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Route on-time record

BUR to SMF: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Burbank (Hollywood Burbank/Bob Hope Airport) to Sacramento (Sacramento International Airport). 2,681 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 87% arrived within 15 minutes and 1.8% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Southwest 1005 at 7:00 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

BUR → SMF

Burbank to Sacramento: 2,681 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

87%

Cancelled

1.8%

avg delay 8 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

96% on time vs 82% 6 to 9 PM

Most reliable airline

Southwest

86% chance on time

Check BUR to SMF fares

Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $144 (Southwest 936 on 2026-11-10). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · Southwest 1005

    7:00 AM → 8:30 AM1h 30m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    94%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    96%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    6 min
    • Arrived on time 96% of the time (55 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 55 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 96% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 82%).
    • Short track record (55 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 55 flights

    Find Southwest 1005 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · Southwest 1479

    10:55 AM → 12:25 PM1h 30m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-29.

    93%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    100%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    1 min
    • Arrived on time 100% of the time (23 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Short track record (23 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 23 flights

    Find Southwest 1479 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  3. #3 · Southwest 1399

    7:25 AM → 8:55 AM1h 30m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    93%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    96%
    Cancelled
    3.6%
    Avg arrival delay
    1 min
    • Arrived on time 96% of the time (27 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 96% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 82%).
    • Short track record (27 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 27 flights

    Find Southwest 1399 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  4. #4 · Southwest 2395

    12:55 PM → 2:25 PM1h 30m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as Southwest 1402; its record covers all of them.

    91%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    93%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    5 min
    • Arrived on time 93% of the time (83 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 83 scheduled flights.

    Moderate track record · 83 flights

    Find Southwest 2395 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  5. #5 · Southwest 2592

    11:05 AM → 12:35 PM1h 30m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-05.

    90%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    97%
    Cancelled
    3.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    1 min
    • Arrived on time 97% of the time (32 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 3.0% of the time (1 of 33).
    • Short track record (32 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 32 flights

    Find Southwest 2592 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  6. #6 · Southwest 1771

    10:15 AM → 11:45 AM1h 30m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-27.

    89%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    93%
    Cancelled
    6.3%
    Avg arrival delay
    1 min
    • Arrived on time 93% of the time (15 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Short track record (15 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 15 flights

    Find Southwest 1771 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  7. #7 · Southwest 768

    9:00 AM → 10:25 AM1h 25m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as Southwest 1400; its record covers all of them.

    89%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    93%
    Cancelled
    5.2%
    Avg arrival delay
    5 min
    • Arrived on time 93% of the time (73 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 5.2% of the time (4 of 77).

    Moderate track record · 73 flights

    Find Southwest 768 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  8. #8 · Southwest 2125

    2:15 PM → 3:50 PM1h 35m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    87%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    96%
    Cancelled
    3.6%
    Avg arrival delay
    2 min
    • Arrived on time 96% of the time (27 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Short track record (27 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 27 flights

    Find Southwest 2125 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  9. #9 · Southwest 4316

    6:55 PM → 8:20 PM1h 25m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    84%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    88%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    6 min
    • Arrived on time 88% of the time (8 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (6 to 9 PM: 82% on time; Before 9 AM: 96%).
    • Short track record (8 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 8 flights

    Find Southwest 4316 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  10. #10 · Southwest 554

    6:20 PM → 7:45 PM1h 25m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-30.

    83%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    83%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    8 min
    • Arrived on time 83% of the time (47 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 47 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (6 to 9 PM: 82% on time; Before 9 AM: 96%).
    • Short track record (47 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 47 flights

    Find Southwest 554 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Southwest Airlines86%

    2,681 flights · 87% on time as flown · 1.8% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM96%

    527 flights · avg delay 4 min

  • 9 AM to noon92%

    496 flights · avg delay 4 min

  • Noon to 3 PM87%

    513 flights · avg delay 8 min

  • 3 to 6 PM82%

    557 flights · avg delay 11 min

  • 6 to 9 PM82%

    588 flights · avg delay 11 min

Best day: Tuesday (92%). Worst: Sunday (81%).

Smarter routing

Nearby airports that run more on time

  • LGB → SMF 88% chance on time

    Long Beach International Airport to Sacramento International Airport · 1,917 flights a year · 29 mi from your airports · yours: 86%

    Rank flightsFares

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
90
F
90
M
89
A
88
M
84
J
85
J
86
A
86
S
87
O
82
N
86
D
86

What delays this route

  • Late-arriving aircraft74%
  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)20%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume5%
  • Severe weather1%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

BUR to SMF questions

What time of day is best to fly BUR to SMF?
Before 9 AM: 96% of flights arrived on time, against 82% for departures 6 to 9 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
Which airline is most on time from BUR to SMF?
Southwest, with a season-adjusted 86% chance of operating and arriving on time over 2,681 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on BUR to SMF?
October (82% on time); the best was February (90%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from BUR

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops