ATIS Alerts Smart Flight Search
Find the flight least likely to be delayed
BetaWe rank real flight numbers by how often they flew and arrived on time over the last 12 months, adjusted for your travel month and departure time, then check nearby airports and calmer connections. US airlines and airports.
TUS → MDW
Tucson to Chicago: 344 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
84%
Cancelled
0.9%
avg delay 9 min
Best time to leave
Before 9 AM
92% on time vs 65% noon to 3 PM
Most reliable airline
Southwest
83% chance on time
Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $285 (Southwest 1882 on 2026-10-27). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Best trips
2 nonstop, 41 with 1 connection. Best overall weighs the chance you arrive on time as booked, connection odds, travel time and separate tickets.
Best overall#1 · Nonstop · 3h 10m
5:15 AM → 10:25 AM
79%
arrive on time
80% on time · 0.8% cancel5:15 AM TUS → 10:25 AM MDW3h 10m
Southwest 2500
Boeing 737 MAX 8 or 737-800 · 1–14 yrs oldFind Southwest 2500 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · 1 connection · 7h 55m · one ticket (Southwest)
6:40 PM → 4:35 AM
94%
connections made
89%
arrive on time
57% on time · 0.3% cancel6:40 PM TUS → 8:00 PM SAN1h 20m
Southwest 2664 · also flew as 199
Boeing 737 MAX 8 or 737-800 · 1–22 yrs oldConnect in SAN · 2h 40m · 96% chance to make it · same ticket: the airline rebooks you if you miss it94% on time · 1.4% cancel10:40 PM SAN → 4:35 AM MDW3h 55m
Southwest 4094 · also flew as 990
Boeing 737-700 · 9–23 yrs oldFind this Southwest trip Look for Southwest 2664 + Southwest 4094 on Aviasales#3 · 1 connection · 9h 00m · one ticket (Southwest)
5:35 PM → 4:35 AM
97%
connections made
91%
arrive on time
77% on time · 0.4% cancel5:35 PM TUS → 7:05 PM SAN1h 30m
Southwest 1614
Boeing 737-700 · 17–22 yrs oldConnect in SAN · 3h 35m · 99% chance to make it · same ticket: the airline rebooks you if you miss it94% on time · 1.4% cancel10:40 PM SAN → 4:35 AM MDW3h 55m
Southwest 4094 · also flew as 990
Boeing 737-700 · 9–23 yrs oldFind this Southwest trip Look for Southwest 1614 + Southwest 4094 on Aviasales#4 · 1 connection · 6h 10m · one ticket (Southwest)
5:35 AM → 1:45 PM
94%
connections made
83%
arrive on time
93% on time · 0.2% cancel5:35 AM TUS → 6:30 AM PHX55m
Southwest 4637
Boeing 737-700 · 17–22 yrs oldConnect in PHX · 1h 50m · 95% chance to make it · same ticket: the airline rebooks you if you miss it88% on time · 1.0% cancel8:20 AM PHX → 1:45 PM MDW3h 25m
Southwest 2052
Boeing 737-800 or 737 MAX 8 · 1–14 yrs oldFind this Southwest trip Look for Southwest 4637 + Southwest 2052 on Aviasales#5 · 1 connection · 5h 55m · one ticket (Southwest)
5:50 AM → 1:45 PM
93%
connections made
82%
arrive on time
93% on time · 0.2% cancel5:50 AM TUS → 6:45 AM PHX55m
Southwest 1088
Boeing 737-700 · 18–23 yrs oldConnect in PHX · 1h 35m · 94% chance to make it · same ticket: the airline rebooks you if you miss it88% on time · 1.0% cancel8:20 AM PHX → 1:45 PM MDW3h 25m
Southwest 2052
Boeing 737-800 or 737 MAX 8 · 1–14 yrs oldFind this Southwest trip Look for Southwest 1088 + Southwest 2052 on Aviasales#6 · 1 connection · 5h 45m · one ticket (Southwest)
5:35 AM → 1:25 PM
93%
connections made
79%
arrive on time
93% on time · 0.2% cancel5:35 AM TUS → 6:30 AM PHX55m
Southwest 4637
Boeing 737-700 · 17–22 yrs oldConnect in PHX · 1h 30m · 94% chance to make it · same ticket: the airline rebooks you if you miss it85% on time · 1.0% cancel8:00 AM PHX → 1:25 PM MDW3h 20m
Southwest 2400
Boeing 737 MAX 8 or 737-800 · 1–11 yrs oldFind this Southwest trip Look for Southwest 4637 + Southwest 2400 on Aviasales#7 · 1 connection · 5h 30m · one ticket (Southwest)
5:50 AM → 1:25 PM
91%
connections made
78%
arrive on time
93% on time · 0.2% cancel5:50 AM TUS → 6:45 AM PHX55m
Southwest 1088
Boeing 737-700 · 18–23 yrs oldConnect in PHX · 1h 15m · 93% chance to make it · same ticket: the airline rebooks you if you miss it85% on time · 1.0% cancel8:00 AM PHX → 1:25 PM MDW3h 20m
Southwest 2400
Boeing 737 MAX 8 or 737-800 · 1–11 yrs oldFind this Southwest trip Look for Southwest 1088 + Southwest 2400 on Aviasales#8 · 1 connection · 6h 05m · one ticket (Southwest)
5:05 AM → 1:10 PM
94%
connections made
80%
arrive on time
95% on time · 0.5% cancel5:05 AM TUS → 6:30 AM LAS1h 25m
Southwest 2860 · also flew as 3128
Boeing 737-700 · 1–22 yrs oldConnect in LAS · 1h 10m · 95% chance to make it · same ticket: the airline rebooks you if you miss it85% on time · 0.6% cancel7:40 AM LAS → 1:10 PM MDW3h 30m
Southwest 3198
Boeing 737 MAX 8 or 737-800 · 2–14 yrs oldFind this Southwest trip Look for Southwest 2860 + Southwest 3198 on Aviasales#9 · 1 connection · 5h 40m · one ticket (Southwest)
6:35 AM → 2:15 PM
94%
connections made
78%
arrive on time
93% on time · 0.5% cancel6:35 AM TUS → 9:25 AM DEN1h 50m
Southwest 4597
Boeing 737 MAX 8 or 737-800 · 1–20 yrs oldConnect in DEN · 1h 30m · 96% chance to make it · same ticket: the airline rebooks you if you miss it83% on time · 1.8% cancel10:55 AM DEN → 2:15 PM MDW2h 20m
Southwest 1941
Boeing 737 MAX 8 or 737-700 · 2–21 yrs oldFind this Southwest trip Look for Southwest 4597 + Southwest 1941 on Aviasales#10 · 1 connection · 10h 10m · one ticket (Southwest)
4:25 PM → 4:35 AM
98%
connections made
92%
arrive on time
70% on time · 0.4% cancel4:25 PM TUS → 5:50 PM SAN1h 25m
Southwest 4281
Boeing 737 MAX 8 · 0–10 yrs oldConnect in SAN · 4h 50m · 100% chance to make it · same ticket: the airline rebooks you if you miss it94% on time · 1.4% cancel10:40 PM SAN → 4:35 AM MDW3h 55m
Southwest 4094 · also flew as 990
Boeing 737-700 · 9–23 yrs oldFind this Southwest trip Look for Southwest 4281 + Southwest 4094 on Aviasales
Aircraft and ages come from the planes each flight number actually flew in the last 3 months of data (FAA registry build years); airlines can swap planes.
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- Southwest Airlines83%
344 flights · 84% on time as flown · 0.9% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- Before 9 AM92%
204 flights · avg delay 6 min
- 9 AM to noon89%
37 flights · avg delay 5 min
- Noon to 3 PM65%
103 flights · avg delay 18 min
Best day: Thursday (93%). Worst: Sunday (84%).
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure
