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Route on-time record

DCA to XNA: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Washington (Ronald Reagan Washington National Airport) to Fayetteville/Springdale/Rogers (Northwest Arkansas National Airport). 365 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 75% arrived within 15 minutes and 6.3% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Envoy 3452 at 7:45 PM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

DCA → XNA

Washington to Fayetteville/Springdale/Rogers: 365 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

75%

Cancelled

6.3%

avg delay 32 min

Best time to leave

No clear winner

Most reliable airline

Envoy

70% chance on time

Check DCA to XNA fares

Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · Envoy 3452 · sold as American Eagle

    7:45 PM → 9:47 PM3h 02m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    71%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    77%
    Cancelled
    7.2%
    Avg arrival delay
    41 min
    • Arrived on time 77% of the time (192 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 7.2% of the time (15 of 209).
    • Departs outside DCA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 63% of its 194 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Moderate track record · 192 flights

    Find 7:45 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · Envoy 3957 · sold as American Eagle

    7:59 PM → 10:08 PM3h 09m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    68%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    71%
    Cancelled
    5.2%
    Avg arrival delay
    20 min
    • Arrived on time 71% of the time (146 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 5.2% of the time (8 of 154).
    • Departs outside DCA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 63% of its 194 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • 64% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Moderate track record · 146 flights

    Find 7:59 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Envoy Air (sold as American Eagle)70%

    365 flights · 75% on time as flown · 6.3% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • 6 to 9 PM74%

    350 flights · avg delay 33 min

Best day: Saturday (81%). Worst: Monday (68%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
83
F
73
M
73
A
83
M
68
J
56
J
51
A
75
S
69
O
85
N
75
D
80

What delays this route

  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)44%
  • Late-arriving aircraft44%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume9%
  • Severe weather3%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

Finding the most reliable connections from DCA to XNA…

DCA to XNA questions

Which airline is most on time from DCA to XNA?
Envoy, with a season-adjusted 70% chance of operating and arriving on time over 365 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on DCA to XNA?
July (51% on time); the best was October (85%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from DCA

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops