Route on-time record
PHX to OAK: most on-time flights and the best time to fly
Phoenix (Phoenix Sky Harbor International Airport) to Oakland (Oakland San Francisco Bay Airport). 1,948 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 76% arrived within 15 minutes and 0.4% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Southwest 1600 at 8:05 AM.
Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.
PHX → OAK
Phoenix to Oakland: 1,948 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
76%
Cancelled
0.4%
avg delay 13 min
Best time to leave
Before 9 AM
94% on time vs 59% after 9 PM
Most reliable airline
Southwest
76% chance on time
Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Most reliable nonstop flights
Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.
#1 · Southwest 1600
8:05 AM → 10:20 AM2h 10m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
92%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 95%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 2 min
- Arrived on time 95% of the time (55 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 55 scheduled flights.
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 94% on time; After 9 PM: 59%).
- Departs outside PHX's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 43% of its 46 ground stops and delay programs started).
Limited track record · 55 flights
Find Southwest 1600 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · Southwest 3832
5:05 AM → 7:05 AM2h 00m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
90%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 97%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 1 min
- Arrived on time 97% of the time (31 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 31 scheduled flights.
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 94% on time; After 9 PM: 59%).
- Departs outside PHX's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 43% of its 46 ground stops and delay programs started).
Limited track record · 31 flights
Find Southwest 3832 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#3 · Southwest 1787
5:50 AM → 8:00 AM2h 10m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.
87%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 93%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 7 min
- Arrived on time 93% of the time (28 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 94% on time; After 9 PM: 59%).
- Departs outside PHX's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 43% of its 46 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Short track record (28 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 28 flights
Find Southwest 1787 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#4 · Southwest 4236
4:05 PM → 6:15 PM2h 10m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.
84%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 94%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 4 min
- Arrived on time 94% of the time (33 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 33 scheduled flights.
- Departs inside PHX's trouble window: 43% of its 46 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
- Short track record (33 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 33 flights
Find Southwest 4236 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#5 · Southwest 4151
9:35 AM → 11:50 AM2h 15m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.
80%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 80%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 5 min
- Arrived on time 80% of the time (15 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs outside PHX's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 43% of its 46 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Short track record (15 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 15 flights
Find Southwest 4151 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#6 · Southwest 1050
11:30 AM → 1:30 PM2h 00m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
79%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 78%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 10 min
- Arrived on time 78% of the time (23 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs outside PHX's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 43% of its 46 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Short track record (23 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 23 flights
Find Southwest 1050 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#7 · Southwest 1246
1:55 PM → 3:50 PM1h 55m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-30.
79%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 63%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 17 min
- Arrived on time 63% of the time (8 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs outside PHX's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 43% of its 46 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Short track record (8 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 8 flights
Find Southwest 1246 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#8 · Southwest 3834
10:05 AM → 12:10 PM2h 05m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-30.
79%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 74%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 8 min
- Arrived on time 74% of the time (31 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 31 scheduled flights.
- Departs outside PHX's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 43% of its 46 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Short track record (31 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 31 flights
Find Southwest 3834 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#9 · Southwest 4624
2:20 PM → 4:25 PM2h 05m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.
75%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 82%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 8 min
- Arrived on time 82% of the time (33 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 33 scheduled flights.
- Departs inside PHX's trouble window: 43% of its 46 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
- Short track record (33 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 33 flights
Find Southwest 4624 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#10 · Southwest 1188
7:20 PM → 9:25 PM2h 05m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.
72%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 78%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 10 min
- Arrived on time 78% of the time (23 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs inside PHX's trouble window: 43% of its 46 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
- 67% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
- Short track record (23 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 23 flights
Find Southwest 1188 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- Southwest Airlines76%
1,948 flights · 76% on time as flown · 0.4% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- Before 9 AM94%
411 flights · avg delay 3 min
- 9 AM to noon82%
299 flights · avg delay 10 min
- Noon to 3 PM78%
262 flights · avg delay 15 min
- 3 to 6 PM76%
361 flights · avg delay 14 min
- 6 to 9 PM62%
396 flights · avg delay 19 min
- After 9 PM59%
219 flights · avg delay 23 min
Best day: Tuesday (82%). Worst: Thursday (74%).
Smarter routing
Nearby airports that run more on time
PHX → SJC 79% chance on time
Phoenix Sky Harbor International Airport to Norman Y. Mineta San Jose International Airport · 3,038 flights a year · 29 mi from your airports · yours: 76%
On time by month
All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.
What delays this route
- Late-arriving aircraft60%
- Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)37%
- Air traffic control and airport volume3%
Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure
PHX to OAK questions
- What time of day is best to fly PHX to OAK?
- Before 9 AM: 94% of flights arrived on time, against 59% for departures after 9 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
- Which airline is most on time from PHX to OAK?
- Southwest, with a season-adjusted 76% chance of operating and arriving on time over 1,948 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
- What is the worst month for delays on PHX to OAK?
- May (70% on time); the best was November (87%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
- Is this a prediction for my flight?
- No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.
More routes from PHX
- OAK to PHX (return)
- PHX to DEN 77%
- PHX to LAX 83%
- PHX to SEA 83%
- PHX to LAS 79%
- PHX to SAN 74%
- PHX to SLC 83%
- PHX to ORD 77%
- PHX to DFW 80%
- PHX to SFO 71%
- PHX to SNA 80%
- PHX to ATL 82%
- PHX to PDX 79%
Live status: FAA delays and ground stops