Route on-time record
JFK to DTW: most on-time flights and the best time to fly
New York (John F. Kennedy International Airport) to Detroit (Detroit Metropolitan Wayne County Airport). 1,216 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 74% arrived within 15 minutes and 2.6% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Delta 1172 at 12:59 PM.
Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.
JFK → DTW
New York to Detroit: 1,216 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
74%
Cancelled
2.6%
avg delay 25 min
Best time to leave
9 AM to noon
91% on time vs 61% after 9 PM
Most reliable airline
Delta
77% chance on time
Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $105 (JetBlue 920 on 2026-11-12). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Most reliable nonstop flights
Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.
#1 · Delta 1172
12:59 PM → 3:06 PM2h 07m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
88%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 96%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 4 min
- Arrived on time 96% of the time (25 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs outside JFK's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Lands inside DTW's trouble window: 64% of its 28 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
- Short track record (25 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 25 flights
Find Delta 1172 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · Delta 1253
7:35 PM → 10:02 PM2h 27m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
79%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 91%
- Cancelled
- 8.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 4 min
- Arrived on time 91% of the time (23 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs outside JFK's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Short track record (23 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 23 flights
Find Delta 1253 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#3 · Delta 2443
4:15 PM → 6:26 PM2h 13m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
77%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 79%
- Cancelled
- 2.5%
- Avg arrival delay
- 28 min
- Arrived on time 79% of the time (312 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs inside JFK's trouble window: 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
- Lands inside DTW's trouble window: 64% of its 28 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
Strong track record · 312 flights
Find Delta 2443 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#4 · JetBlue 1419
9:45 PM → 11:59 PM2h 14m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
58%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 63%
- Cancelled
- 3.7%
- Avg arrival delay
- 21 min
- Arrived on time 63% of the time (104 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 3.7% of the time (4 of 109).
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (After 9 PM: 61% on time; 9 AM to noon: 91%).
- Departs outside JFK's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started).
Moderate track record · 104 flights
Find JetBlue 1419 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- Delta Air Lines77%
771 flights · 79% on time as flown · 2.1% cancel
- JetBlue64%
445 flights · 66% on time as flown · 3.5% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- 9 AM to noon91%
56 flights · avg delay 9 min
- Noon to 3 PM86%
228 flights · avg delay 10 min
- 3 to 6 PM78%
324 flights · avg delay 28 min
- 6 to 9 PM71%
278 flights · avg delay 33 min
- After 9 PM61%
320 flights · avg delay 28 min
Best day: Tuesday (80%). Worst: Sunday (73%).
Smarter routing
Nearby airports that run more on time
EWR → DTW 75% chance on time
Newark Liberty International Airport to Detroit Metropolitan Wayne County Airport · 3,751 flights a year · 21 mi from your airports · yours: 72%
On time by month
All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.
What delays this route
- Late-arriving aircraft42%
- Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)37%
- Air traffic control and airport volume18%
- Severe weather3%
Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure
JFK to DTW questions
- What time of day is best to fly JFK to DTW?
- 9 AM to noon: 91% of flights arrived on time, against 61% for departures after 9 PM.
- Which airline is most on time from JFK to DTW?
- Delta, with a season-adjusted 77% chance of operating and arriving on time over 771 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
- What is the worst month for delays on JFK to DTW?
- July (59% on time); the best was February (88%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
- Is this a prediction for my flight?
- No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.
More routes from JFK
- DTW to JFK (return)
- JFK to LAX 78%
- JFK to SFO 75%
- JFK to BOS 73%
- JFK to MCO 73%
- JFK to MIA 76%
- JFK to ATL 76%
- JFK to FLL 72%
- JFK to LAS 80%
- JFK to PHX 78%
- JFK to SEA 68%
- JFK to DCA 67%
- JFK to SAN 79%
Live status: FAA delays and ground stops