Route on-time record
RAP to MSP: most on-time flights and the best time to fly
Rapid City (Rapid City Regional Airport) to Minneapolis (Minneapolis–Saint Paul International Airport / Wold–Chamberlain Field). 370 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 85% arrived within 15 minutes and 0.8% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was SkyWest 3927 at 6:00 AM.
Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.
RAP → MSP
Rapid City to Minneapolis: 370 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
85%
Cancelled
0.8%
avg delay 13 min
Best time to leave
Noon to 3 PM
88% on time vs 82% 9 AM to noon
Most reliable airline
SkyWest
85% chance on time
Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Most reliable nonstop flights
Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.
#1 · SkyWest 3927 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska
6:00 AM → 8:48 AM1h 43m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
86%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 88%
- Cancelled
- 2.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 18 min
- Arrived on time 88% of the time (48 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Short track record (48 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 48 flights
Find 6:00 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · SkyWest 3851 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska
4:33 PM → 6:35 PM1h 38m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
84%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 82%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 20 min
- Arrived on time 82% of the time (56 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 56 scheduled flights.
- Short track record (56 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 56 flights
Find 4:33 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#3 · SkyWest 3811 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska
2:36 PM → 5:12 PM1h 36m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
83%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 80%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 7 min
- Arrived on time 80% of the time (20 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Noon to 3 PM: 88% on time; 9 AM to noon: 82%).
- Lands inside MSP's trouble window: 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.
- Short track record (20 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 20 flights
Find 2:36 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#4 · SkyWest 3971 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska
11:03 AM → 1:39 PM1h 36m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
83%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 82%
- Cancelled
- 1.3%
- Avg arrival delay
- 10 min
- Arrived on time 82% of the time (79 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (9 AM to noon: 82% on time; Noon to 3 PM: 88%).
- Lands inside MSP's trouble window: 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.
Moderate track record · 79 flights
Find 11:03 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- SkyWest Airlines (sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska)85%
370 flights · 85% on time as flown · 0.8% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- Before 9 AM87%
80 flights · avg delay 18 min
- 9 AM to noon82%
111 flights · avg delay 12 min
- Noon to 3 PM88%
41 flights · avg delay 5 min
- 3 to 6 PM86%
138 flights · avg delay 12 min
Best day: Wednesday (89%). Worst: Friday (81%).
On time by month
All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.
What delays this route
- Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)75%
- Severe weather21%
- Air traffic control and airport volume3%
Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure
RAP to MSP questions
- What time of day is best to fly RAP to MSP?
- Noon to 3 PM: 88% of flights arrived on time, against 82% for departures 9 AM to noon.
- Which airline is most on time from RAP to MSP?
- SkyWest, with a season-adjusted 85% chance of operating and arriving on time over 370 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
- What is the worst month for delays on RAP to MSP?
- January (75% on time); the best was October (94%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
- Is this a prediction for my flight?
- No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.
More routes from RAP
Live status: FAA delays and ground stops