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Route on-time record

DFW to SMF: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Dallas-Fort Worth (Dallas Fort Worth International Airport) to Sacramento (Sacramento International Airport). 1,671 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 67% arrived within 15 minutes and 2.3% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was American 2633 at 8:26 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

DFW → SMF

Dallas-Fort Worth to Sacramento: 1,671 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

67%

Cancelled

2.3%

avg delay 25 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

85% on time vs 55% after 9 PM

Most reliable airline

American

65% chance on time

Check DFW to SMF fares

Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · American 2633

    8:26 AM → 10:12 AM3h 46m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-30.

    78%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    80%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    12 min
    • Arrived on time 80% of the time (10 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 85% on time; After 9 PM: 55%).
    • Departs outside DFW's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 53% of its 139 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (10 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 10 flights

    Find American 2633 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · American 2723

    8:50 AM → 10:37 AM3h 47m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20. Same departure also flew as American 2891, 2192; its record covers all of them.

    78%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    82%
    Cancelled
    2.7%
    Avg arrival delay
    12 min
    • Arrived on time 82% of the time (214 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 85% on time; After 9 PM: 55%).
    • Departs outside DFW's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 53% of its 139 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Strong track record · 214 flights

    Find American 2723 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  3. #3 · American 2078

    11:26 AM → 1:19 PM3h 53m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    75%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    79%
    Cancelled
    1.7%
    Avg arrival delay
    12 min
    • Arrived on time 79% of the time (234 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside DFW's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 53% of its 139 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Strong track record · 234 flights

    Find American 2078 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  4. #4 · American 1536

    8:45 PM → 10:41 PM3h 56m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    70%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    76%
    Cancelled
    2.4%
    Avg arrival delay
    16 min
    • Arrived on time 76% of the time (123 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside DFW's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 53% of its 139 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Moderate track record · 123 flights

    Find American 1536 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  5. #5 · American 2634

    11:55 AM → 1:41 PM3h 46m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as American 2899; its record covers all of them.

    68%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    69%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    17 min
    • Arrived on time 69% of the time (55 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 55 scheduled flights.
    • Departs outside DFW's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 53% of its 139 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (55 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 55 flights

    Find American 2634 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  6. #6 · American 3314

    8:56 PM → 10:41 PM3h 45m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    62%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    65%
    Cancelled
    5.5%
    Avg arrival delay
    15 min
    • Arrived on time 65% of the time (52 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 5.5% of the time (3 of 55).
    • Departs outside DFW's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 53% of its 139 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (52 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 52 flights

    Find American 3314 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  7. #7 · American 1749

    10:50 PM → 12:45 AM3h 55m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-05.

    58%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    77%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    14 min
    • Arrived on time 77% of the time (13 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (After 9 PM: 55% on time; Before 9 AM: 85%).
    • Departs outside DFW's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 53% of its 139 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • 71% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Limited track record · 13 flights

    Find American 1749 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  8. #8 · American 651

    5:56 PM → 7:40 PM3h 44m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as American 2554; its record covers all of them.

    57%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    58%
    Cancelled
    1.9%
    Avg arrival delay
    35 min
    • Arrived on time 58% of the time (356 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs inside DFW's trouble window: 53% of its 139 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • 60% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Strong track record · 356 flights

    Find American 651 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  9. #9 · American 509

    10:18 PM → 11:59 PM3h 41m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    47%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    44%
    Cancelled
    6.1%
    Avg arrival delay
    39 min
    • Arrived on time 44% of the time (123 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 6.1% of the time (8 of 132).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (After 9 PM: 55% on time; Before 9 AM: 85%).
    • Departs outside DFW's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 53% of its 139 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Moderate track record · 123 flights

    Find American 509 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • American Airlines65%

    1,671 flights · 67% on time as flown · 2.3% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM85%

    356 flights · avg delay 11 min

  • 9 AM to noon74%

    319 flights · avg delay 15 min

  • Noon to 3 PM82%

    69 flights · avg delay 8 min

  • 3 to 6 PM55%

    316 flights · avg delay 39 min

  • 6 to 9 PM59%

    259 flights · avg delay 33 min

  • After 9 PM55%

    352 flights · avg delay 33 min

Best day: Tuesday (71%). Worst: Sunday (63%).

Smarter routing

Nearby airports that run more on time

  • DAL → SMF 70% chance on time

    Dallas Love Field to Sacramento International Airport · 661 flights a year · 12 mi from your airports · yours: 65%

    Rank flightsFares

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
71
F
79
M
74
A
69
M
60
J
57
J
49
A
56
S
73
O
75
N
76
D
76

What delays this route

  • Late-arriving aircraft51%
  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)38%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume8%
  • Severe weather4%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

DFW to SMF questions

What time of day is best to fly DFW to SMF?
Before 9 AM: 85% of flights arrived on time, against 55% for departures after 9 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
Which airline is most on time from DFW to SMF?
American, with a season-adjusted 65% chance of operating and arriving on time over 1,671 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on DFW to SMF?
July (49% on time); the best was February (79%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from DFW

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops