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Route on-time record

DEN to MSP: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Denver (Denver International Airport) to Minneapolis (Minneapolis–Saint Paul International Airport / Wold–Chamberlain Field). 5,835 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 78% arrived within 15 minutes and 0.7% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was United 773 at 7:40 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

DEN → MSP

Denver to Minneapolis: 5,835 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

78%

Cancelled

0.7%

avg delay 15 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

91% on time vs 59% after 9 PM

Most reliable airline

SkyWest

83% chance on time

Check DEN to MSP fares

Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · United 773

    7:40 AM → 10:38 AM1h 58m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as United 2861; its record covers all of them.

    91%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    93%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    2 min
    • Arrived on time 93% of the time (29 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 91% on time; After 9 PM: 59%).
    • Departs outside DEN's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 79% of its 174 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (29 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 29 flights

    Find United 773 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · Delta 1129

    6:20 AM → 9:21 AM2h 00m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    91%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    91%
    Cancelled
    0.8%
    Avg arrival delay
    9 min
    • Arrived on time 91% of the time (362 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 91% on time; After 9 PM: 59%).
    • Departs outside DEN's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 79% of its 174 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Strong track record · 362 flights

    Find Delta 1129 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  3. #3 · Delta 2848

    10:48 AM → 1:50 PM2h 02m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as Delta 2847, 1568; its record covers all of them.

    89%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    90%
    Cancelled
    1.4%
    Avg arrival delay
    7 min
    • Arrived on time 90% of the time (146 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside DEN's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 79% of its 174 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Lands inside MSP's trouble window: 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.

    Moderate track record · 146 flights

    Find Delta 2848 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  4. #4 · Delta 2927

    1:20 PM → 4:23 PM2h 03m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    88%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    96%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    8 min
    • Arrived on time 96% of the time (25 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside DEN's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 79% of its 174 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Lands inside MSP's trouble window: 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.
    • Short track record (25 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 25 flights

    Find Delta 2927 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  5. #5 · Southwest 1328

    10:40 AM → 1:40 PM2h 00m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    88%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    96%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    3 min
    • Arrived on time 96% of the time (55 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 55 scheduled flights.
    • Departs outside DEN's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 79% of its 174 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Lands inside MSP's trouble window: 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.

    Limited track record · 55 flights

    Find Southwest 1328 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  6. #6 · Southwest 1379

    8:35 AM → 11:30 AM1h 55m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    88%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    95%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    4 min
    • Arrived on time 95% of the time (39 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 39 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 91% on time; After 9 PM: 59%).
    • Departs outside DEN's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 79% of its 174 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Limited track record · 39 flights

    Find Southwest 1379 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  7. #7 · SkyWest 5366 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska

    8:34 PM → 11:49 PM2h 15m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-28. Same departure also flew as SkyWest 5345; its record covers all of them.

    87%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    95%
    Cancelled
    1.3%
    Avg arrival delay
    9 min
    • Arrived on time 95% of the time (78 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside DEN's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 79% of its 174 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Moderate track record · 78 flights

    Find 8:34 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  8. #8 · Delta 1675

    9:06 AM → 12:02 PM1h 56m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    86%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    84%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    14 min
    • Arrived on time 84% of the time (25 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside DEN's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 79% of its 174 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Lands inside MSP's trouble window: 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.
    • Short track record (25 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 25 flights

    Find Delta 1675 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  9. #9 · United 397

    9:35 AM → 12:40 PM2h 00m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    85%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    88%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    7 min
    • Arrived on time 88% of the time (243 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 243 scheduled flights.
    • Departs outside DEN's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 79% of its 174 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Lands inside MSP's trouble window: 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.

    Strong track record · 243 flights

    Find United 397 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  10. #10 · United 732

    1:40 PM → 4:41 PM2h 01m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    84%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    84%
    Cancelled
    0.3%
    Avg arrival delay
    12 min
    • Arrived on time 84% of the time (359 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside DEN's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 79% of its 174 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Lands inside MSP's trouble window: 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.

    Strong track record · 359 flights

    Find United 732 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • SkyWest Airlines (sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska)83%

    245 flights · 89% on time as flown · 1.8% cancel

  • Delta Air Lines81%

    1,805 flights · 81% on time as flown · 0.8% cancel

  • United Airlines80%

    1,434 flights · 80% on time as flown · 0.4% cancel

  • Southwest Airlines73%

    1,744 flights · 73% on time as flown · 0.5% cancel

  • Frontier Airlines70%

    607 flights · 70% on time as flown · 0.7% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM91%

    1,019 flights · avg delay 6 min

  • 9 AM to noon83%

    1,146 flights · avg delay 11 min

  • Noon to 3 PM80%

    1,125 flights · avg delay 12 min

  • 3 to 6 PM71%

    1,176 flights · avg delay 20 min

  • 6 to 9 PM68%

    1,132 flights · avg delay 24 min

  • After 9 PM59%

    237 flights · avg delay 28 min

Best day: Saturday (80%). Worst: Friday (75%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
78
F
81
M
82
A
80
M
74
J
67
J
67
A
74
S
81
O
84
N
85
D
80

What delays this route

  • Late-arriving aircraft53%
  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)32%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume13%
  • Severe weather2%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

DEN to MSP questions

What time of day is best to fly DEN to MSP?
Before 9 AM: 91% of flights arrived on time, against 59% for departures after 9 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
Which airline is most on time from DEN to MSP?
SkyWest, with a season-adjusted 83% chance of operating and arriving on time over 245 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on DEN to MSP?
July (67% on time); the best was November (85%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from DEN

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops