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Route on-time record

DEN to RIC: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Denver (Denver International Airport) to Richmond (Richmond International Airport). 724 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 68% arrived within 15 minutes and 0.8% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Frontier 1582 at 12:25 PM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

DEN → RIC

Denver to Richmond: 724 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

68%

Cancelled

0.8%

avg delay 22 min

Best time to leave

3 to 6 PM

71% on time vs 44% 6 to 9 PM

Most reliable airline

Frontier

77% chance on time

Check DEN to RIC fares

Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $533 (United 1534 on 2026-10-25). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · Frontier 1582

    12:25 PM → 5:40 PM3h 16m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    85%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    91%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    7 min
    • Arrived on time 91% of the time (53 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 53 scheduled flights.
    • Departs outside DEN's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 79% of its 174 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (53 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 53 flights

    Find Frontier 1582 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  2. #2 · United 1534

    5:25 PM → 10:57 PM3h 32m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.

    76%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    78%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    16 min
    • Arrived on time 78% of the time (262 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 262 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (3 to 6 PM: 71% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 44%).
    • Departs inside DEN's trouble window: 79% of its 174 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.

    Strong track record · 262 flights

    Find United 1534 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  3. #3 · United 2030

    9:50 AM → 3:12 PM3h 22m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    71%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    67%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    24 min
    • Arrived on time 67% of the time (9 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside DEN's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 79% of its 174 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • 65% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
    • Short track record (9 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 9 flights

    Find United 2030 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  4. #4 · United 1646

    5:50 PM → 11:25 PM3h 35m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    68%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    55%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    35 min
    • Arrived on time 55% of the time (11 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (3 to 6 PM: 71% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 44%).
    • Departs inside DEN's trouble window: 79% of its 174 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
    • 50% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Limited track record · 11 flights

    Find United 1646 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  5. #5 · Southwest 4719

    2:50 PM → 8:10 PM3h 20m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    62%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    88%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    6 min
    • Arrived on time 88% of the time (8 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs inside DEN's trouble window: 79% of its 174 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
    • Short track record (8 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 8 flights

    Find Southwest 4719 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  6. #6 · Southwest 938

    1:35 PM → 6:45 PM3h 10m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    56%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    56%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    25 min
    • Arrived on time 56% of the time (27 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside DEN's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 79% of its 174 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (27 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 27 flights

    Find Southwest 938 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  7. #7 · Southwest 4133

    11:35 AM → 4:55 PM3h 20m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-29.

    53%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    51%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    16 min
    • Arrived on time 51% of the time (39 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 39 scheduled flights.
    • Departs outside DEN's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 79% of its 174 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (39 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 39 flights

    Find Southwest 4133 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Frontier Airlines77%

    53 flights · 91% on time as flown · 0.6% cancel

  • United Airlines70%

    374 flights · 71% on time as flown · 0.8% cancel

  • Southwest Airlines61%

    297 flights · 59% on time as flown · 0.9% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • 9 AM to noon68%

    174 flights · avg delay 14 min

  • Noon to 3 PM67%

    121 flights · avg delay 17 min

  • 3 to 6 PM71%

    377 flights · avg delay 21 min

  • 6 to 9 PM44%

    52 flights · avg delay 59 min

Best day: Sunday (73%). Worst: Saturday (66%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
78
F
81
M
76
A
70
M
60
J
52
J
49
A
63
S
73
O
79
N
78
D
77

What delays this route

  • Late-arriving aircraft52%
  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)28%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume19%
  • Severe weather2%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

Finding the most reliable connections from DEN to RIC…

DEN to RIC questions

What time of day is best to fly DEN to RIC?
3 to 6 PM: 71% of flights arrived on time, against 44% for departures 6 to 9 PM.
Which airline is most on time from DEN to RIC?
Frontier, with a season-adjusted 77% chance of operating and arriving on time over 53 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on DEN to RIC?
July (49% on time); the best was February (81%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from DEN

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops