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Route on-time record

DCA to RDU: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Washington (Ronald Reagan Washington National Airport) to Raleigh/Durham (Raleigh-Durham International Airport). 1,972 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 69% arrived within 15 minutes and 5.2% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Envoy 4048 at 11:38 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

DCA → RDU

Washington to Raleigh/Durham: 1,972 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

69%

Cancelled

5.2%

avg delay 23 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

85% on time vs 56% after 9 PM

Most reliable airline

Envoy

72% chance on time

Check DCA to RDU fares

Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $262 (American 5626 on 2026-10-27). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · Envoy 4048 · sold as American Eagle

    11:38 AM → 1:03 PM1h 25m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.

    83%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    89%
    Cancelled
    1.3%
    Avg arrival delay
    8 min
    • Arrived on time 89% of the time (74 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside DCA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 63% of its 194 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Lands inside RDU's trouble window: 57% of its 14 ground stops and delay programs started between 11 AM and 5 PM.

    Moderate track record · 74 flights

    Find 11:38 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · Envoy 4192 · sold as American Eagle

    11:00 AM → 12:17 PM1h 17m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    83%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    87%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    6 min
    • Arrived on time 87% of the time (54 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 54 scheduled flights.
    • Departs outside DCA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 63% of its 194 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Lands inside RDU's trouble window: 57% of its 14 ground stops and delay programs started between 11 AM and 5 PM.

    Limited track record · 54 flights

    Find 11:00 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  3. #3 · Republic 4700 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express

    11:30 AM → 12:50 PM1h 20m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    71%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    78%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    15 min
    • Arrived on time 78% of the time (9 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside DCA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 63% of its 194 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Lands inside RDU's trouble window: 57% of its 14 ground stops and delay programs started between 11 AM and 5 PM.
    • Short track record (9 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 9 flights

    Find 11:30 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  4. #4 · PSA 5581 · sold as American Eagle

    8:33 AM → 10:05 AM1h 32m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-30. Same departure also flew as PSA 5405; its record covers all of them.

    70%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    71%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    16 min
    • Arrived on time 71% of the time (41 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 41 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 85% on time; After 9 PM: 56%).
    • Departs outside DCA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 63% of its 194 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Limited track record · 41 flights

    Find 8:33 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  5. #5 · Envoy 3490 · sold as American Eagle

    3:59 PM → 5:24 PM1h 25m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.

    70%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    77%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    20 min
    • Arrived on time 77% of the time (44 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 44 scheduled flights.
    • Departs inside DCA's trouble window: 63% of its 194 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • 70% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Limited track record · 44 flights

    Find 3:59 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  6. #6 · PSA 5577 · sold as American Eagle

    8:26 AM → 9:56 AM1h 30m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    68%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    69%
    Cancelled
    10.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    21 min
    • Arrived on time 69% of the time (72 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 10.0% of the time (8 of 80).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 85% on time; After 9 PM: 56%).
    • Departs outside DCA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 63% of its 194 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Moderate track record · 72 flights

    Find 8:26 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  7. #7 · Republic 4505 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express

    1:59 PM → 3:23 PM1h 24m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20. Same departure also flew as Republic 4394; its record covers all of them.

    67%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    72%
    Cancelled
    0.7%
    Avg arrival delay
    22 min
    • Arrived on time 72% of the time (151 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs inside DCA's trouble window: 63% of its 194 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • Lands inside RDU's trouble window: 57% of its 14 ground stops and delay programs started between 11 AM and 5 PM.
    • 65% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Moderate track record · 151 flights

    Find 1:59 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  8. #8 · Envoy 4029 · sold as American Eagle

    6:00 PM → 7:26 PM1h 26m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    65%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    63%
    Cancelled
    11.1%
    Avg arrival delay
    27 min
    • Arrived on time 63% of the time (8 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs inside DCA's trouble window: 63% of its 194 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • 86% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
    • Short track record (8 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 8 flights

    Find 6:00 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  9. #9 · Envoy 3815 · sold as American Eagle

    3:50 PM → 5:09 PM1h 19m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    61%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    61%
    Cancelled
    2.1%
    Avg arrival delay
    33 min
    • Arrived on time 61% of the time (143 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs inside DCA's trouble window: 63% of its 194 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • 60% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Moderate track record · 143 flights

    Find 3:50 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  10. #10 · American 2083

    7:57 PM → 9:15 PM1h 18m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    60%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    63%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    22 min
    • Arrived on time 63% of the time (65 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 65 scheduled flights.
    • Departs outside DCA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 63% of its 194 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • 70% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Moderate track record · 65 flights

    Find American 2083 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Envoy Air (sold as American Eagle)72%

    430 flights · 76% on time as flown · 4.1% cancel

  • American Airlines65%

    211 flights · 67% on time as flown · 3.6% cancel

  • PSA Airlines (sold as American Eagle)63%

    806 flights · 67% on time as flown · 4.9% cancel

  • Republic Airways (sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express)62%

    525 flights · 67% on time as flown · 7.5% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM85%

    334 flights · avg delay 9 min

  • 9 AM to noon82%

    336 flights · avg delay 13 min

  • Noon to 3 PM66%

    364 flights · avg delay 25 min

  • 3 to 6 PM61%

    316 flights · avg delay 29 min

  • 6 to 9 PM59%

    387 flights · avg delay 32 min

  • After 9 PM56%

    235 flights · avg delay 29 min

Best day: Saturday (81%). Worst: Friday (74%).

Smarter routing

Nearby airports that run more on time

  • IAD → RDU 82% chance on time

    Washington Dulles International Airport to Raleigh-Durham International Airport · 1,334 flights a year · 23 mi from your airports · yours: 65%

    Rank flightsFares

  • BWI → RDU 78% chance on time

    Baltimore/Washington International Thurgood Marshall Airport to Raleigh-Durham International Airport · 1,814 flights a year · 30 mi from your airports · yours: 65%

    Rank flightsFares

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
78
F
78
M
77
A
78
M
72
J
76
J
69
A
74
S
80
O
85
N
82
D
78

What delays this route

  • Late-arriving aircraft61%
  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)19%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume16%
  • Severe weather4%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

DCA to RDU questions

What time of day is best to fly DCA to RDU?
Before 9 AM: 85% of flights arrived on time, against 56% for departures after 9 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
Which airline is most on time from DCA to RDU?
Envoy, with a season-adjusted 72% chance of operating and arriving on time over 430 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on DCA to RDU?
July (69% on time); the best was October (85%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from DCA

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops