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Route on-time record

RDU to MCO: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Raleigh/Durham (Raleigh-Durham International Airport) to Orlando (Orlando International Airport). 2,702 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 78% arrived within 15 minutes and 2.0% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Southwest 2409 at 6:00 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

RDU → MCO

Raleigh/Durham to Orlando: 2,702 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

78%

Cancelled

2.0%

avg delay 18 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

91% on time vs 64% 6 to 9 PM

Most reliable airline

Delta

79% chance on time

Check RDU to MCO fares

Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $44 (Frontier 1233 on 2026-11-08). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · Southwest 2409

    6:00 AM → 7:45 AM1h 45m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    90%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    94%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    7 min
    • Arrived on time 94% of the time (33 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 33 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 91% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 64%).
    • Departs outside RDU's trouble window (11 AM to 5 PM, when 57% of its 14 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Limited track record · 33 flights

    Find Southwest 2409 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · Delta 1337

    7:05 AM → 9:00 AM1h 49m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    87%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    90%
    Cancelled
    4.1%
    Avg arrival delay
    8 min
    • Arrived on time 90% of the time (350 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 4.1% of the time (15 of 365).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 91% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 64%).
    • Departs outside RDU's trouble window (11 AM to 5 PM, when 57% of its 14 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Strong track record · 350 flights

    Find Delta 1337 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  3. #3 · Southwest 3994

    7:40 AM → 9:25 AM1h 45m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    86%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    85%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    12 min
    • Arrived on time 85% of the time (55 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 55 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 91% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 64%).
    • Departs outside RDU's trouble window (11 AM to 5 PM, when 57% of its 14 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Limited track record · 55 flights

    Find Southwest 3994 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  4. #4 · Delta 1377

    12:30 PM → 2:17 PM1h 47m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    81%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    84%
    Cancelled
    1.6%
    Avg arrival delay
    18 min
    • Arrived on time 84% of the time (243 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs inside RDU's trouble window: 57% of its 14 ground stops and delay programs started between 11 AM and 5 PM.
    • Lands inside MCO's trouble window: 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.

    Strong track record · 243 flights

    Find Delta 1377 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  5. #5 · Frontier 1785

    12:57 PM → 2:54 PM1h 57m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-30.

    79%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    82%
    Cancelled
    1.2%
    Avg arrival delay
    21 min
    • Arrived on time 82% of the time (162 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs inside RDU's trouble window: 57% of its 14 ground stops and delay programs started between 11 AM and 5 PM.
    • Lands inside MCO's trouble window: 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.

    Moderate track record · 162 flights

    Find Frontier 1785 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  6. #6 · Southwest 3076

    11:20 AM → 1:05 PM1h 45m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as Southwest 4597; its record covers all of them.

    79%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    77%
    Cancelled
    2.5%
    Avg arrival delay
    14 min
    • Arrived on time 77% of the time (39 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs inside RDU's trouble window: 57% of its 14 ground stops and delay programs started between 11 AM and 5 PM.
    • Lands inside MCO's trouble window: 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • 54% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Limited track record · 39 flights

    Find Southwest 3076 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  7. #7 · Delta 2232

    12:46 PM → 2:38 PM1h 52m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-12.

    78%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    76%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    12 min
    • Arrived on time 76% of the time (51 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 52 scheduled flights.
    • Departs inside RDU's trouble window: 57% of its 14 ground stops and delay programs started between 11 AM and 5 PM.
    • Lands inside MCO's trouble window: 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.

    Limited track record · 51 flights

    Find Delta 2232 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  8. #8 · Frontier 1039

    1:48 PM → 3:50 PM2h 00m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-29.

    73%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    75%
    Cancelled
    1.6%
    Avg arrival delay
    17 min
    • Arrived on time 75% of the time (253 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs inside RDU's trouble window: 57% of its 14 ground stops and delay programs started between 11 AM and 5 PM.
    • Lands inside MCO's trouble window: 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • 62% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Strong track record · 253 flights

    Find Frontier 1039 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  9. #9 · Frontier 1111

    2:32 PM → 4:27 PM1h 58m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    71%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    71%
    Cancelled
    2.3%
    Avg arrival delay
    25 min
    • Arrived on time 71% of the time (86 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs inside RDU's trouble window: 57% of its 14 ground stops and delay programs started between 11 AM and 5 PM.
    • Lands inside MCO's trouble window: 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • 66% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Moderate track record · 86 flights

    Find Frontier 1111 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  10. #10 · Delta 1319

    6:36 PM → 8:29 PM1h 53m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    68%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    68%
    Cancelled
    1.5%
    Avg arrival delay
    27 min
    • Arrived on time 68% of the time (259 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (6 to 9 PM: 64% on time; Before 9 AM: 91%).
    • Departs outside RDU's trouble window (11 AM to 5 PM, when 57% of its 14 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Strong track record · 259 flights

    Find Delta 1319 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Delta Air Lines79%

    991 flights · 81% on time as flown · 2.5% cancel

  • Republic Airways (sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express)78%

    159 flights · 80% on time as flown · 1.0% cancel

  • Southwest Airlines77%

    845 flights · 78% on time as flown · 1.7% cancel

  • Frontier Airlines73%

    707 flights · 74% on time as flown · 2.1% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM91%

    829 flights · avg delay 8 min

  • 9 AM to noon84%

    344 flights · avg delay 15 min

  • Noon to 3 PM77%

    540 flights · avg delay 16 min

  • 3 to 6 PM69%

    325 flights · avg delay 27 min

  • 6 to 9 PM64%

    539 flights · avg delay 28 min

  • After 9 PM69%

    125 flights · avg delay 29 min

Best day: Tuesday (83%). Worst: Sunday (72%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
77
F
79
M
74
A
84
M
74
J
72
J
66
A
68
S
80
O
86
N
86
D
79

What delays this route

  • Late-arriving aircraft44%
  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)30%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume25%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

RDU to MCO questions

What time of day is best to fly RDU to MCO?
Before 9 AM: 91% of flights arrived on time, against 64% for departures 6 to 9 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
Which airline is most on time from RDU to MCO?
Delta, with a season-adjusted 79% chance of operating and arriving on time over 991 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on RDU to MCO?
July (66% on time); the best was October (86%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from RDU

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops