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Route on-time record

PAE to LAS: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Everett (Seattle Paine Field International Airport) to Las Vegas (Harry Reid International Airport). 447 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 87% arrived within 15 minutes and 0.9% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Alaska 777 at 6:28 PM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

PAE → LAS

Everett to Las Vegas: 447 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

87%

Cancelled

0.9%

avg delay 9 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

96% on time vs 79% noon to 3 PM

Most reliable airline

Alaska

89% chance on time

Check PAE to LAS fares

Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · Alaska 777

    6:28 PM → 9:00 PM2h 33m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    92%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    94%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    3 min
    • Arrived on time 94% of the time (144 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 144 scheduled flights.

    Moderate track record · 144 flights

    Find Alaska 777 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  2. #2 · Alaska 380

    8:20 AM → 10:52 AM2h 32m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-20.

    91%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    92%
    Cancelled
    1.9%
    Avg arrival delay
    6 min
    • Arrived on time 92% of the time (53 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 96% on time; Noon to 3 PM: 79%).
    • Lands inside LAS's trouble window: 51% of its 104 ground stops and delay programs started between 10 AM and 4 PM.
    • Short track record (53 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 53 flights

    Find Alaska 380 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  3. #3 · Alaska 1448

    7:00 AM → 9:38 AM2h 38m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-03-17.

    90%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    91%
    Cancelled
    2.9%
    Avg arrival delay
    5 min
    • Arrived on time 91% of the time (33 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 96% on time; Noon to 3 PM: 79%).
    • Short track record (33 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 33 flights

    Find Alaska 1448 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  4. #4 · Alaska 218

    6:46 PM → 9:19 PM2h 33m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-11.

    85%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    83%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    14 min
    • Arrived on time 83% of the time (12 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Short track record (12 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 12 flights

    Find Alaska 218 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Alaska Airlines89%

    391 flights · 90% on time as flown · 0.8% cancel

  • Frontier Airlines77%

    56 flights · 64% on time as flown · 1.1% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM96%

    154 flights · avg delay 3 min

  • 9 AM to noon86%

    51 flights · avg delay 12 min

  • Noon to 3 PM79%

    59 flights · avg delay 18 min

  • 6 to 9 PM84%

    167 flights · avg delay 10 min

Best day: Saturday (95%). Worst: Friday (75%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
88
F
83
M
81
A
88
M
88
J
76
J
74
A
-
S
88
O
80
N
89
D
83

What delays this route

  • Late-arriving aircraft42%
  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)29%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume28%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

PAE to LAS questions

What time of day is best to fly PAE to LAS?
Before 9 AM: 96% of flights arrived on time, against 79% for departures noon to 3 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
Which airline is most on time from PAE to LAS?
Alaska, with a season-adjusted 89% chance of operating and arriving on time over 391 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on PAE to LAS?
July (74% on time); the best was November (89%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from PAE

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops