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ATIS Alerts Smart Flight Search

Find the flight least likely to be delayed

Beta

We rank real flight numbers by how often they flew and arrived on time over the last 12 months, adjusted for your travel month and departure time, then check nearby airports and calmer connections. US airlines and airports.

TPA → PVD

Tampa to Providence/Warwick: 518 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

73%

Cancelled

0.6%

avg delay 20 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

93% on time vs 51% 3 to 6 PM

Most reliable airline

JetBlue

75% chance on time

Check TPA to PVD fares

Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Best trips

3 nonstop, 40 with 1 connection. Best overall weighs the chance you arrive on time as booked, connection odds, travel time and separate tickets.

  1. Best overall#1 · Nonstop · 2h 50m

    2:00 PM → 4:50 PM

    71%

    arrive on time

    2:00 PM TPA → 4:50 PM PVD2h 50m

    Southwest 440

    Boeing 737 MAX 8 · 1–14 yrs old
    72% on time · 0.7% cancel
    Find Southwest 440 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · 1 connection · 5h 10m · one ticket (Southwest)

    6:40 AM → 11:45 AM

    92%

    connections made

    79%

    arrive on time

    6:40 AM TPA → 9:00 AM BWI2h 25m

    Southwest 2618

    Boeing 737 MAX 8 or 737-800 · 1–11 yrs old
    94% on time · 1.5% cancel
    Connect in BWI · 1h 25m · 96% chance to make it · same ticket: the airline rebooks you if you miss it

    10:25 AM BWI → 11:45 AM PVD1h 20m

    Southwest 2863

    Boeing 737 MAX 8 · 1–20 yrs old
    86% on time · 1.9% cancel
    Find this Southwest trip Look for Southwest 2618 + Southwest 2863 on Aviasales

  3. #3 · 1 connection · 5h 30m · one ticket (Southwest)

    8:20 AM → 1:50 PM

    93%

    connections made

    79%

    arrive on time

    8:20 AM TPA → 10:45 AM BWI2h 25m

    Southwest 429

    Boeing 737 MAX 8 or 737-800 · 3–13 yrs old
    91% on time · 1.7% cancel
    Connect in BWI · 1h 45m · 96% chance to make it · same ticket: the airline rebooks you if you miss it

    12:30 PM BWI → 1:50 PM PVD1h 20m

    Southwest 1266 · also flew as 1372

    Boeing 737-700 or 737-800 · 3–22 yrs old
    85% on time · 1.6% cancel
    Find this Southwest trip Look for Southwest 429 + Southwest 1266 on Aviasales

  4. #4 · 1 connection · 6h 25m · one ticket (Southwest)

    5:20 AM → 11:45 AM

    95%

    connections made

    81%

    arrive on time

    5:20 AM TPA → 7:40 AM BWI2h 20m

    Southwest 942

    Boeing 737 MAX 8 or 737-800 · 1–10 yrs old
    93% on time · 1.8% cancel
    Connect in BWI · 2h 45m · 98% chance to make it · same ticket: the airline rebooks you if you miss it

    10:25 AM BWI → 11:45 AM PVD1h 20m

    Southwest 2863

    Boeing 737 MAX 8 · 1–20 yrs old
    86% on time · 1.9% cancel
    Find this Southwest trip Look for Southwest 942 + Southwest 2863 on Aviasales

  5. #5 · Nonstop · 2h 50m

    7:55 PM → 10:45 PM

    69%

    arrive on time

    7:55 PM TPA → 10:45 PM PVD2h 50m

    Southwest 2690

    Boeing 737-700 · 3–22 yrs old
    69% on time · 0.6% cancel
    Find Southwest 2690 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  6. #6 · 1 connection · 5h 48m · one ticket (Southwest)

    8:00 AM → 1:50 PM

    93%

    connections made

    79%

    arrive on time

    8:00 AM TPA → 10:25 AM BWI2h 23m

    Southwest 2039

    Boeing 737-700 or 737-800 · 2–22 yrs old
    92% on time · 1.6% cancel
    Connect in BWI · 2h 05m · 96% chance to make it · same ticket: the airline rebooks you if you miss it

    12:30 PM BWI → 1:50 PM PVD1h 20m

    Southwest 1266 · also flew as 1372

    Boeing 737-700 or 737-800 · 3–22 yrs old
    85% on time · 1.6% cancel
    Find this Southwest trip Look for Southwest 2039 + Southwest 1266 on Aviasales

  7. #7 · 1 connection · 5h 50m · one ticket (Southwest)

    5:55 AM → 11:45 AM

    92%

    connections made

    79%

    arrive on time

    5:55 AM TPA → 8:15 AM BWI2h 20m

    Southwest 1534

    Boeing 737-700 or 737-800 · 3–22 yrs old
    91% on time · 2.2% cancel
    Connect in BWI · 2h 10m · 96% chance to make it · same ticket: the airline rebooks you if you miss it

    10:25 AM BWI → 11:45 AM PVD1h 20m

    Southwest 2863

    Boeing 737 MAX 8 · 1–20 yrs old
    86% on time · 1.9% cancel
    Find this Southwest trip Look for Southwest 1534 + Southwest 2863 on Aviasales

  8. #8 · 1 connection · 6h 54m · one ticket (Delta)

    7:50 AM → 2:42 PM

    97%

    connections made

    81%

    arrive on time

    7:50 AM TPA → 9:32 AM ATL1h 42m

    Delta 1486

    Airbus A321 · 8–10 yrs old
    89% on time · 0.5% cancel
    Connect in ATL · 2h 50m · 99% chance to make it · same ticket: the airline rebooks you if you miss it

    12:22 PM ATL → 2:42 PM PVD2h 22m

    Delta 2314

    Airbus A319 · 23–26 yrs old
    84% on time · 1.9% cancel
    Find this Delta trip Look for Delta 1486 + Delta 2314 on Aviasales

  9. #9 · 1 connection · 7h 15m · one ticket (Southwest)

    6:40 AM → 1:50 PM

    96%

    connections made

    82%

    arrive on time

    6:40 AM TPA → 9:00 AM BWI2h 25m

    Southwest 2618

    Boeing 737 MAX 8 or 737-800 · 1–11 yrs old
    94% on time · 1.5% cancel
    Connect in BWI · 3h 30m · 99% chance to make it · same ticket: the airline rebooks you if you miss it

    12:30 PM BWI → 1:50 PM PVD1h 20m

    Southwest 1266 · also flew as 1372

    Boeing 737-700 or 737-800 · 3–22 yrs old
    85% on time · 1.6% cancel
    Find this Southwest trip Look for Southwest 2618 + Southwest 1266 on Aviasales

  10. #10 · 1 connection · 6h 09m · one ticket (Delta)

    8:35 AM → 2:42 PM

    93%

    connections made

    78%

    arrive on time

    8:35 AM TPA → 10:13 AM ATL1h 38m

    Delta 744

    Boeing 757-200 · 21–29 yrs old
    88% on time · 0.9% cancel
    Connect in ATL · 2h 09m · 96% chance to make it · same ticket: the airline rebooks you if you miss it

    12:22 PM ATL → 2:42 PM PVD2h 22m

    Delta 2314

    Airbus A319 · 23–26 yrs old
    84% on time · 1.9% cancel
    Find this Delta trip Look for Delta 744 + Delta 2314 on Aviasales

Aircraft and ages come from the planes each flight number actually flew in the last 3 months of data (FAA registry build years); airlines can swap planes.

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • JetBlue75%

    165 flights · 77% on time as flown · 0.3% cancel

  • Southwest Airlines71%

    353 flights · 71% on time as flown · 0.8% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM93%

    75 flights · avg delay 3 min

  • 9 AM to noon81%

    126 flights · avg delay 10 min

  • Noon to 3 PM72%

    150 flights · avg delay 27 min

  • 3 to 6 PM51%

    43 flights · avg delay 34 min

  • 6 to 9 PM63%

    111 flights · avg delay 28 min

Best day: Tuesday (81%). Worst: Friday (72%).

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure