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Route on-time record

JFK to BNA: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

New York (John F. Kennedy International Airport) to Nashville (Nashville International Airport). 1,482 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 72% arrived within 15 minutes and 4.4% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Republic 4545 at 10:11 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

JFK → BNA

New York to Nashville: 1,482 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

72%

Cancelled

4.4%

avg delay 19 min

Best time to leave

9 AM to noon

83% on time vs 53% 6 to 9 PM

Most reliable airline

Republic

71% chance on time

Check JFK to BNA fares

Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $131 (American 4350 on 2026-10-20). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · Republic 4545 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express

    10:11 AM → 11:49 AM2h 38m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    79%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    100%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    0 min
    • Arrived on time 100% of the time (11 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (9 AM to noon: 83% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 53%).
    • Departs outside JFK's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (11 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 11 flights

    Find 10:11 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · Republic 4364 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express

    8:29 AM → 10:12 AM2h 43m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.

    76%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    86%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    5 min
    • Arrived on time 86% of the time (44 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 44 scheduled flights.
    • Departs outside JFK's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (44 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 44 flights

    Find 8:29 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  3. #3 · JetBlue 1173

    6:30 AM → 8:00 AM2h 33m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as JetBlue 173; its record covers all of them.

    73%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    75%
    Cancelled
    3.2%
    Avg arrival delay
    15 min
    • Arrived on time 75% of the time (334 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 3.2% of the time (11 of 348).
    • Departs outside JFK's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Strong track record · 334 flights

    Find JetBlue 1173 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  4. #4 · Republic 4710 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express

    3:59 PM → 5:52 PM2h 43m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    71%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    75%
    Cancelled
    4.7%
    Avg arrival delay
    20 min
    • Arrived on time 75% of the time (344 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 4.7% of the time (17 of 362).
    • Departs inside JFK's trouble window: 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • Lands inside BNA's trouble window: 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.

    Strong track record · 344 flights

    Find 3:59 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  5. #5 · Republic 4365 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express

    12:26 PM → 2:05 PM2h 39m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    68%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    70%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    15 min
    • Arrived on time 70% of the time (30 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 30 scheduled flights.
    • Departs outside JFK's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Lands inside BNA's trouble window: 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.

    Limited track record · 30 flights

    Find 12:26 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  6. #6 · Republic 4485 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express

    10:12 PM → 11:54 PM2h 42m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-05.

    66%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    69%
    Cancelled
    6.9%
    Avg arrival delay
    29 min
    • Arrived on time 69% of the time (26 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside JFK's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • 84% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
    • Short track record (26 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 26 flights

    Find 10:12 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  7. #7 · JetBlue 243

    8:42 AM → 10:20 AM2h 38m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    66%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    78%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    12 min
    • Arrived on time 78% of the time (9 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside JFK's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (9 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 9 flights

    Find JetBlue 243 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  8. #8 · JetBlue 673

    8:10 PM → 9:53 PM2h 48m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-12.

    53%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    60%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    20 min
    • Arrived on time 60% of the time (10 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (6 to 9 PM: 53% on time; 9 AM to noon: 83%).
    • Departs outside JFK's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • 56% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Limited track record · 10 flights

    Find JetBlue 673 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Republic Airways (sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express)71%

    940 flights · 74% on time as flown · 4.2% cancel

  • JetBlue65%

    542 flights · 68% on time as flown · 4.7% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM81%

    244 flights · avg delay 11 min

  • 9 AM to noon83%

    154 flights · avg delay 7 min

  • Noon to 3 PM69%

    426 flights · avg delay 20 min

  • 3 to 6 PM74%

    345 flights · avg delay 21 min

  • 6 to 9 PM53%

    167 flights · avg delay 34 min

  • After 9 PM70%

    146 flights · avg delay 25 min

Best day: Wednesday (82%). Worst: Sunday (75%).

Smarter routing

Nearby airports that run more on time

  • EWR → BNA 73% chance on time

    Newark Liberty International Airport to Nashville International Airport · 1,839 flights a year · 21 mi from your airports · yours: 69%

    Rank flightsFares

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
81
F
79
M
86
A
86
M
78
J
70
J
61
A
73
S
78
O
82
N
82
D
81

What delays this route

  • Late-arriving aircraft42%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume32%
  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)22%
  • Security3%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

Finding the most reliable connections from JFK to BNA…

JFK to BNA questions

What time of day is best to fly JFK to BNA?
9 AM to noon: 83% of flights arrived on time, against 53% for departures 6 to 9 PM.
Which airline is most on time from JFK to BNA?
Republic, with a season-adjusted 71% chance of operating and arriving on time over 940 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on JFK to BNA?
July (61% on time); the best was March (86%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from JFK

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops