Route on-time record
SEA to MSY: most on-time flights and the best time to fly
Seattle (Seattle–Tacoma International Airport) to New Orleans (Louis Armstrong New Orleans International Airport). 627 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 77% arrived within 15 minutes and 0.5% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Alaska 1526 at 10:50 PM.
Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.
SEA → MSY
Seattle to New Orleans: 627 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
77%
Cancelled
0.5%
avg delay 10 min
Best time to leave
3 to 6 PM
86% on time vs 75% after 9 PM
Most reliable airline
Alaska
77% chance on time
Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $308 (United 2416 on 2026-10-30). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Most reliable nonstop flights
Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.
#1 · Alaska 1526
10:50 PM → 5:30 AM4h 40m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-12.
84%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 95%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 3 min
- Arrived on time 95% of the time (21 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (After 9 PM: 75% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 86%).
- Departs outside SEA's trouble window (4 PM to 10 PM, when 54% of its 68 ground stops and delay programs started).
Limited track record · 21 flights
Find Alaska 1526 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · Alaska 568
10:51 AM → 5:27 PM4h 36m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-12.
77%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 77%
- Cancelled
- 0.6%
- Avg arrival delay
- 11 min
- Arrived on time 77% of the time (340 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs outside SEA's trouble window (4 PM to 10 PM, when 54% of its 68 ground stops and delay programs started).
Strong track record · 340 flights
Find Alaska 568 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#3 · Alaska 575
11:12 AM → 5:51 PM4h 39m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
75%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 74%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 6 min
- Arrived on time 74% of the time (19 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs outside SEA's trouble window (4 PM to 10 PM, when 54% of its 68 ground stops and delay programs started).
Limited track record · 19 flights
Find Alaska 575 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#4 · Alaska 490
11:06 PM → 5:40 AM4h 34m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
75%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 74%
- Cancelled
- 0.4%
- Avg arrival delay
- 10 min
- Arrived on time 74% of the time (235 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (After 9 PM: 75% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 86%).
- Departs outside SEA's trouble window (4 PM to 10 PM, when 54% of its 68 ground stops and delay programs started).
Strong track record · 235 flights
Find Alaska 490 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- Alaska Airlines77%
622 flights · 77% on time as flown · 0.5% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- 9 AM to noon77%
366 flights · avg delay 10 min
- 3 to 6 PM86%
35 flights · avg delay 5 min
- After 9 PM75%
222 flights · avg delay 10 min
Best day: Tuesday (87%). Worst: Thursday (75%).
On time by month
All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.
What delays this route
- Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)50%
- Late-arriving aircraft29%
- Air traffic control and airport volume21%
Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure
SEA to MSY questions
- What time of day is best to fly SEA to MSY?
- 3 to 6 PM: 86% of flights arrived on time, against 75% for departures after 9 PM.
- Which airline is most on time from SEA to MSY?
- Alaska, with a season-adjusted 77% chance of operating and arriving on time over 622 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
- What is the worst month for delays on SEA to MSY?
- June (65% on time); the best was October (89%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
- Is this a prediction for my flight?
- No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.
More routes from SEA
- MSY to SEA (return)
- SEA to LAX 83%
- SEA to PHX 79%
- SEA to SFO 69%
- SEA to ANC 74%
- SEA to DEN 77%
- SEA to LAS 77%
- SEA to ORD 75%
- SEA to GEG 81%
- SEA to DFW 77%
- SEA to PDX 82%
- SEA to SAN 78%
- SEA to SMF 81%
Most on-time flights from SEA on every route →
Live status: FAA delays and ground stops