Route on-time record
MSY to MCO: most on-time flights and the best time to fly
New Orleans (Louis Armstrong New Orleans International Airport) to Orlando (Orlando International Airport). 2,305 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 77% arrived within 15 minutes and 1.0% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Southwest 3503 at 5:00 AM.
Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.
MSY → MCO
New Orleans to Orlando: 2,305 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
77%
Cancelled
1.0%
avg delay 16 min
Best time to leave
Before 9 AM
92% on time vs 62% 3 to 6 PM
Most reliable airline
Spirit
78% chance on time
Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $77 (Frontier 1432 on 2026-11-04). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Most reliable nonstop flights
Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.
#1 · Southwest 3503
5:00 AM → 7:45 AM1h 45m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
92%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 95%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 5 min
- Arrived on time 95% of the time (55 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 55 scheduled flights.
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 92% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 62%).
- Short track record (55 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 55 flights
Find Southwest 3503 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · Southwest 1306
5:20 AM → 8:05 AM1h 40m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.
89%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 91%
- Cancelled
- 3.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 5 min
- Arrived on time 91% of the time (32 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 3.0% of the time (1 of 33).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 92% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 62%).
- Short track record (32 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 32 flights
Find Southwest 1306 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#3 · Spirit 1371
5:45 AM → 8:25 AM1h 40m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-01.
88%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 88%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 6 min
- Arrived on time 88% of the time (17 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 92% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 62%).
- Short track record (17 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 17 flights
Find Spirit 1371 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#4 · Spirit 1460
6:10 AM → 8:56 AM1h 46m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-03-11.
88%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 93%
- Cancelled
- 4.8%
- Avg arrival delay
- 6 min
- Arrived on time 93% of the time (59 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 4.8% of the time (3 of 62).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 92% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 62%).
- Short track record (59 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 59 flights
Find Spirit 1460 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#5 · Southwest 3504
7:25 AM → 10:10 AM1h 45m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
87%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 87%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 4 min
- Arrived on time 87% of the time (31 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 31 scheduled flights.
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 92% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 62%).
- Short track record (31 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 31 flights
Find Southwest 3504 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#6 · Southwest 393
8:45 AM → 11:30 AM1h 45m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-30.
82%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 75%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 30 min
- Arrived on time 75% of the time (8 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 92% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 62%).
- Short track record (8 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 8 flights
Find Southwest 393 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#7 · Frontier 1432
12:46 PM → 3:45 PM1h 55m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-04.
80%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 83%
- Cancelled
- 1.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 12 min
- Arrived on time 83% of the time (98 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Lands inside MCO's trouble window: 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
- 69% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
Moderate track record · 98 flights
Find Frontier 1432 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#8 · Spirit 1365
10:10 AM → 12:56 PM1h 42m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-01.
77%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 50%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 29 min
- Arrived on time 50% of the time (10 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- 91% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
- Short track record (10 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 10 flights
Find Spirit 1365 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#9 · Southwest 3505
12:25 PM → 3:10 PM1h 45m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-29.
77%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 74%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 11 min
- Arrived on time 74% of the time (39 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 39 scheduled flights.
- Lands inside MCO's trouble window: 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
- Short track record (39 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 39 flights
Find Southwest 3505 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#10 · Southwest 2252
12:40 PM → 3:25 PM1h 45m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.
74%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 69%
- Cancelled
- 3.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 23 min
- Arrived on time 69% of the time (32 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 3.0% of the time (1 of 33).
- Lands inside MCO's trouble window: 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
- Short track record (32 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 32 flights
Find Southwest 2252 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- Spirit Airlines78%
571 flights · 80% on time as flown · 2.2% cancel
- Southwest Airlines76%
1,577 flights · 76% on time as flown · 0.5% cancel
- Frontier Airlines75%
157 flights · 75% on time as flown · 1.5% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- Before 9 AM92%
764 flights · avg delay 6 min
- 9 AM to noon85%
275 flights · avg delay 9 min
- Noon to 3 PM75%
302 flights · avg delay 16 min
- 3 to 6 PM62%
444 flights · avg delay 26 min
- 6 to 9 PM64%
406 flights · avg delay 26 min
- After 9 PM67%
114 flights · avg delay 26 min
Best day: Tuesday (83%). Worst: Sunday (71%).
On time by month
All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.
What delays this route
- Late-arriving aircraft54%
- Air traffic control and airport volume21%
- Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)21%
- Severe weather4%
Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure
MSY to MCO questions
- What time of day is best to fly MSY to MCO?
- Before 9 AM: 92% of flights arrived on time, against 62% for departures 3 to 6 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
- Which airline is most on time from MSY to MCO?
- Spirit, with a season-adjusted 78% chance of operating and arriving on time over 571 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
- What is the worst month for delays on MSY to MCO?
- July (67% on time); the best was October (85%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
- Is this a prediction for my flight?
- No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.
More routes from MSY
- MCO to MSY (return)
- MSY to ATL 82%
- MSY to IAH 82%
- MSY to DFW 72%
- MSY to ORD 79%
- MSY to DAL 78%
- MSY to HOU 76%
- MSY to DEN 80%
- MSY to AUS 78%
- MSY to DCA 71%
- MSY to CLT 83%
- MSY to MIA 79%
- MSY to LAX 80%
Live status: FAA delays and ground stops