Route on-time record
DFW to MSN: most on-time flights and the best time to fly
Dallas-Fort Worth (Dallas Fort Worth International Airport) to Madison (Dane County Regional Truax Field). 1,093 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 62% arrived within 15 minutes and 2.2% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was American 2372 at 8:50 AM.
Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.
DFW → MSN
Dallas-Fort Worth to Madison: 1,093 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
62%
Cancelled
2.2%
avg delay 35 min
Best time to leave
Before 9 AM
72% on time vs 45% after 9 PM
Most reliable airline
American
61% chance on time
Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Most reliable nonstop flights
Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.
#1 · American 2372
8:50 AM → 11:05 AM2h 15m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.
72%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 81%
- Cancelled
- 2.3%
- Avg arrival delay
- 10 min
- Arrived on time 81% of the time (43 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 72% on time; After 9 PM: 45%).
- Departs outside DFW's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 53% of its 139 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Short track record (43 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 43 flights
Find American 2372 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · American 2142
8:20 AM → 10:38 AM2h 18m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as American 2139; its record covers all of them.
70%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 73%
- Cancelled
- 2.6%
- Avg arrival delay
- 15 min
- Arrived on time 73% of the time (188 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 72% on time; After 9 PM: 45%).
- Departs outside DFW's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 53% of its 139 ground stops and delay programs started).
Moderate track record · 188 flights
Find American 2142 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#3 · American 1088
3:08 PM → 5:22 PM2h 14m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.
63%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 68%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 27 min
- Arrived on time 68% of the time (44 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 44 scheduled flights.
- Departs inside DFW's trouble window: 53% of its 139 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
- Short track record (44 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 44 flights
Find American 1088 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#4 · American 1736
2:50 PM → 5:05 PM2h 15m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.
62%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 65%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 31 min
- Arrived on time 65% of the time (86 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 87 scheduled flights.
- Departs inside DFW's trouble window: 53% of its 139 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
- 69% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
Moderate track record · 86 flights
Find American 1736 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#5 · American 2141
2:11 PM → 4:31 PM2h 20m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
61%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 73%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 27 min
- Arrived on time 73% of the time (11 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs inside DFW's trouble window: 53% of its 139 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
- Short track record (11 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 11 flights
Find American 2141 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#6 · American 1641
8:34 PM → 10:50 PM2h 16m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.
52%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 53%
- Cancelled
- 3.2%
- Avg arrival delay
- 41 min
- Arrived on time 53% of the time (148 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 3.2% of the time (5 of 154).
- Departs outside DFW's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 53% of its 139 ground stops and delay programs started).
Moderate track record · 148 flights
Find American 1641 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#7 · American 876
8:16 PM → 10:32 PM2h 16m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
51%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 50%
- Cancelled
- 2.9%
- Avg arrival delay
- 62 min
- Arrived on time 50% of the time (202 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs outside DFW's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 53% of its 139 ground stops and delay programs started).
Strong track record · 202 flights
Find American 876 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- American Airlines61%
1,091 flights · 62% on time as flown · 2.2% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- Before 9 AM72%
365 flights · avg delay 19 min
- Noon to 3 PM61%
281 flights · avg delay 35 min
- 3 to 6 PM68%
84 flights · avg delay 25 min
- 6 to 9 PM53%
278 flights · avg delay 51 min
- After 9 PM45%
84 flights · avg delay 63 min
Best day: Saturday (67%). Worst: Monday (61%).
On time by month
All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.
What delays this route
- Late-arriving aircraft50%
- Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)39%
- Air traffic control and airport volume6%
- Severe weather5%
Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure
DFW to MSN questions
- What time of day is best to fly DFW to MSN?
- Before 9 AM: 72% of flights arrived on time, against 45% for departures after 9 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
- Which airline is most on time from DFW to MSN?
- American, with a season-adjusted 61% chance of operating and arriving on time over 1,091 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
- What is the worst month for delays on DFW to MSN?
- August (53% on time); the best was November (72%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
- Is this a prediction for my flight?
- No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.
More routes from DFW
- MSN to DFW (return)
- DFW to ORD 68%
- DFW to LGA 67%
- DFW to ATL 75%
- DFW to LAX 72%
- DFW to DEN 69%
- DFW to IAH 70%
- DFW to SEA 69%
- DFW to LAS 69%
- DFW to PHX 71%
- DFW to MCO 64%
- DFW to MIA 69%
- DFW to AUS 68%
Live status: FAA delays and ground stops