Route on-time record
MSY to DFW: most on-time flights and the best time to fly
New Orleans (Louis Armstrong New Orleans International Airport) to Dallas-Fort Worth (Dallas Fort Worth International Airport). 2,827 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 72% arrived within 15 minutes and 3.6% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was American 468 at 5:30 AM.
Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.
MSY → DFW
New Orleans to Dallas-Fort Worth: 2,827 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
72%
Cancelled
3.6%
avg delay 29 min
Best time to leave
Before 9 AM
83% on time vs 54% 6 to 9 PM
Most reliable airline
American
70% chance on time
Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $135 (Frontier 4993 on 2026-11-29). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Most reliable nonstop flights
Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.
#1 · American 468
5:30 AM → 7:25 AM1h 55m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as American 2090; its record covers all of them.
82%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 85%
- Cancelled
- 4.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 22 min
- Arrived on time 85% of the time (336 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 4.0% of the time (14 of 352).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 83% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 54%).
Strong track record · 336 flights
Find American 468 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · American 2429
10:34 AM → 12:23 PM1h 49m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.
80%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 86%
- Cancelled
- 5.3%
- Avg arrival delay
- 5 min
- Arrived on time 86% of the time (36 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 5.3% of the time (2 of 38).
- Short track record (36 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 36 flights
Find American 2429 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#3 · American 2972
10:47 AM → 12:40 PM1h 53m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.
80%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 87%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 9 min
- Arrived on time 87% of the time (30 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 30 scheduled flights.
- Short track record (30 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 30 flights
Find American 2972 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#4 · American 1768
7:00 AM → 9:00 AM2h 00m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.
79%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 86%
- Cancelled
- 4.5%
- Avg arrival delay
- 24 min
- Arrived on time 86% of the time (148 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 4.5% of the time (7 of 155).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 83% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 54%).
Moderate track record · 148 flights
Find American 1768 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#5 · American 2403
9:12 AM → 11:03 AM1h 51m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.
78%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 84%
- Cancelled
- 2.3%
- Avg arrival delay
- 19 min
- Arrived on time 84% of the time (43 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- 84% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
- Short track record (43 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 43 flights
Find American 2403 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#6 · American 1390
9:39 AM → 11:27 AM1h 48m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
77%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 91%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 4 min
- Arrived on time 91% of the time (11 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Short track record (11 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 11 flights
Find American 1390 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#7 · American 1470
6:34 AM → 8:30 AM1h 56m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
75%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 75%
- Cancelled
- 1.9%
- Avg arrival delay
- 33 min
- Arrived on time 75% of the time (204 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 83% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 54%).
Strong track record · 204 flights
Find American 1470 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#8 · American 2157
9:27 AM → 11:21 AM1h 54m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.
72%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 74%
- Cancelled
- 3.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 21 min
- Arrived on time 74% of the time (261 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- 54% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
Strong track record · 261 flights
Find American 2157 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#9 · Frontier 4993
1:41 PM → 3:33 PM1h 52m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-17.
70%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 79%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 13 min
- Arrived on time 79% of the time (29 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Lands inside DFW's trouble window: 53% of its 139 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
- Short track record (29 flights), so its score leans on the route's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 29 flights
Find Frontier 4993 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#10 · American 2397
11:56 AM → 1:45 PM1h 49m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.
70%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 72%
- Cancelled
- 2.3%
- Avg arrival delay
- 22 min
- Arrived on time 72% of the time (43 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Lands inside DFW's trouble window: 53% of its 139 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
- Short track record (43 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 43 flights
Find American 2397 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- American Airlines70%
2,329 flights · 73% on time as flown · 3.5% cancel
- Envoy Air (sold as American Eagle)70%
232 flights · 68% on time as flown · 3.0% cancel
- Spirit Airlines67%
207 flights · 70% on time as flown · 4.3% cancel
- PSA Airlines (sold as American Eagle)65%
30 flights · 56% on time as flown · 5.2% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- Before 9 AM83%
715 flights · avg delay 25 min
- 9 AM to noon76%
837 flights · avg delay 23 min
- Noon to 3 PM69%
323 flights · avg delay 31 min
- 3 to 6 PM69%
467 flights · avg delay 33 min
- 6 to 9 PM54%
434 flights · avg delay 40 min
Best day: Tuesday (77%). Worst: Sunday (68%).
Smarter routing
Nearby airports that run more on time
MSY → DAL 77% chance on time
Louis Armstrong New Orleans International Airport to Dallas Love Field · 2,291 flights a year · 12 mi from your airports · yours: 70%
On time by month
All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.
What delays this route
- Late-arriving aircraft47%
- Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)31%
- Air traffic control and airport volume14%
- Severe weather8%
Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure
MSY to DFW questions
- What time of day is best to fly MSY to DFW?
- Before 9 AM: 83% of flights arrived on time, against 54% for departures 6 to 9 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
- Which airline is most on time from MSY to DFW?
- American, with a season-adjusted 70% chance of operating and arriving on time over 2,329 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
- What is the worst month for delays on MSY to DFW?
- July (61% on time); the best was November (81%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
- Is this a prediction for my flight?
- No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.
More routes from MSY
- DFW to MSY (return)
- MSY to ATL 82%
- MSY to IAH 82%
- MSY to ORD 79%
- MSY to MCO 77%
- MSY to DAL 78%
- MSY to HOU 76%
- MSY to DEN 80%
- MSY to AUS 78%
- MSY to DCA 71%
- MSY to CLT 83%
- MSY to MIA 79%
- MSY to LAX 80%
Live status: FAA delays and ground stops