: 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • Short track record (9 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 9 flights

    Find 3:35 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  7. #7 · United 2174

    1:15 PM → 4:37 PM2h 22m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    71%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    91%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    10 min
    • Arrived on time 91% of the time (11 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs inside BNA's trouble window: 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • Lands inside EWR's trouble window: 65% of its 259 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • 61% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Limited track record · 11 flights

    Find United 2174 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  8. #8 · United 1334

    3:29 PM → 6:50 PM2h 21m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-29.

    71%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    82%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    8 min
    • Arrived on time 82% of the time (28 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (3 to 6 PM: 63% on time; Before 9 AM: 87%).
    • Departs inside BNA's trouble window: 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • Lands inside EWR's trouble window: 65% of its 259 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.

    Limited track record · 28 flights

    Find United 1334 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  9. #9 · Republic 3437 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express

    4:16 PM → 7:42 PM2h 23m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-25.

    67%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    75%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    9 min
    • Arrived on time 75% of the time (8 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (3 to 6 PM: 63% on time; Before 9 AM: 87%).
    • Departs inside BNA's trouble window: 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • Short track record (8 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 8 flights

    Find 4:16 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  10. #10 · United 1109

    7:46 PM → 11:00 PM2h 14m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-03-27.

    66%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    68%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    30 min
    • Arrived on time 68% of the time (19 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside BNA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • 79% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
    • Short track record (19 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 19 flights

    Find United 1109 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • United Airlines72%

    1,356 flights · 75% on time as flown · 2.4% cancel

  • Republic Airways (sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express)72%

    377 flights · 76% on time as flown · 5.1% cancel

  • Spirit Airlines63%

    108 flights · 54% on time as flown · 3.8% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM87%

    542 flights · avg delay 11 min

  • 9 AM to noon80%

    249 flights · avg delay 19 min

  • Noon to 3 PM69%

    349 flights · avg delay 36 min

  • 3 to 6 PM63%

    289 flights · avg delay 30 min

  • 6 to 9 PM63%

    412 flights · avg delay 34 min

Best day: Wednesday (82%). Worst: Sunday (73%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
85
F
91
M
83
A
81
M
71
J
65
J
65
A
80
S
80
O
78
N
79
D
75

What delays this route

  • Air traffic control and airport volume49%
  • Late-arriving aircraft31%
  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)19%
  • Severe weather1%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

BNA to EWR questions

What time of day is best to fly BNA to EWR?
Before 9 AM: 87% of flights arrived on time, against 63% for departures 3 to 6 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
Which airline is most on time from BNA to EWR?
United, with a season-adjusted 72% chance of operating and arriving on time over 1,356 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on BNA to EWR?
June (65% on time); the best was February (91%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from BNA

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops