Route on-time record
BUR to BNA: most on-time flights and the best time to fly
Burbank (Hollywood Burbank/Bob Hope Airport) to Nashville (Nashville International Airport). 337 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 86% arrived within 15 minutes and 0.9% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Southwest 2988 at 11:00 AM.
Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.
BUR → BNA
Burbank to Nashville: 337 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
86%
Cancelled
0.9%
avg delay 10 min
Best time to leave
Before 9 AM
90% on time vs 82% 9 AM to noon
Most reliable airline
Southwest
85% chance on time
Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $214 (Southwest 858 on 2026-11-11). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Most reliable nonstop flights
Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.
#1 · Southwest 2988
11:00 AM → 5:00 PM4h 00m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.
87%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 92%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 5 min
- Arrived on time 92% of the time (25 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (9 AM to noon: 82% on time; Before 9 AM: 90%).
- Lands inside BNA's trouble window: 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
- Short track record (25 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 25 flights
Find Southwest 2988 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · Southwest 1471
7:15 AM → 1:15 PM4h 00m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-01.
87%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 75%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 8 min
- Arrived on time 75% of the time (8 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 90% on time; 9 AM to noon: 82%).
- Lands inside BNA's trouble window: 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
- Short track record (8 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 8 flights
Find Southwest 1471 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#3 · Southwest 2049
9:05 AM → 3:00 PM3h 55m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
83%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 84%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 10 min
- Arrived on time 84% of the time (55 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 55 scheduled flights.
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (9 AM to noon: 82% on time; Before 9 AM: 90%).
- Lands inside BNA's trouble window: 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
Limited track record · 55 flights
Find Southwest 2049 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- Southwest Airlines85%
337 flights · 86% on time as flown · 0.9% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- Before 9 AM90%
174 flights · avg delay 6 min
- 9 AM to noon82%
151 flights · avg delay 14 min
Best day: Wednesday (94%). Worst: Thursday (82%).
Smarter routing
Nearby airports that run more on time
LGB → BNA 89% chance on time
Long Beach International Airport to Nashville International Airport · 365 flights a year · 29 mi from your airports · yours: 85%
On time by month
All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.
What delays this route
- Late-arriving aircraft54%
- Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)24%
- Air traffic control and airport volume12%
- Severe weather10%
Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure
BUR to BNA questions
- What time of day is best to fly BUR to BNA?
- Before 9 AM: 90% of flights arrived on time, against 82% for departures 9 AM to noon. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
- Which airline is most on time from BUR to BNA?
- Southwest, with a season-adjusted 85% chance of operating and arriving on time over 337 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
- What is the worst month for delays on BUR to BNA?
- October (75% on time); the best was May (94%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
- Is this a prediction for my flight?
- No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.
More routes from BUR
- BNA to BUR (return)
- BUR to LAS 81%
- BUR to PHX 84%
- BUR to SFO 68%
- BUR to OAK 86%
- BUR to SMF 87%
- BUR to DEN 83%
- BUR to SJC 88%
- BUR to SEA 82%
- BUR to SLC 90%
- BUR to PDX 90%
- BUR to DFW 81%
- BUR to STS 84%
Live status: FAA delays and ground stops