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Route on-time record

SAN to MSP: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

San Diego (San Diego International Airport) to Minneapolis (Minneapolis–Saint Paul International Airport / Wold–Chamberlain Field). 1,325 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 88% arrived within 15 minutes and 0.6% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Delta 2134 at 6:15 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

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SAN → MSP

San Diego to Minneapolis: 1,325 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

88%

Cancelled

0.6%

avg delay 11 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

93% on time vs 84% noon to 3 PM

Most reliable airline

Delta

87% chance on time

Check SAN to MSP fares

Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · Delta 2134

    6:15 AM → 11:58 AM3h 43m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    93%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    94%
    Cancelled
    1.1%
    Avg arrival delay
    5 min
    • Arrived on time 94% of the time (361 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 93% on time; Noon to 3 PM: 84%).
    • Departs inside SAN's trouble window: 66% of its 166 ground stops and delay programs started between 6 AM and noon.

    Strong track record · 361 flights

    Find Delta 2134 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · Delta 2647

    11:54 AM → 5:34 PM3h 40m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as Delta 2121; its record covers all of them.

    88%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    90%
    Cancelled
    0.7%
    Avg arrival delay
    9 min
    • Arrived on time 90% of the time (299 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs inside SAN's trouble window: 66% of its 166 ground stops and delay programs started between 6 AM and noon.
    • Lands inside MSP's trouble window: 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.

    Strong track record · 299 flights

    Find Delta 2647 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  3. #3 · Delta 2191

    5:45 PM → 11:23 PM3h 40m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    84%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    84%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    13 min
    • Arrived on time 84% of the time (278 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 280 scheduled flights.
    • Departs outside SAN's trouble window (6 AM to noon, when 66% of its 166 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Strong track record · 278 flights

    Find Delta 2191 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Delta Air Lines87%

    1,325 flights · 88% on time as flown · 0.6% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM93%

    567 flights · avg delay 7 min

  • 9 AM to noon86%

    139 flights · avg delay 18 min

  • Noon to 3 PM84%

    301 flights · avg delay 12 min

  • 3 to 6 PM84%

    318 flights · avg delay 12 min

Best day: Wednesday (90%). Worst: Friday (83%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
90
F
94
M
86
A
91
M
85
J
77
J
75
A
84
S
91
O
91
N
94
D
83

What delays this route

  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)43%
  • Late-arriving aircraft35%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume17%
  • Severe weather4%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

Finding the most reliable connections from SAN to MSP…

SAN to MSP questions

What time of day is best to fly SAN to MSP?
Before 9 AM: 93% of flights arrived on time, against 84% for departures noon to 3 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
Which airline is most on time from SAN to MSP?
Delta, with a season-adjusted 87% chance of operating and arriving on time over 1,325 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on SAN to MSP?
July (75% on time); the best was February (94%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

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Live status: FAA delays and ground stops