ATIS Alerts Smart Flight Search
Find the flight least likely to be delayed
BetaWe rank real flight numbers by how often they flew and arrived on time over the last 12 months, adjusted for your travel month and departure time, then check nearby airports and calmer connections. US airlines and airports.
SMF → LAS
Sacramento to Las Vegas: 4,380 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
80%
Cancelled
0.6%
avg delay 13 min
Best time to leave
Before 9 AM
94% on time vs 60% after 9 PM
Most reliable airline
SkyWest
88% chance on time
Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $69 (Frontier 2070 on 2026-11-11). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Best trips
20 nonstop, 26 with 1 connection. Best overall weighs the chance you arrive on time as booked, connection odds, travel time and separate tickets.
Best overall#1 · Nonstop · 1h 30m
8:45 AM → 10:15 AM
94%
arrive on time
94% on time · 0.3% cancel8:45 AM SMF → 10:15 AM LAS1h 30m
Southwest 4519
Boeing 737 MAX 8 or 737-800 · 3–13 yrs oldFind Southwest 4519 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · Nonstop · 1h 25m
8:05 AM → 9:30 AM
92%
arrive on time
93% on time · 0.2% cancel8:05 AM SMF → 9:30 AM LAS1h 25m
Southwest 2705 · also flew as 1211
Boeing 737-700 · 4–22 yrs oldFind Southwest 2705 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#3 · Nonstop · 1h 25m
5:25 AM → 6:50 AM
92%
arrive on time
93% on time · 0.2% cancel5:25 AM SMF → 6:50 AM LAS1h 25m
Southwest 4338
Boeing 737 MAX 8 or 737-700 · 3–22 yrs oldFind Southwest 4338 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#4 · Nonstop · 1h 25m
5:15 AM → 6:40 AM
92%
arrive on time
92% on time · 0.3% cancel5:15 AM SMF → 6:40 AM LAS1h 25m
Southwest 742
Boeing 737-800 or 737 MAX 8 · 1–12 yrs oldFind Southwest 742 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#5 · Nonstop · 1h 25m
6:35 AM → 8:00 AM
90%
arrive on time
91% on time · 0.2% cancel6:35 AM SMF → 8:00 AM LAS1h 25m
Southwest 3433
Boeing 737 MAX 8 or 737-800 · 1–12 yrs oldFind Southwest 3433 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#6 · Nonstop · 1h 30m
9:20 AM → 10:50 AM
89%
arrive on time
89% on time · 0.3% cancel9:20 AM SMF → 10:50 AM LAS1h 30m
Southwest 2177
Boeing 737-700 · 15–23 yrs oldFind Southwest 2177 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#7 · Nonstop · 1h 30m
9:05 AM → 10:35 AM
88%
arrive on time
89% on time · 0.3% cancel9:05 AM SMF → 10:35 AM LAS1h 30m
Southwest 2715
Boeing 737-700 · 8–22 yrs oldFind Southwest 2715 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#8 · Nonstop · 1h 25m
7:05 AM → 8:30 AM
86%
arrive on time
87% on time · 0.8% cancel7:05 AM SMF → 8:30 AM LAS1h 25m
Southwest 2722
Boeing 737 MAX 8 or 737-800 · 1–10 yrs oldFind Southwest 2722 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#9 · Nonstop · 1h 30m
11:55 AM → 1:25 PM
83%
arrive on time
83% on time · 0.2% cancel11:55 AM SMF → 1:25 PM LAS1h 30m
Southwest 2588
Boeing 737-700 or 737 MAX 8 · 3–22 yrs oldFind Southwest 2588 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#10 · Nonstop · 1h 30m
7:05 PM → 8:35 PM
81%
arrive on time
81% on time · 0.7% cancel7:05 PM SMF → 8:35 PM LAS1h 30m
Southwest 346
Boeing 737-700 or 737 MAX 8 · 4–22 yrs oldFind Southwest 346 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Aircraft and ages come from the planes each flight number actually flew in the last 3 months of data (FAA registry build years); airlines can swap planes.
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- SkyWest Airlines (sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska)88%
495 flights · 90% on time as flown · 1.1% cancel
- Spirit Airlines81%
257 flights · 83% on time as flown · 1.4% cancel
- Southwest Airlines78%
3,430 flights · 79% on time as flown · 0.3% cancel
- Frontier Airlines74%
198 flights · 73% on time as flown · 1.7% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- Before 9 AM94%
1,156 flights · avg delay 4 min
- 9 AM to noon86%
644 flights · avg delay 8 min
- Noon to 3 PM76%
821 flights · avg delay 14 min
- 3 to 6 PM73%
873 flights · avg delay 18 min
- 6 to 9 PM70%
714 flights · avg delay 19 min
- After 9 PM60%
172 flights · avg delay 24 min
Best day: Wednesday (87%). Worst: Friday (74%).
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure
