ATIS Alerts Smart Flight Search
Find the flight least likely to be delayed
BetaWe rank real flight numbers by how often they flew and arrived on time over the last 12 months, adjusted for your travel month and departure time, then check nearby airports and calmer connections. US airlines and airports.
ROC → EWR
Rochester to Newark: 567 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
81%
Cancelled
6.0%
avg delay 16 min
Best time to leave
Before 9 AM
89% on time vs 73% noon to 3 PM
Most reliable airline
Republic
76% chance on time
Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $172 (United 3463 on 2026-11-12). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Best trips
5 nonstop. Best overall weighs the chance you arrive on time as booked, connection odds, travel time and separate tickets.
Best overall#1 · Nonstop · 1h 24m
6:49 AM → 8:13 AM
83%
arrive on time
87% on time · 5.5% cancel6:49 AM ROC → 8:13 AM EWR1h 24m
Republic 3538 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
Embraer E175 · 2–11 yrs oldFind 6:49 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · Nonstop · 1h 20m
6:00 AM → 7:20 AM
81%
arrive on time
87% on time · 6.5% cancel6:00 AM ROC → 7:20 AM EWR1h 20m
Republic 3626 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
Embraer E175 · 2–11 yrs oldFind 6:00 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#3 · Nonstop · 1h 24m
6:11 PM → 7:35 PM
77%
arrive on time
82% on time · 5.8% cancel6:11 PM ROC → 7:35 PM EWR1h 24m
Republic 3580 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
Embraer E175 · 3–11 yrs oldFind 6:11 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#4 · Nonstop · 1h 23m
6:05 PM → 7:28 PM
77%
arrive on time
81% on time · 5.0% cancel6:05 PM ROC → 7:28 PM EWR1h 23m
Republic 3599 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
Embraer E175 · 1–11 yrs oldFind 6:05 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#5 · Nonstop · 1h 24m
2:25 PM → 3:49 PM
67%
arrive on time
73% on time · 7.7% cancel2:25 PM ROC → 3:49 PM EWR1h 24m
Republic 3415 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
Embraer E175 · 2–11 yrs oldFind 2:25 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Aircraft and ages come from the planes each flight number actually flew in the last 3 months of data (FAA registry build years); airlines can swap planes.
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- Republic Airways (sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express)76%
538 flights · 81% on time as flown · 6.2% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- Before 9 AM89%
219 flights · avg delay 13 min
- Noon to 3 PM73%
276 flights · avg delay 20 min
- 6 to 9 PM85%
48 flights · avg delay 7 min
Best day: Tuesday (88%). Worst: Sunday (83%).
Smarter routing
Nearby airports that run more on time
BUF → EWR 85% chance on time
Buffalo Niagara International Airport to Newark Liberty International Airport · 399 flights a year · 55 mi from your airports · yours: 76%
ROC → JFK 79% chance on time
Frederick Douglass Greater Rochester International Airport to John F. Kennedy International Airport · 600 flights a year · 21 mi from your airports · yours: 76%
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure