Route on-time record
PDX to MSP: most on-time flights and the best time to fly
Portland (Portland International Airport) to Minneapolis (Minneapolis–Saint Paul International Airport / Wold–Chamberlain Field). 1,488 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 91% arrived within 15 minutes and 0.5% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Delta 2369 at 6:05 AM.
Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.
PDX → MSP
Portland to Minneapolis: 1,488 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
91%
Cancelled
0.5%
avg delay 6 min
Best time to leave
Before 9 AM
95% on time vs 84% 3 to 6 PM
Most reliable airline
Alaska
91% chance on time
Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Most reliable nonstop flights
Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.
#1 · Delta 2369
6:05 AM → 11:22 AM3h 17m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
96%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 96%
- Cancelled
- 0.3%
- Avg arrival delay
- 2 min
- Arrived on time 96% of the time (358 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 95% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 84%).
Strong track record · 358 flights
Find Delta 2369 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · Delta 2415
11:58 AM → 5:20 PM3h 22m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
94%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 95%
- Cancelled
- 0.5%
- Avg arrival delay
- 6 min
- Arrived on time 95% of the time (206 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Lands inside MSP's trouble window: 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.
Strong track record · 206 flights
Find Delta 2415 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#3 · Alaska 782
10:45 AM → 4:15 PM3h 34m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
93%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 95%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 2 min
- Arrived on time 95% of the time (37 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 37 scheduled flights.
- Lands inside MSP's trouble window: 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.
Limited track record · 37 flights
Find Alaska 782 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#4 · Delta 2359
3:10 PM → 8:42 PM3h 32m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
91%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 90%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 9 min
- Arrived on time 90% of the time (190 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 190 scheduled flights.
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (3 to 6 PM: 84% on time; Before 9 AM: 95%).
Moderate track record · 190 flights
Find Delta 2359 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#5 · Delta 2177
1:35 PM → 7:02 PM3h 27m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
90%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 96%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 3 min
- Arrived on time 96% of the time (25 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
Limited track record · 25 flights
Find Delta 2177 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- Alaska Airlines91%
153 flights · 92% on time as flown · 0.2% cancel
- Delta Air Lines91%
1,335 flights · 91% on time as flown · 0.5% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- Before 9 AM95%
441 flights · avg delay 2 min
- 9 AM to noon95%
220 flights · avg delay 5 min
- Noon to 3 PM87%
422 flights · avg delay 10 min
- 3 to 6 PM84%
136 flights · avg delay 9 min
- After 9 PM94%
269 flights · avg delay 5 min
Best day: Saturday (93%). Worst: Monday (89%).
On time by month
All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.
What delays this route
- Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)46%
- Late-arriving aircraft42%
- Air traffic control and airport volume12%
Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure
PDX to MSP questions
- What time of day is best to fly PDX to MSP?
- Before 9 AM: 95% of flights arrived on time, against 84% for departures 3 to 6 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
- Which airline is most on time from PDX to MSP?
- Alaska, with a season-adjusted 91% chance of operating and arriving on time over 153 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
- What is the worst month for delays on PDX to MSP?
- July (81% on time); the best was October (98%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
- Is this a prediction for my flight?
- No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.
More routes from PDX
- MSP to PDX (return)
- PDX to SEA 84%
- PDX to LAX 87%
- PDX to DEN 80%
- PDX to PHX 80%
- PDX to SFO 75%
- PDX to LAS 81%
- PDX to ORD 77%
- PDX to DFW 80%
- PDX to SLC 88%
- PDX to SMF 83%
- PDX to SAN 80%
- PDX to SJC 82%
Most on-time flights from PDX on every route →
Live status: FAA delays and ground stops