Route on-time record
PDX to SMF: most on-time flights and the best time to fly
Portland (Portland International Airport) to Sacramento (Sacramento International Airport). 1,996 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 83% arrived within 15 minutes and 0.3% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Alaska 303 at 7:15 AM.
Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.
PDX → SMF
Portland to Sacramento: 1,996 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
83%
Cancelled
0.3%
avg delay 10 min
Best time to leave
Before 9 AM
97% on time vs 63% after 9 PM
Most reliable airline
Alaska
92% chance on time
Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $267 (Alaska 3374 on 2026-10-23). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Most reliable nonstop flights
Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.
#1 · Alaska 303
7:15 AM → 9:02 AM1h 47m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-12.
96%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 100%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 0 min
- Arrived on time 100% of the time (20 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 97% on time; After 9 PM: 63%).
- Short track record (20 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 20 flights
Find Alaska 303 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · Alaska 672
7:30 AM → 9:06 AM1h 36m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-21.
95%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 97%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 3 min
- Arrived on time 97% of the time (34 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 34 scheduled flights.
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 97% on time; After 9 PM: 63%).
- Short track record (34 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 34 flights
Find Alaska 672 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#3 · Alaska 715
2:37 PM → 4:17 PM1h 40m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-20.
94%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 95%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 4 min
- Arrived on time 95% of the time (20 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Short track record (20 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 20 flights
Find Alaska 715 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#4 · Alaska 350
2:30 PM → 4:09 PM1h 39m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-11. Same departure also flew as Alaska 119; its record covers all of them.
94%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 95%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 2 min
- Arrived on time 95% of the time (61 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 61 scheduled flights.
Moderate track record · 61 flights
Find Alaska 350 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#5 · Alaska 178
10:40 AM → 12:23 PM1h 43m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-03-17.
94%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 96%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 4 min
- Arrived on time 96% of the time (69 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 69 scheduled flights.
Moderate track record · 69 flights
Find Alaska 178 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#6 · Southwest 450
5:30 AM → 7:00 AM1h 30m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as Southwest 4165; its record covers all of them.
93%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 97%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 1 min
- Arrived on time 97% of the time (75 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 75 scheduled flights.
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 97% on time; After 9 PM: 63%).
Moderate track record · 75 flights
Find Southwest 450 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#7 · Alaska 366
5:44 PM → 7:26 PM1h 42m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
93%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 100%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 3 min
- Arrived on time 100% of the time (19 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Short track record (19 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 19 flights
Find Alaska 366 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#8 · Alaska 732
5:38 PM → 7:20 PM1h 42m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-21.
90%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 91%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 6 min
- Arrived on time 91% of the time (35 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 35 scheduled flights.
- Short track record (35 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 35 flights
Find Alaska 732 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#9 · SkyWest 3467 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska
2:35 PM → 4:15 PM1h 40m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
90%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 89%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 7 min
- Arrived on time 89% of the time (118 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 118 scheduled flights.
Moderate track record · 118 flights
Find 2:35 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#10 · Southwest 1211
5:40 AM → 7:10 AM1h 30m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-01.
89%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 100%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 2 min
- Arrived on time 100% of the time (8 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 97% on time; After 9 PM: 63%).
- Short track record (8 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 8 flights
Find Southwest 1211 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- Alaska Airlines92%
276 flights · 95% on time as flown · 0.6% cancel
- SkyWest Airlines (sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska)84%
518 flights · 84% on time as flown · 0.2% cancel
- Southwest Airlines80%
1,202 flights · 79% on time as flown · 0.3% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- Before 9 AM97%
418 flights · avg delay 2 min
- 9 AM to noon81%
342 flights · avg delay 9 min
- Noon to 3 PM88%
416 flights · avg delay 7 min
- 3 to 6 PM78%
360 flights · avg delay 13 min
- 6 to 9 PM74%
280 flights · avg delay 18 min
- After 9 PM63%
180 flights · avg delay 23 min
Best day: Tuesday (91%). Worst: Friday (78%).
On time by month
All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.
What delays this route
- Late-arriving aircraft68%
- Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)23%
- Air traffic control and airport volume7%
Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure
PDX to SMF questions
- What time of day is best to fly PDX to SMF?
- Before 9 AM: 97% of flights arrived on time, against 63% for departures after 9 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
- Which airline is most on time from PDX to SMF?
- Alaska, with a season-adjusted 92% chance of operating and arriving on time over 276 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
- What is the worst month for delays on PDX to SMF?
- June (79% on time); the best was November (87%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
- Is this a prediction for my flight?
- No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.
More routes from PDX
- SMF to PDX (return)
- PDX to SEA 84%
- PDX to LAX 87%
- PDX to DEN 80%
- PDX to PHX 80%
- PDX to SFO 75%
- PDX to LAS 81%
- PDX to ORD 77%
- PDX to DFW 80%
- PDX to SLC 88%
- PDX to SAN 80%
- PDX to SJC 82%
- PDX to ATL 87%
Live status: FAA delays and ground stops
