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Route on-time record

DCA to MEM: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Washington (Ronald Reagan Washington National Airport) to Memphis (Memphis International Airport). 1,182 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 73% arrived within 15 minutes and 4.9% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was PSA 5091 at 8:23 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

DCA → MEM

Washington to Memphis: 1,182 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

73%

Cancelled

4.9%

avg delay 19 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

81% on time vs 66% 3 to 6 PM

Most reliable airline

Republic

70% chance on time

Check DCA to MEM fares

Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · PSA 5091 · sold as American Eagle

    8:23 AM → 9:49 AM2h 26m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    74%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    80%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    8 min
    • Arrived on time 80% of the time (10 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 81% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 66%).
    • Departs outside DCA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 63% of its 194 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (10 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 10 flights

    Find 8:23 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · PSA 5322 · sold as American Eagle

    8:38 AM → 10:11 AM2h 33m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20. Same departure also flew as PSA 5080; its record covers all of them.

    74%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    78%
    Cancelled
    6.1%
    Avg arrival delay
    15 min
    • Arrived on time 78% of the time (184 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 6.1% of the time (12 of 196).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 81% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 66%).
    • Departs outside DCA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 63% of its 194 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Moderate track record · 184 flights

    Find 8:38 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  3. #3 · PSA 5319 · sold as American Eagle

    4:09 PM → 5:37 PM2h 28m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-19.

    67%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    71%
    Cancelled
    4.5%
    Avg arrival delay
    26 min
    • Arrived on time 71% of the time (41 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 4.5% of the time (2 of 44).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (3 to 6 PM: 66% on time; Before 9 AM: 81%).
    • Departs inside DCA's trouble window: 63% of its 194 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.

    Limited track record · 41 flights

    Find 4:09 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  4. #4 · Republic 4681 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express

    10:29 PM → 11:58 PM2h 29m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-19.

    66%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    68%
    Cancelled
    5.2%
    Avg arrival delay
    25 min
    • Arrived on time 68% of the time (164 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 5.2% of the time (9 of 173).
    • Departs outside DCA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 63% of its 194 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • 51% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Moderate track record · 164 flights

    Find 10:29 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  5. #5 · PSA 5085 · sold as American Eagle

    3:59 PM → 5:37 PM2h 38m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    63%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    65%
    Cancelled
    10.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    25 min
    • Arrived on time 65% of the time (54 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 10.0% of the time (6 of 60).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (3 to 6 PM: 66% on time; Before 9 AM: 81%).
    • Departs inside DCA's trouble window: 63% of its 194 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.

    Limited track record · 54 flights

    Find 3:59 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  6. #6 · Republic 4460 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express

    3:46 PM → 5:18 PM2h 32m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    63%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    56%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    37 min
    • Arrived on time 56% of the time (9 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (3 to 6 PM: 66% on time; Before 9 AM: 81%).
    • Departs inside DCA's trouble window: 63% of its 194 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • 50% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Limited track record · 9 flights

    Find 3:46 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Republic Airways (sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express)70%

    480 flights · 73% on time as flown · 3.9% cancel

  • PSA Airlines (sold as American Eagle)68%

    692 flights · 73% on time as flown · 5.7% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM81%

    339 flights · avg delay 11 min

  • 9 AM to noon74%

    145 flights · avg delay 15 min

  • Noon to 3 PM75%

    155 flights · avg delay 18 min

  • 3 to 6 PM66%

    223 flights · avg delay 24 min

  • 6 to 9 PM68%

    177 flights · avg delay 30 min

  • After 9 PM67%

    143 flights · avg delay 24 min

Best day: Saturday (82%). Worst: Friday (76%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
71
F
77
M
82
A
80
M
77
J
79
J
67
A
78
S
83
O
88
N
86
D
78

What delays this route

  • Late-arriving aircraft53%
  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)23%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume12%
  • Severe weather11%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

DCA to MEM questions

What time of day is best to fly DCA to MEM?
Before 9 AM: 81% of flights arrived on time, against 66% for departures 3 to 6 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
Which airline is most on time from DCA to MEM?
Republic, with a season-adjusted 70% chance of operating and arriving on time over 480 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on DCA to MEM?
July (67% on time); the best was October (88%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from DCA

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops