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Route on-time record

JFK to CVG: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

New York (John F. Kennedy International Airport) to Cincinnati / Covington (Cincinnati Northern Kentucky International Airport). 690 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 81% arrived within 15 minutes and 3.0% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Republic 4408 at 9:00 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

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JFK → CVG

New York to Cincinnati / Covington: 690 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

81%

Cancelled

3.0%

avg delay 13 min

Best time to leave

Noon to 3 PM

88% on time vs 67% 3 to 6 PM

Most reliable airline

Republic

78% chance on time

Check JFK to CVG fares

Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $195 (American 4609 on 2026-10-21). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · Republic 4408 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express

    9:00 AM → 11:22 AM2h 22m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    84%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    100%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    0 min
    • Arrived on time 100% of the time (11 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside JFK's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 66% of its 168 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Limited track record · 11 flights

    Find 9:00 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · Republic 4609 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express

    11:10 AM → 1:27 PM2h 17m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as Republic 4426; its record covers all of them.

    80%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    83%
    Cancelled
    1.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    11 min
    • Arrived on time 83% of the time (204 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside JFK's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 66% of its 168 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Strong track record · 204 flights

    Find 11:10 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Republic Airways (sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express)78%

    689 flights · 81% on time as flown · 2.9% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM87%

    156 flights · avg delay 5 min

  • 9 AM to noon82%

    275 flights · avg delay 10 min

  • Noon to 3 PM88%

    108 flights · avg delay 8 min

  • 3 to 6 PM67%

    75 flights · avg delay 38 min

  • 6 to 9 PM68%

    66 flights · avg delay 21 min

Best day: Tuesday (88%). Worst: Saturday (80%).

Smarter routing

Nearby airports that run more on time

  • EWR → CVG 84% chance on time

    Newark Liberty International Airport to Cincinnati Northern Kentucky International Airport · 404 flights a year · 21 mi from your airports · yours: 78%

    Rank flightsFares

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
84
F
85
M
89
A
89
M
85
J
80
J
71
A
79
S
83
O
89
N
92
D
83

What delays this route

  • Late-arriving aircraft56%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume28%
  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)14%
  • Severe weather2%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

Finding the most reliable connections from JFK to CVG…

JFK to CVG questions

What time of day is best to fly JFK to CVG?
Noon to 3 PM: 88% of flights arrived on time, against 67% for departures 3 to 6 PM.
Which airline is most on time from JFK to CVG?
Republic, with a season-adjusted 78% chance of operating and arriving on time over 689 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on JFK to CVG?
July (71% on time); the best was November (92%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

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Live status: FAA delays and ground stops