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Route on-time record

DCA to SFO: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Washington (Ronald Reagan Washington National Airport) to San Francisco (San Francisco International Airport). 1,092 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 75% arrived within 15 minutes and 1.1% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was United 369 at 7:30 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

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DCA → SFO

Washington to San Francisco: 1,092 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

75%

Cancelled

1.1%

avg delay 19 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

89% on time vs 66% 3 to 6 PM

Most reliable airline

United

77% chance on time

Check DCA to SFO fares

Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $287 (Alaska 7 on 2026-11-08). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · United 369

    7:30 AM → 10:42 AM6h 12m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    88%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    89%
    Cancelled
    0.5%
    Avg arrival delay
    6 min
    • Arrived on time 89% of the time (362 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 89% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 66%).
    • Departs outside DCA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 63% of its 194 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Lands inside SFO's trouble window: 60% of its 334 ground stops and delay programs started between 7 AM and 1 PM.

    Strong track record · 362 flights

    Find United 369 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  2. #2 · Alaska 7

    6:41 PM → 9:58 PM6h 17m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    68%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    69%
    Cancelled
    1.1%
    Avg arrival delay
    22 min
    • Arrived on time 69% of the time (357 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs inside DCA's trouble window: 63% of its 194 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.

    Strong track record · 357 flights

    Find Alaska 7 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  3. #3 · United 368

    5:59 PM → 9:13 PM6h 14m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    67%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    64%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    25 min
    • Arrived on time 64% of the time (109 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 109 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (3 to 6 PM: 66% on time; Before 9 AM: 89%).
    • Departs inside DCA's trouble window: 63% of its 194 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.

    Moderate track record · 109 flights

    Find United 368 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • United Airlines77%

    729 flights · 78% on time as flown · 1.1% cancel

  • Alaska Airlines69%

    363 flights · 69% on time as flown · 1.1% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM89%

    364 flights · avg delay 6 min

  • 3 to 6 PM66%

    347 flights · avg delay 29 min

  • 6 to 9 PM69%

    381 flights · avg delay 22 min

Best day: Saturday (84%). Worst: Thursday (74%).

Smarter routing

Nearby airports that run more on time

  • IAD → SFO 78% chance on time

    Washington Dulles International Airport to San Francisco International Airport · 2,828 flights a year · 23 mi from your airports · yours: 74%

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
85
F
70
M
81
A
77
M
75
J
74
J
67
A
81
S
86
O
80
N
83
D
81

What delays this route

  • Air traffic control and airport volume40%
  • Late-arriving aircraft33%
  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)23%
  • Severe weather3%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

Finding the most reliable connections from DCA to SFO…

DCA to SFO questions

What time of day is best to fly DCA to SFO?
Before 9 AM: 89% of flights arrived on time, against 66% for departures 3 to 6 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
Which airline is most on time from DCA to SFO?
United, with a season-adjusted 77% chance of operating and arriving on time over 729 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on DCA to SFO?
July (67% on time); the best was September (86%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from DCA

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Live status: FAA delays and ground stops