ATIS Alerts Smart Flight Search
Find the flight least likely to be delayed
BetaWe rank real flight numbers by how often they flew and arrived on time over the last 12 months, adjusted for your travel month and departure time, then check nearby airports and calmer connections. US airlines and airports.
SRQ → MDW
Sarasota/Bradenton to Chicago: 518 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
73%
Cancelled
1.7%
avg delay 17 min
Best time to leave
Before 9 AM
94% on time vs 47% 6 to 9 PM
Most reliable airline
Southwest
72% chance on time
Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Best trips
4 nonstop, 40 with 1 connection. Best overall weighs the chance you arrive on time as booked, connection odds, travel time and separate tickets.
Best overall#1 · Nonstop · 2h 50m
7:05 AM → 8:55 AM
85%
arrive on time
87% on time · 1.5% cancel7:05 AM SRQ → 8:55 AM MDW2h 50m
Southwest 4424
Boeing 737 MAX 8 · 1–10 yrs oldFind Southwest 4424 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · Nonstop · 2h 50m
7:15 AM → 9:05 AM
83%
arrive on time
85% on time · 2.6% cancel7:15 AM SRQ → 9:05 AM MDW2h 50m
Southwest 2580
Boeing 737 MAX 8 or 737-800 · 1–12 yrs oldFind Southwest 2580 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#3 · 1 connection · 4h 56m · one ticket (Delta)
6:00 AM → 9:56 AM
92%
connections made
78%
arrive on time
95% on time · 2.3% cancel6:00 AM SRQ → 7:41 AM ATL1h 41m
Delta 1499
Airbus A321 or Boeing 737-900ER · 7–11 yrs oldConnect in ATL · 1h 18m · 97% chance to make it · same ticket: the airline rebooks you if you miss it85% on time · 2.9% cancel8:59 AM ATL → 9:56 AM MDW1h 57m
Delta 1063
Boeing 717 or Airbus A319 · 22–27 yrs oldFind this Delta trip Look for Delta 1499 + Delta 1063 on Aviasales#4 · 1 connection · 5h 55m · one ticket (Delta)
7:05 AM → 12:02 PM
93%
connections made
81%
arrive on time
94% on time · 2.1% cancel7:05 AM SRQ → 8:50 AM ATL1h 43m
Delta 1445
Boeing 737-900ER · 7–13 yrs oldConnect in ATL · 2h 15m · 98% chance to make it · same ticket: the airline rebooks you if you miss it87% on time · 3.1% cancel11:05 AM ATL → 12:02 PM MDW1h 57m
Delta 2417
Boeing 717 or Airbus A319 · 22–27 yrs oldFind this Delta trip Look for Delta 1445 + Delta 2417 on Aviasales#5 · Nonstop · 3h 00m
12:40 PM → 2:40 PM
70%
arrive on time
72% on time · 2.8% cancel12:40 PM SRQ → 2:40 PM MDW3h 00m
Southwest 3983
Boeing 737-800 or 737 MAX 8 · 4–14 yrs oldFind Southwest 3983 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#6 · 1 connection · 5h 30m · one ticket (Southwest)
7:40 AM → 12:10 PM
94%
connections made
79%
arrive on time
90% on time · 0.3% cancel7:40 AM SRQ → 8:45 AM BNA2h 05m
Southwest 1896
Boeing 737-700 or 737 MAX 8 · 3–23 yrs oldConnect in BNA · 1h 50m · 96% chance to make it · same ticket: the airline rebooks you if you miss it84% on time · 1.1% cancel10:35 AM BNA → 12:10 PM MDW1h 35m
Southwest 4415
Boeing 737-700 · 19–22 yrs oldFind this Southwest trip Look for Southwest 1896 + Southwest 4415 on Aviasales#7 · 1 connection · 6h 15m · one ticket (Southwest)
8:50 AM → 2:05 PM
95%
connections made
81%
arrive on time
79% on time · 1.3% cancel8:50 AM SRQ → 11:15 AM PIT2h 25m
Southwest 1231
Boeing 737 MAX 8 · 0–12 yrs oldConnect in PIT · 2h 20m · 97% chance to make it · same ticket: the airline rebooks you if you miss it86% on time · 0.6% cancel1:35 PM PIT → 2:05 PM MDW1h 30m
Southwest 1348
Boeing 737 MAX 8 or 737-700 · 1–21 yrs oldFind this Southwest trip Look for Southwest 1231 + Southwest 1348 on Aviasales#8 · 1 connection · 5h 15m · one ticket (Southwest)
8:55 AM → 1:10 PM
93%
connections made
78%
arrive on time
92% on time · 0.3% cancel8:55 AM SRQ → 10:00 AM BNA2h 05m
Southwest 4415
Boeing 737-700 or 737 MAX 8 · 3–22 yrs oldConnect in BNA · 1h 35m · 95% chance to make it · same ticket: the airline rebooks you if you miss it83% on time · 1.2% cancel11:35 AM BNA → 1:10 PM MDW1h 35m
Southwest 418
Boeing 737 MAX 8 · 0–12 yrs oldFind this Southwest trip Look for Southwest 4415 + Southwest 418 on Aviasales#9 · 1 connection · 6h 30m · one ticket (Southwest)
7:40 AM → 1:10 PM
97%
connections made
81%
arrive on time
90% on time · 0.3% cancel7:40 AM SRQ → 8:45 AM BNA2h 05m
Southwest 1896
Boeing 737-700 or 737 MAX 8 · 3–23 yrs oldConnect in BNA · 2h 50m · 99% chance to make it · same ticket: the airline rebooks you if you miss it83% on time · 1.2% cancel11:35 AM BNA → 1:10 PM MDW1h 35m
Southwest 418
Boeing 737 MAX 8 · 0–12 yrs oldFind this Southwest trip Look for Southwest 1896 + Southwest 418 on Aviasales#10 · 1 connection · 4h 47m · one ticket (Delta)
8:15 AM → 12:02 PM
86%
connections made
75%
arrive on time
91% on time · 1.5% cancel8:15 AM SRQ → 10:02 AM ATL1h 47m
Delta 3194
Airbus A321 · 8–10 yrs oldConnect in ATL · 1h 03m · 90% chance to make it · same ticket: the airline rebooks you if you miss it87% on time · 3.1% cancel11:05 AM ATL → 12:02 PM MDW1h 57m
Delta 2417
Boeing 717 or Airbus A319 · 22–27 yrs oldFind this Delta trip Look for Delta 3194 + Delta 2417 on Aviasales
Aircraft and ages come from the planes each flight number actually flew in the last 3 months of data (FAA registry build years); airlines can swap planes.
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- Southwest Airlines72%
518 flights · 73% on time as flown · 1.7% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- Before 9 AM94%
155 flights · avg delay 2 min
- 9 AM to noon86%
65 flights · avg delay 6 min
- Noon to 3 PM76%
65 flights · avg delay 11 min
- 3 to 6 PM63%
102 flights · avg delay 21 min
- 6 to 9 PM47%
131 flights · avg delay 40 min
Best day: Friday (79%). Worst: Saturday (74%).
Smarter routing
Nearby airports that run more on time
TPA → MDW 74% chance on time
Tampa International Airport to Chicago Midway International Airport · 1,630 flights a year · 40 mi from your airports · yours: 72%
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure
