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ATIS Alerts Smart Flight Search

Find the flight least likely to be delayed

Beta

We rank real flight numbers by how often they flew and arrived on time over the last 12 months, adjusted for your travel month and departure time, then check nearby airports and calmer connections. US airlines and airports.

TPA → JFK

Tampa to New York: 2,304 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

80%

Cancelled

3.1%

avg delay 15 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

92% on time vs 65% 6 to 9 PM

Most reliable airline

Frontier

80% chance on time

Check TPA to JFK fares

Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $140 (JetBlue 726 on 2026-11-27). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · Delta 2475

    7:16 AM → 10:00 AM2h 44m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    91%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    93%
    Cancelled
    2.5%
    Avg arrival delay
    6 min
    • Arrived on time 93% of the time (356 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 92% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 65%).
    • Departs outside TPA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Strong track record · 356 flights

    Find Delta 2475 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · JetBlue 996

    6:00 AM → 8:51 AM2h 51m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    87%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    100%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    1 min
    • Arrived on time 100% of the time (11 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 92% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 65%).
    • Departs outside TPA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (11 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 11 flights

    Find JetBlue 996 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  3. #3 · JetBlue 426

    10:08 AM → 12:59 PM2h 42m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.

    87%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    92%
    Cancelled
    3.7%
    Avg arrival delay
    5 min
    • Arrived on time 92% of the time (155 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 3.7% of the time (6 of 161).
    • Departs outside TPA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Moderate track record · 155 flights

    Find JetBlue 426 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  4. #4 · Delta 1488

    11:47 AM → 2:45 PM2h 58m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-12.

    83%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    86%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    17 min
    • Arrived on time 86% of the time (36 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 36 scheduled flights.
    • Departs outside TPA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Lands inside JFK's trouble window: 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.

    Limited track record · 36 flights

    Find Delta 1488 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  5. #5 · Delta 2044

    12:35 PM → 3:32 PM2h 57m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-06.

    82%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    92%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    8 min
    • Arrived on time 92% of the time (24 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs inside TPA's trouble window: 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.
    • Lands inside JFK's trouble window: 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • Short track record (24 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 24 flights

    Find Delta 2044 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  6. #6 · JetBlue 1026

    6:32 AM → 9:19 AM2h 47m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-13.

    82%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    83%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    13 min
    • Arrived on time 83% of the time (23 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 92% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 65%).
    • Departs outside TPA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • 67% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Limited track record · 23 flights

    Find JetBlue 1026 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  7. #7 · Delta 1642

    11:04 AM → 1:54 PM2h 50m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    81%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    84%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    16 min
    • Arrived on time 84% of the time (25 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside TPA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Lands inside JFK's trouble window: 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • 86% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Limited track record · 25 flights

    Find Delta 1642 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  8. #8 · JetBlue 126

    11:35 AM → 2:20 PM2h 42m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-13.

    80%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    83%
    Cancelled
    3.6%
    Avg arrival delay
    11 min
    • Arrived on time 83% of the time (291 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 3.6% of the time (11 of 303).
    • Departs outside TPA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Lands inside JFK's trouble window: 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.

    Strong track record · 291 flights

    Find JetBlue 126 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  9. #9 · JetBlue 1226

    10:35 AM → 1:34 PM2h 59m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    79%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    91%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    2 min
    • Arrived on time 91% of the time (11 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside TPA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Lands inside JFK's trouble window: 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • Short track record (11 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 11 flights

    Find JetBlue 1226 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  10. #10 · Delta 2092

    7:40 PM → 10:33 PM2h 53m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-06. Same departure also flew as Delta 1507; its record covers all of them.

    74%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    79%
    Cancelled
    3.3%
    Avg arrival delay
    14 min
    • Arrived on time 79% of the time (58 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 3.3% of the time (2 of 60).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (6 to 9 PM: 65% on time; Before 9 AM: 92%).
    • Departs outside TPA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Limited track record · 58 flights

    Find Delta 2092 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Frontier Airlines80%

    188 flights · 82% on time as flown · 1.7% cancel

  • Delta Air Lines80%

    1,094 flights · 82% on time as flown · 2.9% cancel

  • JetBlue75%

    1,022 flights · 77% on time as flown · 3.8% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM92%

    779 flights · avg delay 6 min

  • 9 AM to noon82%

    588 flights · avg delay 13 min

  • Noon to 3 PM72%

    348 flights · avg delay 22 min

  • 6 to 9 PM65%

    520 flights · avg delay 27 min

Best day: Tuesday (83%). Worst: Sunday (72%).

Smarter routing

Nearby airports that run more on time

  • SRQ → EWR 85% chance on time

    Sarasota Bradenton International Airport to Newark Liberty International Airport · 937 flights a year · 61 mi from your airports · yours: 78%

    Rank flightsFares

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure