Route on-time record
JFK to ORF: most on-time flights and the best time to fly
New York (John F. Kennedy International Airport) to Norfolk (Norfolk International Airport). 733 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 85% arrived within 15 minutes and 4.2% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Republic 4509 at 11:40 AM.
Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.
JFK → ORF
New York to Norfolk: 733 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
85%
Cancelled
4.2%
avg delay 10 min
Best time to leave
9 AM to noon
92% on time vs 75% 3 to 6 PM
Most reliable airline
Republic
82% chance on time
Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $316 (American 4359 on 2026-10-24). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Most reliable nonstop flights
Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.
#1 · Republic 4509 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
11:40 AM → 1:19 PM1h 39m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20. Same departure also flew as Republic 4527; its record covers all of them.
87%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 90%
- Cancelled
- 2.4%
- Avg arrival delay
- 9 min
- Arrived on time 90% of the time (163 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (9 AM to noon: 92% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 75%).
- Departs outside JFK's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started).
Moderate track record · 163 flights
Find 11:40 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · Republic 4359 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
2:50 PM → 4:21 PM1h 31m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as Republic 4360; its record covers all of them.
77%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 81%
- Cancelled
- 5.9%
- Avg arrival delay
- 12 min
- Arrived on time 81% of the time (336 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 5.9% of the time (21 of 358).
- Departs inside JFK's trouble window: 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
Strong track record · 336 flights
Find 2:50 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- Republic Airways (sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express)82%
733 flights · 85% on time as flown · 4.2% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- 9 AM to noon92%
335 flights · avg delay 8 min
- Noon to 3 PM86%
187 flights · avg delay 8 min
- 3 to 6 PM75%
188 flights · avg delay 16 min
Best day: Wednesday (90%). Worst: Saturday (79%).
On time by month
All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.
What delays this route
- Late-arriving aircraft53%
- Air traffic control and airport volume26%
- Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)21%
Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure
JFK to ORF questions
- What time of day is best to fly JFK to ORF?
- 9 AM to noon: 92% of flights arrived on time, against 75% for departures 3 to 6 PM.
- Which airline is most on time from JFK to ORF?
- Republic, with a season-adjusted 82% chance of operating and arriving on time over 733 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
- What is the worst month for delays on JFK to ORF?
- July (76% on time); the best was November (95%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
- Is this a prediction for my flight?
- No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.
More routes from JFK
- ORF to JFK (return)
- JFK to LAX 78%
- JFK to SFO 75%
- JFK to BOS 73%
- JFK to MCO 73%
- JFK to MIA 76%
- JFK to ATL 76%
- JFK to FLL 72%
- JFK to LAS 80%
- JFK to PHX 78%
- JFK to SEA 68%
- JFK to DCA 67%
- JFK to SAN 79%
Live status: FAA delays and ground stops