Route on-time record

MCO to RDU: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Orlando (Orlando International Airport) to Raleigh/Durham (Raleigh-Durham International Airport). 2,703 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 76% arrived within 15 minutes and 1.8% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Southwest 3226 at 8:35 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

MCO → RDU

Orlando to Raleigh/Durham: 2,703 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

76%

Cancelled

1.8%

avg delay 20 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

90% on time vs 57% after 9 PM

Most reliable airline

Republic

79% chance on time

Check MCO to RDU fares

Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $45 (Frontier 1786 on 2026-11-05). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

#1 · Southwest 3226
8:35 AM → 10:20 AM1h 45m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
87%
chance on time
On time (history)
93%
Cancelled
0.0%
Avg arrival delay
4 min
- Arrived on time 93% of the time (54 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 54 scheduled flights.
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 90% on time; After 9 PM: 57%).
- Departs outside MCO's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started).
Limited track record · 54 flights
Find Southwest 3226 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#2 · Southwest 2136
8:15 AM → 10:05 AM1h 50m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.
85%
chance on time
On time (history)
86%
Cancelled
0.0%
Avg arrival delay
14 min
- Arrived on time 86% of the time (28 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 90% on time; After 9 PM: 57%).
- Departs outside MCO's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Short track record (28 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 28 flights
Find Southwest 2136 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#3 · Delta 1337
9:57 AM → 11:35 AM1h 51m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
84%
chance on time
On time (history)
87%
Cancelled
3.3%
Avg arrival delay
11 min
- Arrived on time 87% of the time (353 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 3.3% of the time (12 of 365).
- Departs outside MCO's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Lands inside RDU's trouble window: 57% of its 14 ground stops and delay programs started between 11 AM and 5 PM.
Strong track record · 353 flights
Find Delta 1337 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#4 · Frontier 1040
7:25 AM → 9:21 AM1h 55m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
78%
chance on time
On time (history)
78%
Cancelled
1.4%
Avg arrival delay
17 min
- Arrived on time 78% of the time (210 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 90% on time; After 9 PM: 57%).
- Departs outside MCO's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started).
Strong track record · 210 flights
Find Frontier 1040 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#5 · Frontier 1554
6:00 AM → 7:56 AM1h 53m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-04.
76%
chance on time
On time (history)
76%
Cancelled
0.8%
Avg arrival delay
20 min
- Arrived on time 76% of the time (240 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 90% on time; After 9 PM: 57%).
- Departs outside MCO's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started).
Strong track record · 240 flights
Find Frontier 1554 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#6 · Frontier 1234
5:10 PM → 7:07 PM1h 57m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-30.
76%
chance on time
On time (history)
87%
Cancelled
0.0%
Avg arrival delay
19 min
- Arrived on time 87% of the time (30 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 30 scheduled flights.
- Departs inside MCO's trouble window: 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
- Short track record (30 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 30 flights
Find Frontier 1234 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#7 · Delta 1312
3:35 PM → 5:29 PM1h 52m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
74%
chance on time
On time (history)
75%
Cancelled
1.1%
Avg arrival delay
25 min
- Arrived on time 75% of the time (265 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs inside MCO's trouble window: 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
Strong track record · 265 flights
Find Delta 1312 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#8 · Frontier 1112
10:15 PM → 12:06 AM1h 55m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-04.
74%
chance on time
On time (history)
80%
Cancelled
1.6%
Avg arrival delay
13 min
- Arrived on time 80% of the time (61 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (After 9 PM: 57% on time; Before 9 AM: 90%).
- Departs outside MCO's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started).
- 51% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
Moderate track record · 61 flights
Find Frontier 1112 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#9 · Frontier 1786
3:00 PM → 4:56 PM1h 55m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
73%
chance on time
On time (history)
75%
Cancelled
2.5%
Avg arrival delay
23 min
- Arrived on time 75% of the time (157 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs inside MCO's trouble window: 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
- Lands inside RDU's trouble window: 57% of its 14 ground stops and delay programs started between 11 AM and 5 PM.
- 51% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
Moderate track record · 157 flights
Find Frontier 1786 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#10 · Southwest 1687
2:35 PM → 4:20 PM1h 45m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
70%
chance on time
On time (history)
60%
Cancelled
0.0%
Avg arrival delay
34 min
- Arrived on time 60% of the time (15 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs inside MCO's trouble window: 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
- Lands inside RDU's trouble window: 57% of its 14 ground stops and delay programs started between 11 AM and 5 PM.
- 75% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
Limited track record · 15 flights
Find Southwest 1687 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

Republic Airways (sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express)79%
159 flights · 81% on time as flown · 0.9% cancel
Delta Air Lines77%
991 flights · 79% on time as flown · 2.3% cancel
Frontier Airlines76%
708 flights · 77% on time as flown · 1.5% cancel
Southwest Airlines70%
845 flights · 71% on time as flown · 1.9% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

Before 9 AM90%
618 flights · avg delay 7 min
9 AM to noon84%
479 flights · avg delay 14 min
Noon to 3 PM83%
341 flights · avg delay 17 min
3 to 6 PM69%
573 flights · avg delay 30 min
6 to 9 PM63%
511 flights · avg delay 29 min
After 9 PM57%
181 flights · avg delay 25 min

Best day: Wednesday (81%). Worst: Sunday (70%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

What delays this route

Late-arriving aircraft50%
Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)31%
Air traffic control and airport volume14%
Severe weather5%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

MCO to RDU questions

What time of day is best to fly MCO to RDU?: Before 9 AM: 90% of flights arrived on time, against 57% for departures after 9 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
Which airline is most on time from MCO to RDU?: Republic, with a season-adjusted 79% chance of operating and arriving on time over 159 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on MCO to RDU?: July (62% on time); the best was November (86%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?: No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from MCO

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops

All Products

Aviation Intelligence

Alerts & Airspace

Free Pilot Tools & Widgets

RC Aviation

Games & Learning

Weather Research & More

Pilot Resources

My Airports

Ask ATIS