ATIS Alerts Smart Flight Search
Find the flight least likely to be delayed
BetaWe rank real flight numbers by how often they flew and arrived on time over the last 12 months, adjusted for your travel month and departure time, then check nearby airports and calmer connections. US airlines and airports.
TPA → EWR
Tampa to Newark: 2,650 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
75%
Cancelled
2.2%
avg delay 21 min
Best time to leave
Before 9 AM
91% on time vs 61% 3 to 6 PM
Most reliable airline
United
74% chance on time
Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $152 (United 2439 on 2026-11-26). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Most reliable nonstop flights
Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.
#1 · United 1321
7:45 AM → 10:39 AM2h 54m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-21.
91%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 94%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 2 min
- Arrived on time 94% of the time (126 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 126 scheduled flights.
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 91% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 61%).
- Departs outside TPA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started).
Moderate track record · 126 flights
Find United 1321 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · United 2439
6:00 AM → 8:54 AM2h 52m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-29.
90%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 96%
- Cancelled
- 2.6%
- Avg arrival delay
- 2 min
- Arrived on time 96% of the time (75 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 91% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 61%).
- Departs outside TPA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started).
Moderate track record · 75 flights
Find United 2439 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#3 · United 1041
7:05 AM → 9:56 AM2h 51m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
88%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 100%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 0 min
- Arrived on time 100% of the time (10 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 91% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 61%).
- Departs outside TPA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Short track record (10 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 10 flights
Find United 1041 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#4 · United 1511
9:05 AM → 11:59 AM2h 54m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-29.
86%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 97%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 1 min
- Arrived on time 97% of the time (32 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 32 scheduled flights.
- Departs outside TPA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Short track record (32 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 32 flights
Find United 1511 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#5 · United 2858
10:57 AM → 1:48 PM2h 51m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
85%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 100%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 0 min
- Arrived on time 100% of the time (11 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs outside TPA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Lands inside EWR's trouble window: 65% of its 259 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
- Short track record (11 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 11 flights
Find United 2858 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#6 · United 2204
9:37 AM → 12:22 PM2h 45m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-24.
83%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 83%
- Cancelled
- 0.8%
- Avg arrival delay
- 12 min
- Arrived on time 83% of the time (250 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs outside TPA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started).
Strong track record · 250 flights
Find United 2204 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#7 · United 1210
8:30 AM → 11:15 AM2h 45m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-03-28.
83%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 88%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 6 min
- Arrived on time 88% of the time (24 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 91% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 61%).
- Departs outside TPA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Short track record (24 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 24 flights
Find United 1210 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#8 · United 2120
10:05 AM → 12:59 PM2h 54m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.
82%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 91%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 6 min
- Arrived on time 91% of the time (53 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 53 scheduled flights.
- Departs outside TPA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Short track record (53 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 53 flights
Find United 2120 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#9 · JetBlue 2274
7:10 AM → 9:54 AM2h 44m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
82%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 80%
- Cancelled
- 2.1%
- Avg arrival delay
- 18 min
- Arrived on time 80% of the time (137 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 91% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 61%).
- Departs outside TPA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started).
Moderate track record · 137 flights
Find JetBlue 2274 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#10 · United 1353
11:10 AM → 1:59 PM2h 49m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-03-28.
81%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 86%
- Cancelled
- 2.2%
- Avg arrival delay
- 7 min
- Arrived on time 86% of the time (44 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs outside TPA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Lands inside EWR's trouble window: 65% of its 259 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
- Short track record (44 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 44 flights
Find United 1353 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- United Airlines74%
2,342 flights · 76% on time as flown · 2.0% cancel
- JetBlue69%
308 flights · 65% on time as flown · 3.1% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- Before 9 AM91%
662 flights · avg delay 5 min
- 9 AM to noon86%
479 flights · avg delay 12 min
- Noon to 3 PM73%
365 flights · avg delay 17 min
- 3 to 6 PM61%
555 flights · avg delay 38 min
- 6 to 9 PM62%
571 flights · avg delay 33 min
Best day: Tuesday (81%). Worst: Sunday (73%).
Smarter routing
Nearby airports that run more on time
SRQ → EWR 85% chance on time
Sarasota Bradenton International Airport to Newark Liberty International Airport · 937 flights a year · 40 mi from your airports · yours: 73%
TPA → JFK 78% chance on time
Tampa International Airport to John F. Kennedy International Airport · 2,304 flights a year · 21 mi from your airports · yours: 73%
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure