Route on-time record
JFK to RDU: most on-time flights and the best time to fly
New York (John F. Kennedy International Airport) to Raleigh/Durham (Raleigh-Durham International Airport). 2,381 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 74% arrived within 15 minutes and 5.2% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Republic 4506 at 12:59 PM.
Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.
JFK → RDU
New York to Raleigh/Durham: 2,381 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
74%
Cancelled
5.2%
avg delay 18 min
Best time to leave
Before 9 AM
86% on time vs 61% 6 to 9 PM
Most reliable airline
Republic
72% chance on time
Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Most reliable nonstop flights
Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.
#1 · Republic 4506 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
12:59 PM → 3:00 PM2h 01m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.
84%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 93%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 10 min
- Arrived on time 93% of the time (44 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 44 scheduled flights.
- Departs outside JFK's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Lands inside RDU's trouble window: 57% of its 14 ground stops and delay programs started between 11 AM and 5 PM.
Limited track record · 44 flights
Find 12:59 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · JetBlue 2285
9:30 AM → 11:30 AM2h 00m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
83%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 88%
- Cancelled
- 1.9%
- Avg arrival delay
- 6 min
- Arrived on time 88% of the time (155 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs outside JFK's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Lands inside RDU's trouble window: 57% of its 14 ground stops and delay programs started between 11 AM and 5 PM.
Moderate track record · 155 flights
Find JetBlue 2285 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#3 · Republic 4756 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
8:29 AM → 10:30 AM2h 01m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20. Same departure also flew as Republic 4788; its record covers all of them.
82%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 87%
- Cancelled
- 2.3%
- Avg arrival delay
- 9 min
- Arrived on time 87% of the time (125 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 86% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 61%).
- Departs outside JFK's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started).
Moderate track record · 125 flights
Find 8:29 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#4 · Republic 4509 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
10:59 AM → 12:52 PM1h 53m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.
80%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 87%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 13 min
- Arrived on time 87% of the time (30 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 30 scheduled flights.
- Departs outside JFK's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Lands inside RDU's trouble window: 57% of its 14 ground stops and delay programs started between 11 AM and 5 PM.
Limited track record · 30 flights
Find 10:59 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#5 · JetBlue 2485
11:29 AM → 1:23 PM1h 50m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.
71%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 74%
- Cancelled
- 4.9%
- Avg arrival delay
- 24 min
- Arrived on time 74% of the time (196 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 4.9% of the time (10 of 206).
- Departs outside JFK's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Lands inside RDU's trouble window: 57% of its 14 ground stops and delay programs started between 11 AM and 5 PM.
Moderate track record · 196 flights
Find JetBlue 2485 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#6 · Republic 4408 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
5:00 PM → 7:04 PM2h 04m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.
71%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 82%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 20 min
- Arrived on time 82% of the time (44 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 44 scheduled flights.
- Departs inside JFK's trouble window: 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
- Short track record (44 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 44 flights
Find 5:00 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#7 · Republic 4658 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
4:10 PM → 6:03 PM1h 53m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
70%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 72%
- Cancelled
- 3.6%
- Avg arrival delay
- 17 min
- Arrived on time 72% of the time (268 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 3.6% of the time (10 of 280).
- Departs inside JFK's trouble window: 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
Strong track record · 268 flights
Find 4:10 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#8 · JetBlue 467
4:50 PM → 6:44 PM1h 54m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
68%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 75%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 6 min
- Arrived on time 75% of the time (8 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs inside JFK's trouble window: 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
- Short track record (8 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 8 flights
Find JetBlue 467 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#9 · Republic 4573 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
9:25 PM → 11:20 PM1h 55m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
64%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 70%
- Cancelled
- 10.2%
- Avg arrival delay
- 22 min
- Arrived on time 70% of the time (283 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 10.2% of the time (32 of 315).
- Departs outside JFK's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started).
- 59% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
Strong track record · 283 flights
Find 9:25 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#10 · Republic 4804 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
7:44 PM → 9:58 PM2h 14m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
60%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 62%
- Cancelled
- 11.2%
- Avg arrival delay
- 26 min
- Arrived on time 62% of the time (143 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 11.2% of the time (18 of 161).
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (6 to 9 PM: 61% on time; Before 9 AM: 86%).
- Departs outside JFK's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started).
Moderate track record · 143 flights
Find 7:44 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- Republic Airways (sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express)72%
1,464 flights · 77% on time as flown · 5.8% cancel
- JetBlue68%
917 flights · 70% on time as flown · 4.4% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- Before 9 AM86%
438 flights · avg delay 9 min
- 9 AM to noon85%
356 flights · avg delay 10 min
- Noon to 3 PM76%
524 flights · avg delay 16 min
- 3 to 6 PM67%
429 flights · avg delay 24 min
- 6 to 9 PM61%
273 flights · avg delay 31 min
- After 9 PM65%
361 flights · avg delay 26 min
Best day: Wednesday (83%). Worst: Friday (76%).
Smarter routing
Nearby airports that run more on time
EWR → RDU 74% chance on time
Newark Liberty International Airport to Raleigh-Durham International Airport · 1,991 flights a year · 21 mi from your airports · yours: 71%
On time by month
All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.
What delays this route
- Late-arriving aircraft48%
- Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)25%
- Air traffic control and airport volume23%
- Severe weather3%
Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure
JFK to RDU questions
- What time of day is best to fly JFK to RDU?
- Before 9 AM: 86% of flights arrived on time, against 61% for departures 6 to 9 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
- Which airline is most on time from JFK to RDU?
- Republic, with a season-adjusted 72% chance of operating and arriving on time over 1,464 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
- What is the worst month for delays on JFK to RDU?
- July (70% on time); the best was October (86%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
- Is this a prediction for my flight?
- No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.
More routes from JFK
- RDU to JFK (return)
- JFK to LAX 78%
- JFK to SFO 75%
- JFK to BOS 73%
- JFK to MCO 73%
- JFK to MIA 76%
- JFK to ATL 76%
- JFK to FLL 72%
- JFK to LAS 80%
- JFK to PHX 78%
- JFK to SEA 68%
- JFK to DCA 67%
- JFK to SAN 79%
Live status: FAA delays and ground stops